Economic forecasting Books

144 products


  • The Future Is Faster Than You Think: How

    Simon & Schuster The Future Is Faster Than You Think: How

    10 in stock

    Book SynopsisFrom the New York Times bestselling authors of Abundance and Bold comes a practical playbook for technological convergence in our modern era.In their book Abundance, bestselling authors and futurists Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler tackled grand global challenges, such as poverty, hunger, and energy. Then, in Bold, they chronicled the use of exponential technologies that allowed the emergence of powerful new entrepreneurs. Now the bestselling authors are back with The Future Is Faster Than You Think, a blueprint for how our world will change in response to the next ten years of rapid technological disruption. Technology is accelerating far more quickly than anyone could have imagined. During the next decade, we will experience more upheaval and create more wealth than we have in the past hundred years. In this gripping and insightful roadmap to our near future, Diamandis and Kotler investigate how wave after wave of exponentially accelerating technologies will impact both our daily lives and society as a whole. What happens as AI, robotics, virtual reality, digital biology, and sensors crash into 3D printing, blockchain, and global gigabit networks? How will these convergences transform today’s legacy industries? What will happen to the way we raise our kids, govern our nations, and care for our planet? Diamandis, a space-entrepreneur-turned-innovation-pioneer, and Kotler, bestselling author and peak performance expert, probe the science of technological convergence and how it will reinvent every part of our lives—transportation, retail, advertising, education, health, entertainment, food, and finance—taking humanity into uncharted territories and reimagining the world as we know it. As indispensable as it is gripping, The Future Is Faster Than You Think provides a prescient look at our impending future.Trade Review“The acceleration and convergence of exponential technologies will completely reshape every industry and society over the next decade. The Future is Faster Than You Think is the first book to thoroughly map this new territory. A fantastic guidebook for leaders, entrepreneurs, CEOs, and anyone who wants to understand the massive changes ahead.” —Ray Kurzweil, author of New York Times bestsellers The Singularity Is Near and How to Create a Mind “Diamandis and Kotler have written a powerful and beautiful masterpiece outlining a compelling future for humanity. The Future is Faster Than You Think offers CEOs and entrepreneurs a clear vision on the transformation of every major industry this decade. Required reading for anyone who wants to surf above the tsunami of change.” —Tony Robbins, New York Times bestselling author, entrepreneur, philanthropist, life and business strategist “In their amazing book The Future Is Faster Than You Think, Diamandis and Kotler offer us a hopeful and powerful vision of the future. Packed with amazing stories, mindblowing technology and deep lessons about all of the extraordinary opportunities before us—a must read!” —Anousheh Ansari, CEO of XPRIZE, and first private female astronaut “Exponential technologies will transform every industry this decade. In this book, Diamandis and Kotler provide a deep and thorough researched view of the road ahead. Every entrepreneur and leader needs to understand the transformation and opportunities to plan and prepare. The future is faster than you think.” —Pharrell Williams, Grammy Award–winning musician and artist "An enthusiastic look at the technologies of the future—which is just about now..... Diamandis and Kotler are cheerleaders for disruption, the scale and speed of which are increasing. But they're also realists, noting where there's more sizzle than steak even when they promise really cool things....Welcome reading for the futurists and technogeeks in the audience." —Kirkus Reviews "A gazillion books ponder the social and economic effects of disruptors like AI, virtual reality, 3-D printing, blockchain, robotics, and digital biology. What's intriguing about The Future Is Faster Than You Think is the speculation from Diamondis and Kotler about what happens when all that stuff starts coming together. The implication for extending lifetimes is especially intriguing." —Inc's “New Business Books You Need to Read in 2020” "Heartiest congratulations to Peter Diamandis and Steven Kotler on this third volume in the Exponential Mindset Series. It is a brilliant achievement, one that makes an exceptionally important contribution to thought leadership." —Blogging on Business "Where The Future Is Faster Than You Think excels, and what makes the book so enjoyable to read, is the infectious excitement that the authors bring to talking about new technologies." —Inside Higher Ed "For anyone remotely interested in what the future of technology holds, this book is for you. The authors present logical and well-thought-out arguments for technological advances in a variety of fields. Business leaders and entrepreneurs will want to keep this as a reference for ushering their companies to the future.” —Book Pal, 2020 Outstanding Works of Literature (OWL) Award

    10 in stock

    £19.00

  • On the Edge

    Penguin Putnam Inc On the Edge

    15 in stock

    Book Synopsis

    15 in stock

    £15.75

  • Superforecasting

    Crown Publishing Group (NY) Superforecasting

    Out of stock

    Book SynopsisNEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman''s Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are superforecasters.   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

    Out of stock

    £10.20

  • Next 100 Years The A Forecast for the 21st

    Allison & Busby Next 100 Years The A Forecast for the 21st

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisMexico making a bid for global supremacy? Poland becoming America's closest ally? World War III taking place in space? It might sound fantastic but all these things can happen. This title offers a readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the 21st century. It predicts where and why future wars will erupt.Trade Review'A unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling' Publishers Weekly

    15 in stock

    £11.69

  • Everything is Obvious: Why Common Sense is

    Atlantic Books Everything is Obvious: Why Common Sense is

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisSociologist Duncan Watts explains in this provocative book that the explanations that we give for the outcomes that we observe in life - explanations that seem obvious once we know the answer - are less useful than they seem. Watts shows how commonsense reasoning and history conspire to mislead us into thinking that we understand more about the world of human behavior than we do; and in turn, why attempts to predict, manage, or manipulate social and economic systems so often go awry.Only by understanding how and when common sense fails can we improve how we plan for the future, as well as understand the present-an argument that has important implications in politics, business, marketing, and even everyday life.Trade ReviewFrom the reviews of Everything is Obvious:'A fascinating book that ranges through psychology, economics, marketing and the science of networks.' Wall Street Journal 'Watts is an enjoyable companion... His enthusiasm is admirable and the book will hold valuable insights for a great many professions.' Prospect 'Penetrating and engaging... Common sense is a kind of bespoke make-believe, and we can no more use it to scientifically explain the workings of the social world than we can use a hammer to understand molluscs... It's this sort of study, not common sense, that will shed bright light on human affairs.' * New York Times *

    15 in stock

    £11.69

  • Fluke: Chance, Chaos, and Why Everything We Do

    Simon & Schuster Fluke: Chance, Chaos, and Why Everything We Do

    Out of stock

    Book Synopsis

    Out of stock

    £14.40

  • Cook A Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical

    Taylor & Francis Ltd Cook A Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisForecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry is a definitive guide for forecasters as well as the multitude of decision makers and executives who rely on forecasts in their decision making. In virtually every decision, a pharmaceutical executive considers some type of forecast. This process of predicting the future is crucial to many aspects of the company - from next month''s production schedule, to market estimates for drugs in the next decade. The pharmaceutical forecaster needs to strike a delicate balance between over-engineering the forecast - including rafts of data and complex 'black box' equations that few stakeholders understand and even fewer buy into - and an overly simplistic approach that relies too heavily on anecdotal information and opinion. Arthur G. Cook''s highly pragmatic guide explains the basis of a successful balanced forecast for products in development as well as currently marketed products. The author explores the pharmaceutical forecasting process; the varied

    1 in stock

    £30.39

  • The Rise and Fall of Nations

    Penguin Books Ltd The Rise and Fall of Nations

    2 in stock

    Book SynopsisTHE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER''Entertaining, acute and disarmingly honest'' Economist''A vital guide to the new economic order'' Rana Foroohar, TimeThe crisis of 2008 ended the illusion of a golden era in which many people imagined that prosperity and political calm would continue to spread indefinitely. In a world now racked by slowing growth and mounting unrest, how can we discern which nations will thrive and which will fail? Shaped by prize-winning author Ruchir Sharma''s twenty-five years travelling the world, The Rise and Fall of Nations rethinks economics as a practical art. By narrowing down the thousands of factors that can shape a country''s future, it spells out ten clear rules for identifying the next big winners and losers in the global economy.''The nub of the book is how to spot which countries are likely to succeed, and which to fail, in this impermanent world. Sharma offers a framework of Trade ReviewFilled with amazing data ... fascinating insights and revealing anecdotes, this is quite simply the best guide to the global economy today. Whether you are an observer or an investor, you cannot afford to ignore it. -- Fareed ZakariaA fine guide to the great emerging market boom and bust. * The Economist *Sharma's wealth of knowledge ... and ample experience on the ground are strong foundations for his exploration of what makes economies break out, or break down. * Reuters *For sheer readability and insight on the developing world drama, I dare say you won't find a better choice. * Wall Street Journal *A vital guide to the new economic order. -- Rana Foroohar * Time *

    2 in stock

    £11.69

  • Learning from the Future

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Learning from the Future

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe first book to present practical methods for using the technique of scenario planning to chart a company's course. The program offered here is based on methods developed at Royal Dutch Shell and popularized by Peter Schwartz in the bestselling The Art of the Long View.Table of ContentsPartial table of contents: INTRODUCTION TO SCENARIO LEARNING. Integrating Strategy and Scenarios (L. Fahey & R. Randall). Using Scenarios to Identify, Analyze, and Manage Uncertainty (B. Marsh). BASIC APPROACHES TO CONSTRUCTING SCENARIOS. Scenario Planning: Mapping the Paths to the Desired Future (D. Mason). Testing Your Strategies in Scenarios (C. Perrottet). Scenarios for Global Investment Strategy for the New Century (P. Schwartz & J. Ogilvy). SCENARIO APPLICATION IN DIVERSE CONTEXTS. Competitor Scenarios: Projecting a Rival's Marketplace Strategy (L. Fahey). MANAGING THE ORGANIZATIONAL CONTEXT FOR SCENARIO LEARNING. Articulating the Business Idea: The Key to Relevant Scenarios (K. van der Heijden). The Cross-Scenario Planning Process (D. Randall & R. Wilson). Notes. About the Author. Index.

    15 in stock

    £37.50

  • Mechanism in Organic Chemistry

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Mechanism in Organic Chemistry

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe definitive guide to technical analysis... written from a trader's perspective With the keen insight and perspective that have made him a market legend, Jack D. Schwager explores, explains, and examines the application of technical analysis in futures trading.Table of ContentsPartial table of contents: CHART ANALYSIS. Charts: Forecasting Tool or Folklore? Trends. Trading Ranges. Chart Patterns. Is Chart Analysis Still Valid? Setting Objectives and Other Position Exit Criteria. Linking Contracts for Long-Term Chart Analysis: Nearest Versus Continuous Futures. REAL-WORLD CHART ANALYSIS. Real-World Chart Analysis. OSCILLATORS AND CYCLES. Cycle Analysis of the Futures Markets (R. Mogey & J. Schwager). TRADING SYSTEMS AND PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT. Examples of Original Trading Systems. Testing and Optimizing Trading Systems. PRACTICAL TRADING GUIDELINES. Eighty-Two Trading Rules and Market Observations. Index.

    15 in stock

    £70.50

  • The Growth Delusion

    Bloomsbury Publishing PLC The Growth Delusion

    5 in stock

    Book SynopsisSHORTLISTED FOR THE ORWELL PRIZE FOR POLITICAL WRITING 2019''A near miracle'' Ha-Joon Chang, author of 23 Things They Don''t Tell You About CapitalismAccording to the economy, we have never been wealthier or happier. So why doesn't it feel that way? The Growth Delusion explores how we prioritise growth maximisation without stopping to think about the costs. So much of what is important to our well-being, from safe streets to sound minds, lies outside the purview of statistics. In a book that is both thought-provoking and entertaining, David Pilling argues that our steadfast loyalty to growth is informing misguided policies, and proposes different criteria for measuring our success.Trade ReviewA most thoughtful and profound philosophical reflection on how we live our lives, organise our societies and shape the future of humanity. It should be compulsory reading for everyone who is interested in making the world a better place -- Ha-Joon Chang, author of '23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism'A welcome antidote to the gospel according to GDP -- David Smith * Sunday Times *A witty, well-informed and well-travelled guide to our obsession with growth ... If he sometimes makes fun of measurement, he also makes measurement fun. A real achievement -- Angus Deaton, Winner of the Nobel Prize in EconomicsEngaging and enlightening, The Growth Delusion explains not only why the emperor has no clothes, but why he wasn’t really the emperor in the first place -- David Mitchell, author of 'Cloud Atlas'If you thought that GDP did not necessarily translate into increased welfare, David Pilling shows you convincingly why you were right. One of the Financial Times' most brilliant columnists, Pilling has produced a book that will become a classic -- Jagdish Bhagwati, author of 'Why Growth Matters' and 'In Defense of Globalization'Excellent. The argument for better ways of measuring prosperity is steadily gathering momentum -- Rohan Silva * Evening Standard *A rare beast: a book on economics that is well written, accessible and – whisper it – entertaining! Witty, widely travelled and well-informed, David Pilling is an excellent guide to the pitfalls and shortcomings of GDP and a trenchant exponent of the need to move beyond the ‘cult of growth’ * New Internationalist *Sharp and engaging ... Pilling argues that gross domestic product (GDP) is an arbitrary, oversimplified human invention that we slavishly follow, and growth is a modern "cult". Like all cults, it requires unquestioning allegiance - in this case the one-decimal-point figure produced by national statisticians every three months. Pilling, who has written about GDP from five continents over 20 years for the FT, started asking questions about the cult and couldn't stop ... Pilling is right that the spell needs to be broken ... Entertaining and well-argued -- Philip Aldrich * The Times *A surprisingly zippy book that has the potential to take a smart riposte of mindless growth into mainstream debate … Pilling isn’t afraid to make the well-worn criticisms of GDP, and does with clarity and force. But the real beauty of the book is how effortlessly he takes this argument a step further, demonstrating how GDP often makes no sense whatsoever, even taken on its own terms … A wonderful book … A surprisingly addictive page turner, capable of captivating the general reader on a subject known for making eyes glaze over … By injecting a credible dose of ambivalence into common assumptions about GDP he offers a very welcome entry into post-2008 economic writing * Resurgence Ecologist *Briskly and engagingly, David Pilling alerts us to our impoverished sense of reality in an age that has sacrificed quality to quantity. The Growth Delusion should be read by everyone who wants to make sense of the political earthquakes of our time -- Pankaj Mishra, author of 'Age of Anger'This is an excellent and timely book which should be mandatory reading for policymakers, economists, investors and, yes, journalists. It exposes the folly of our modern obsession with a narrow concept of economics and our reliance on gross domestic product data as a sign of well being - and does this in a lively, well written, and easy-to-understand way -- Gillian Tett, author of 'Fool's Gold' and 'The Silo Effect'Entertaining and well-argued -- Book of the Week * The Week *In The Growth Delusion Pilling makes an important yet complicated subject accessible to experts and non-experts alike. The book offers a most insightful and at times witty guide to the essential question: what precisely is economic growth for and how can it be harnessed to improve the lives of people in poor countries as well as rich ones? -- Kofi Annan, seventh Secretary-General of the United Nations and Winner of the Nobel Peace PrizeThis is a fascinating and extremely readable book which engagingly challenges many of our assumptions about what makes for a successful economy and a happy life -- Chris Patten, the last Governor of Hong Kong and author of 'East and 'West'What economics needs now, what we all need, are people who can bring it back to life. In The Growth Delusion Pilling does exactly that, charting the idea of economic growth from its birth to the present through countless vivid stories -- Joe Earle, author of 'The Econocracy'

    5 in stock

    £9.99

  • On Trend

    University of Illinois Press On Trend

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisTrade Review"If you think hot trends just whirl up like dust storms, think again: This fascinating book pulls the curtain back on an entire industry devoted to shaping our perceptions of what matters—and with it, the future itself."—Fred Turner, author of The Democratic Surround: Multimedia and American Liberalism from World War II to the Psychedelic Sixties "On Trend is wide-ranging, yet it holds together through a fusion of scholarly reconstruction and engaged critique. Such a combination is often intended but seldom so well executed." --Scott McLemee, Inside Higher Ed

    15 in stock

    £15.19

  • On the Edge

    Penguin Publishing Group On the Edge

    10 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe Instant New York Times Bestseller“Engaging and entertaining… a glimpse of the economy of the future.” —Tim Wu, New York Times Book ReviewFrom the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, the definitive guide to our era of risk—and the players raising the stakesIn a world wired for chaos, these players are rewriting the rules. High-stakes, high-IQ, and often high on their own mythologies, they are driving the next era of finance, tech, and politics. But what happens when their bets go too far?Nate Silver’s On the Edge reveals the hidden world of the River. It is the domain of gamblers and like-minded folks who move markets and change the fabric of society: poker legends, hedge fund titans, crypto speculators, and even those willing to bet the world’s future on AI. They are obsessives with a deep hunger for volatility and an unrelenting desire to exploit every edge over the rest of us. Silver embeds with them, com-peting in the World Series of Poker, visiting Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX compound, and attending wild Miami yacht parties at the height of the crypto bubble.On the Edge is a front-row seat to a new world order built on risk, math, and ambition—a gripping ride through the minds shaping your future, whether you like it or not.

    10 in stock

    £20.95

  • Adaptive Markets

    Princeton University Press Adaptive Markets

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisTrade Review"Winner of the 2018 PROSE Award for Excellence in Social Sciences, Association of American Publishers""Winner of the 2018 PROSE Award for Business, Finance & Management, Association of American Publishers""Finalist for the 2017 TIAA Paul A. Samuelson Award, TIAA Institute""Shortlisted for the 2017 Financial Times and McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award""One of the CNBC 13 Best Business Books of 2017""One of Foreign Affairs Best of Books 2017 – Economic, Social, and Environment / Finance""One of The New York Times Deal Book “Business Books Worth Reading” 2017 (chosen by Andrew Sorkin)""One of Exame’s “9 books that will help you get rich in 2018”""One of MoneyWeek’s “Five of the best books of 2017” (chosen by Dr. Matthew Partridge)""One of The Wall Street Journal’s What Business Leaders Read in 2017""One of the Microsoft Best Business Books of 2017""One of Financial Times (FT.com) Best Books of 2017: Economics""One of Bloomberg’s Best Books of 2017, chosen by Vitor Constancio""One of Bloomberg’s Best Books of 2017, chosen by Robert Shiller""[Adaptive Markets] is very well written, striking a right balance between education and teaching."---Mathis Mörke, Markets and Portfolio Management"[Adaptive Markets] delivers an important contribution to the ongoing discussion about the EMH in a very entertaining way."---Christoph Kaserer, Journal of Economics

    15 in stock

    £17.09

  • La falsa ilusión del éxito / Delusion of Success:

    Penguin Random House Grupo Editorial La falsa ilusión del éxito / Delusion of Success:

    10 in stock

    Book Synopsis

    10 in stock

    £14.10

  • The Wall Street Journal Guide to Investing in the

    HarperCollins Publishers Inc The Wall Street Journal Guide to Investing in the

    Out of stock

    Book SynopsisIn The Wall Street Journal Guide to Investing in the Apocalypse, authors James Altucher and Douglas R. The only book of its kind currently on the market, this indispensible handbook will help savvy investors make money by seeing opportunity where others see only peril.

    Out of stock

    £12.13

  • The Great Reset

    HarperCollins Publishers Inc The Great Reset

    1 in stock

    Book Synopsis

    1 in stock

    £12.59

  • The Phoenix Economy

    HarperCollins Publishers Inc The Phoenix Economy

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisTrade Review“Felix Salmon represents the last bastion of old-school journalism, combining intellectual curiosity, a breadth of knowledge, and, crucially, razor-like intuition.” — Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan “Like its author, this take on our post-pandemic world is wise, witty, and filled with unexpected observations about our portfolios, our politics, our homes, and our hearts. The best part—you’ll come away feeling more optimistic about the world that Covid has wrought.” — Rana Foroohar, Financial Times columnist, CNN analyst, and author of Homecoming: The Path to Prosperity in a Post-Global World “A refreshing, thoughtful, and witty look into what’s changed and what’s ahead, The Phoenix Economy explores a lot more than economics and finance. It rightly warns that we live in a more unpredictable world and that ‘the unexpected isn’t over.’ Whether you are a policymaker, corporate leader, investor, or student, this is an important read.” — Mohamed A El-Erian, president of Queens’ College, Cambridge, and author of When Markets Collide “Felix Salmon is the Daniel Defoe of our time, reminding us of what we lived through during the Covid-19 pandemic and telling us how the world will change as a result.” — Joseph E. Stiglitz, recipient of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences (2001) “Felix Salmon is the rarest trifecta—thinker, reporter, storyteller. From lobster rolls to Etch A Sketch, The Phoenix Economy is your witty, knowing field guide to our new normal.” — Mike Allen, cofounder of Axios

    1 in stock

    £24.70

  • Forecasting in Business and Economics

    Emerald Publishing Limited Forecasting in Business and Economics

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisDescribes the major techniques of forecasting used in economics and business. This book focuses on the forecasting of economic data and covers a range of topics, including the description of the Box-Jenkins single series modeling techniques; forecasts from purely statistical and econometric models; nonstationary and nonlinear models; and more.Table of ContentsBasic Concepts of Forecasting. Trend-Line Fitting and Forecasting. Forecasting From Time Series Models. Further Aspects of Time Series Forecasting. Regression Methods and Economic Models. Survey Data: Anticipations and Expectations. Leading Indicators. Evaluation and Combination of Forecasting. Population Forecasting. Technological Forecasting. World Models. Tech

    15 in stock

    £62.99

  • Electricity Cost Modeling Calculations

    Elsevier Science Publishing Co Inc Electricity Cost Modeling Calculations

    Out of stock

    Book SynopsisTable of Contents1. Introduction 2. The Sustainability of a (Natural) Monopoly 3. State Regulations, Policies, and Updates on States with Retail Choice 4. The Economics (and Econometrics) of Cost Modeling 5. Case Study: Breaking up Bells 6. Cost Modeling: Single- and Multiple-Output Specifications 7. Case Study: Can Rural Electric Cooperatives Survive in a Restructured U.S. Electric Market? An Empirical Analysis 8. Case Study: A Test of Vertical Economies for Nonvertically Integrated Firms: The Case of Rural Electric Cooperatives 9. Renewable Energy Sources and Policies 10. The Theory of Efficient Prices

    Out of stock

    £83.25

  • Forecasting for Economics and Business The

    Taylor & Francis Inc Forecasting for Economics and Business The

    Out of stock

    Book SynopsisFor junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics. A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting. Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and business people working in either the private or public sectors of the economy. The general aim of this textbook is to carefully develop sophisticated professionals, who are able to critically analyze time series data and forecasting reports because they have experienced the merits and shortcomings of forecasting practice.Table of Contents1. Introduction and Context 2. A Review of Basic Statistics Concepts and the Linear Regression Model 3. Statistics and Time Series 4. Tools of the Forecaster 5. Understanding Linear Dependence: A Link to Economic Models 6. Forecasting with Moving Average (MA) Processes 7. Forecasting with AutoRegressive (AR) Processes 8. Forecasting Practice: Modeling San Diego House Price Index 9. Assessment of Forecasts and Combination of Forecasts 10. Forecasting the Long Run: Deterministic and Stochastic Trends 11. Forecasting with a System of Equations: Vector AutoRegression 12. Forecasting the Long Run and the Short Run Jointly: Cointegration and Error Correction Models 13. Forecasting Volatility I 14. Forecasting Volatility II 15. Financial Applications of Time-varying Volatility 16. Forecasting with Nonlinear Models

    Out of stock

    £166.25

  • The Map and the Territory 2.0

    Penguin Books Ltd The Map and the Territory 2.0

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisLike all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. How had our models so utterly failed us? Virtually every day, we make wagers on the future - but, even when we''re not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control, the maps by which we are steering are often out-of-date. The Map and the Territory is an important attempt to update our forecasting conceptual grid using twenty-first-century technologies, offering a lucid and empirical grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can''t.

    1 in stock

    £11.69

  • The 10 Rules of Successful Nations

    Penguin Books Ltd The 10 Rules of Successful Nations

    4 in stock

    Book SynopsisThis short primer distils Ruchir Sharma''s decades of global analytic experience into ten rules for identifying nations that are poised to take off or crash.A wake-up call to economists who failed to foresee every recent crisis, including the cataclysm of 2008, 10 Rules is full of insights on signs of political, economic, and social change. Sharma explains, for example, why autocrats are bad for the economy; robots are a blessing, not a curse; and consumer prices don''t tell you all you need to know about inflation. He shows how currency crises begin with the flight of knowledgeable locals, not evil foreigners; how debt crises start in private companies, not government; and why the best news for any country is none at all.Rethinking economics as a practical art, 10 Rules is a must-read for business, political and academic leaders who want to understand the most important forces that shape a nation''s future.

    4 in stock

    £9.49

  • The Signal and the Noise

    Penguin Putnam Inc The Signal and the Noise

    Out of stock

    Book Synopsis

    Out of stock

    £15.00

  • Macroeconomics at the Service of Public Policy

    Oxford University Press Macroeconomics at the Service of Public Policy

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisThis volume uses state of the art models from the frontier of macroeconomics to answer key questions about how the economy functions and how policy should be conducted. The contributions cover a wide range of issues in macroeconomics and macroeconomic policy. They combine high level mathematics with economic analysis, and highlight the need to update our mathematical toolbox in order to understand the increased complexity of the macroeconomic environment. The volume represents hard evidence of high research intensity in many fields of macroeconomics, and warns against interpreting the scope of macroeconomics too narrowly. The mainstream business cycle analysis, based on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) modelling of a particular type, has been criticised for its inability to predict or resolve the recent financial crisis. However, macroeconomic research on financial, information, and learning imperfections had not yet made their way into many of the pre-crisis DSGE models bTable of ContentsPART 1: FINANCIAL CRISIS AND RECOVERY ; PART 2: LEARNING, INCENTIVES, AND PUBLIC POLICY

    1 in stock

    £32.49

  • Introduction to Econometrics

    Oxford University Press Introduction to Econometrics

    Out of stock

    Book SynopsisIntroduction to Econometrics provides students with clear and simple mathematics notation and step-by-step explanations of mathematical proofs, to give them a thorough understanding of the subject. Extensive exercises throughout build confidence by encouraging students to apply econometric techniques. Retaining its student-friendly approach, Introduction to Econometrics has a comprehensive revision guide to all the essential statistical concepts needed to study econometrics, additional Monte Carlo simulations, new summaries, and non-technical introductions to more advanced topics at the end of chapters.This book is supported by online resources, which include:For lecturers: Instructor''s manual for the text and data sets, detailing the exercises and their solutions. Customizable PowerPoint slides.For students: Data sets referred to in the book. A comprehensive study guide offers students the opportunity to gain experience with econometrics through practice with exercises. Software manual. PowerPoint slides with explanations.Trade ReviewReview from previous edition What sets this book apart is abundance of available online material... * Sunčica Vujić, University of Antwerp *This is an excellent text for introductory econometrics courses and this edition is even better, especially with the increase in figures and charts. * Dr Bruce Morley, University of Bath *Students of finance need to be comfortable with the econometric tools necessary to both grasp empirical work and undertake it. This text provides an excellent point of reference and constant companion in developing precisely that understanding. * Paul Stewart, University of Ulster *Excellent textbook, which I have adopted as required reading for my class. The explanations are very clear, and yet it is very concise and does not overwhelm students. * Thomas Chadefaux, Trinity College Dublin *Table of ContentsINTRODUCTION; REVIEW: RANDOM VARIABLES, SAMPLING, ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE

    Out of stock

    £68.39

  • Commodity Prices and Markets Volume 20 NBER

    University of Chicago Press Commodity Prices and Markets Volume 20 NBER

    10 in stock

    Book SynopsisFluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects, such as inflation and low rates of economic growth. This title advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both analysis and a focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.

    10 in stock

    £99.00

  • Looking Forward

    The University of Chicago Press Looking Forward

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisIn the decades after the Civil War, the world experienced monumental changes in industry, trade, and governance. As Americans faced this uncertain future, public debate sprang up over the accuracy and value of predictions, asking whether it was possible to look into the future with any degree of certainty. In Looking Forward, Jamie L. Pietruska uncovers a culture of prediction in the modern era, where forecasts became commonplace as crop forecasters, weather prophets, business forecasters, utopian novelists, and fortune-tellers produced and sold their visions of the future. Private and government forecasters competed for authority as well as for an audience and a single prediction could make or break a forecaster's reputation. Pietruska argues that this late nineteenth-century quest for future certainty had an especially ironic consequence: it led Americans to accept uncertainty as an inescapable part of both forecasting and twentieth-century economic and cultural life. Drawing together histories of science, technology, capitalism, environment, and culture, Looking Forward explores how forecasts functioned as new forms of knowledge and risk management tools that sometimes mitigated, but at other times exacerbated, the very uncertainties they were designed to conquer. Ultimately Pietruska shows how Americans came to understand the future itself as predictable, yet still uncertain.

    15 in stock

    £35.10

  • Business Cycles Indicators  Forecasting Volume 28

    University of Chicago Press Business Cycles Indicators Forecasting Volume 28

    10 in stock

    Book SynopsisIn this volume, economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time - series analysis.Table of ContentsAcknowledgments Introduction James H. Stock And Mark W. Watson 1. Twenty-Two Years Of The NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects And Comparisons Of Forecasting Performance Victor Zarnowitz And Phillip Braun Comment: Allen Sinai 2. A Procedure For Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues And Recent Experience James H. Stock And Mark W. Watson Comment: Kenneth F. Wallis 3. Estimating Event Probabilities From Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation Ray C. Fair Comment: James D. Hamilton 4. A Nine Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model Christopher A. Sims Comment: Pierre Perron 5. Why Does The Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity? Benjamin M. Friedman And Kenneth N. Kuttner Comment: Ben S. Bernanke 6. Further Evidence On Business Cycle Duration Dependence Francis X. Diebold, Glenn D. Rudebusch, And Daniel E. Sichel Comment: Bruce E. Hansen 7. Dynamic Index Models For Large Cross Sections Danny Quah And Thomas J. Sargent Comment: John Geweke 8. Modelling Non-Linearity Over The Business Cycle Clive W.J. Granger, Timo Terdsvirta, And Heather Anderson Comment: Andrew Harvey Contributors Author Index Subject Index

    10 in stock

    £76.00

  • Business Cycles  Theory History Indicators

    The University of Chicago Press Business Cycles Theory History Indicators

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisTable of ContentsAcknowledgments Preface I: Theories and Evidence 1: Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview 2: Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective 3: Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U.S. Economic Fluctuations 4: Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements 5: Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau II: History and Measurement 6: How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction 7: Business Cycles and Growth 8: The Regularity of Business Cycles 9: Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy III: Indicators 10: Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses 11: Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators 12: Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes Phillip Braun IV: Forecasting 13: On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions 14: An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts 15: The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts 16: Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts 17: Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction Louis A. Lambros 18: The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting References Author Index Subject Index

    1 in stock

    £125.40

  • Sold Out

    Penguin Books Ltd Sold Out

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisEmpty shelves, petrol station queues and energy shortages: crises more familiar to those who lived through the 1960s and 1970s have now become a reality for many as global shipping times are squeezed, containers lie unopened at docks and supply shortages push up inflation, increasing the cost of consumer goods from milk to cars to building materials.In Sold Out, James Rickards explains why the shelves are empty, who broke the supply chain and why shortages will persist. He breaks down the history and structure of business around the world to offer readers a behind-the-scenes look at what''s really going on, and what they can do to mitigate the worst of what''s to come.Drawing on his financial expertise, he explains that consumers and investors need to be nimble to come through this unprecedented turn of events in good shape. Luckily, Rickards is on hand to provide the tools readers need to look ahead, monitor key trends and insulate against risks.

    1 in stock

    £13.49

  • On Trend

    University of Illinois Press On Trend

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisTrade Review"If you think hot trends just whirl up like dust storms, think again: This fascinating book pulls the curtain back on an entire industry devoted to shaping our perceptions of what matters—and with it, the future itself."—Fred Turner, author of The Democratic Surround: Multimedia and American Liberalism from World War II to the Psychedelic Sixties "On Trend is wide-ranging, yet it holds together through a fusion of scholarly reconstruction and engaged critique. Such a combination is often intended but seldom so well executed." --Scott McLemee, Inside Higher Ed

    15 in stock

    £77.35

  • Stumbling Giant

    Yale University Press Stumbling Giant

    10 in stock

    Book SynopsisWhile dozens of books and articles have predicted the near-certainty of China's rise to global supremacy, this book boldly counters such widely-held assumptions. It brings to light the daunting array of challenges that today confront China, as well as the inadequacy of the responses.Trade Review"'Timothy Beardson is a brilliant entrepreneur and investment strategist and his observations about China are sobering - and a must-read for the well-informed.' (Steve Forbes, Chairman and Editor-in-Chief, Forbes Media) 'A thoughtful reconsideration of China's actual place in the new world order, based on reality rather than fanciful speculation.' (Kirkus Reviews)"

    10 in stock

    £16.14

  • Forecasting

    Yale University Press Forecasting

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisTrade Review“As an introduction to forecasting for those interested in how economists typically think about forecasting, this book is excellent. Although framed as a non-technical introduction to forecasting, even experienced forecasters and econometricians would find joy in reading it.”—Leif Anders Thorsrud, Economic Record“For a non-technical guide to economic forecasting, there could be nothing better than Forecasting: An Essential Introduction by Jennifer Castle, Michael Clements and David Hendry. It is a crystal clear and intuitive explanation of what macroeconomic forecasts can and can’t do” – The Enlightened Economist"Very welcome and much needed." — Philip Hans Franses"A tidy and beautiful introduction to opportunities, pitfalls, and new directions in economic forecasting, reflecting the distilled wisdom of researchers at the frontier of their field." — Professor Francis X. Diebold, author of Elements of Forecasting"It's a topsy-turvy world, but we all must have a view on where it is headed: from the business owner hiring a new employee to the renter becoming a homeowner. Of course, there are accurate forecasts and off-base ones. Forecasting may not turn you into Warren Buffet, but it will ensure that you avoid a forecasting blunder." — Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics and author of Financial Shock and Paying the Price

    15 in stock

    £18.99

  • Radical Uncertainty

    Little, Brown Book Group Radical Uncertainty

    2 in stock

    Book SynopsisThis ambitious and thought-provoking new work offers an overarching analysis of decision-making in all walks of life.

    2 in stock

    £12.34

  • Reflexivity and Economics George Soross theory of

    Taylor & Francis Ltd (Sales) Reflexivity and Economics George Soross theory of

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe form of âreflexivityâ â defined by the dictionary as that which is âdirected back upon itselfâ â that is most relevant to economic methodology is that where observation of the economy leads to ideas that change behavior, which in turn changes (is directed back upon) the economy itself. As George Soros explains: if investors believe that markets are efficient then that belief will change the way they invest, and that in turn will change the nature of the markets they are observing â That is the principle of reflexivity. Although various versions of reflexivity have long been discussed, in recent years George Soros has been particularly effective in bringing ideas about reflexivity to the attention of the economic and financial communities. In a series of writings he has systematically argued that reflexivity is not only an important aspect of economic life, it is an aspect that is neglected in most mainstream theorizing; and in addition, that the neglect of reflexivity has been responsible for the failure of economists to predict, explain, or offer a solution for events such as the recent financial crisis. Sorosâ ideas about reflexivity have important methodological significance, and his chapter in this book summarizes and clarifies his arguments. His contribution is joined by those of thirteen scholars from a wide range of relevant fields, who provide a commentary on the idea of reflexivity in economics. This book was originally published as a special issue of The Journal of Economic Methodology.Table of ContentsIntroduction – Reflexivity and economics: George Soros’s theory of reflexivity and the methodology of economic science 1. Fallibility, reflexivity, and the human uncertainty principle 2. Reflexivity, complexity, and the nature of social science 3. Reflexivity unpacked: performativity, uncertainty and analytical monocultures 4. George Soros: Hayekian? 5. Reflections on Soros: Mach, Quine, Arthur and far-from-equilibrium dynamics 6. Soros’s reflexivity concept in a complex world: Cauchy distributions, rational expectations, and rational addiction 7. Hypotheses non fingo: Problems with the scientific method in economics 8. Fallibility in formal macroeconomics and finance theory 9. Reflexivity and equilibria 10. Reflexivity, expectations feedback and almost self-fulfilling equilibria: economic theory, empirical evidence and laboratory experiments 11. Soros and Popper: on fallibility, reflexivity, and the unity of method 12. Reflexivity, uncertainty and the unity of science 13. On the role of reflexivity in economic analysis 14. Broader scopes of the reflexivity principle in the economy

    1 in stock

    £41.79

  • Parrys Valuation and Investment Tables

    CRC Press Parrys Valuation and Investment Tables

    1 in stock

    Book SynopsisFirst published in 1913, Richard Parryâs Valuation and Investment Tables has since become an essential tool for students and professionals in the study and practice of valuation and appraisal. That the book reached its centenary year in print and now fourteenth edition is a testament to its acclaim by the valuation and property professionals in an era of calculators and computers, and furthermore a tribute to the historical importance of Parryâs original vision and continued legacy.The purpose of the book is to provide a comprehensive range of different valuation and investment tables in one volume. Although many of the tables will be used by practicing surveyors for valuation purposes, they will also be useful to accountants and others concerned with various types of investment and financial calculations.Surveyors valuing freehold or leasehold interests in property have the choice of using either (a) annually in arrear, or (b) quarterly in advance figures of yeTable of ContentsForeword - Preface - The Construction and Use of the Tables - Tables without Allowance for Tax - Conversion Tables - Tables with Allowance for Tax - Years’ Purchase Quarterly in Advance Tables - Years’ Purchase Annually in Arrear Tables

    1 in stock

    £41.79

  • Future Ready

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Future Ready

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe recent crisis in the financial markets has exposed serious flaws in management methods. The failure to anticipate and deal with the consequences of the unfolding collapse has starkly illustrated what many leaders and managers in business have known for years; in most organizations, the process of forecasting is badly broken.Table of ContentsTable of Figures xi Foreword xiii Preface xv Acknowledgements xxv Section 1 ‘Why?’ 1 Chapter 1 Part 1 Why Change? Everyone Knows the Trouble I’ve Seen 3 Chapter 1 Part 2 Forecasting Disease, the Symptoms and the Remedy 17 Section 2 Principles 33 Chapter 2 Mastering Purpose – the Cassandra Paradox 35 Chapter 3 Mastering Time – Delay and Decision 57 Chapter 4 Mastering Models: Mapping the Future 87 Chapter 5 Mastering Measurement – Learning to Love Error 125 Chapter 6 Mastering Risks: How the Paranoid Survive 151 Section 3 ‘Praxis’ 179 Chapter 7 Mastering Process: The Mother of Good Fortune 183 Theme #1 Recipe for success: tips and traps 183 Theme #2 Coordination in a complex system: how different can we be? 198 Theme #3 ‘Whose job is it anyway?’ Roles and responsibilities 210 Section 4 Transformation 219 Chapter 8 Implementation: Beginnings and Endings 221 Chapter 9 Beyond Forecasting: The Biggest Barrier 233 Chapter 10 Beyond Budgeting: A New Management Model? 243 Chapter 11 Conclusion: Reconnection 257 Glossary 261 Appendix 1 – Design Principles: A Summary 267 Appendix 2 – Important Concepts in Systems and Cybernetics 275 References 289 Index 295

    15 in stock

    £17.59

  • Applied Time Series Modelling and Forecasting

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Applied Time Series Modelling and Forecasting

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe text has been thoroughly updated to incorporate recent developments and includes three major new chapters on: time series modelling in the financial economics area, the Harvey approach to structural time series modelling and cointegration, and panel data models and non--stationary time series.Table of ContentsPreface. 1. Introduction and Overview. Some Initial Concepts. Forecasting. Outline of the Book. 2. Short- and Long-run Models. Long-run Models. Stationary and Non-stationary Time Series. Spurious Regressions. Cointegration. Short-run Models. Conclusion. 3. Testing for Unit Roots. The Dickey–Fuller Test. Augmented Dickey–Fuller Test. Power and Level of Unit Root Tests. Structural Breaks and Unit Root Tests. Seasonal Unit Roots. Structural Breaks and Seasonal Unit Root Tests. Periodic Integration and Unit Root-testing. Conclusion on Unit Root Tests. 4. Cointegration in Single Equations. The Engle–Granger (EG) Approach. Testing for Cointegration with a Structural Break. Alternative Approaches. Problems with the Single Equation Approach. Estimating the Short-run Dynamic Model. Seasonal Cointegration. Periodic Cointegration. Asymmetric Tests for Cointegration. Conclusion s. 5. Cointegration in Multivariate Systems. The Johansen Approach. Testing the Order of Integration of the Variables. Formulation of the Dynamic Model. Testing for Reduced Rank. Deterministic Components in the Multivariate Model. Testing of Weak Exogeneity and VECM with Exogenous I (l) Variables. Testing for Linear Hypotheses on Cointegration Relations. Testing for Unique Cointegration Vectors. Joint Tests of Restrictions on α and β Seasonal Unit Roots. Seasonal Cointegration. Conclusions. Appendix 1: Programming in SHAZAM. 6. Modelling the Short-run Multivariate System. Introduction. Estimating the Long-run Cointegration Relationships. Parsimonious VECM. Conditional PVECM. Structural Modelling. Structural Macroeconomic Modelling. 7. Panel Data Models and Cointegration. Introduction. Panel Data and Modelling Techniques. Panel Unit Root Tests. Testing for Cointegration in Panels. Estimating Panel Cointegration Models. Conclusion on Testing for Unit Roots and Cointegration in Panel Data. 8. Modelling and Forecasting Financial Times Series. Introduction. ARCH and GARCH. Multivariate GARCH. Estimation and Testing. An Empirical Application of ARCH and GARCH Models. ARCH-M. Asymmetric GARCH Models. Integrated and Fractionally Integrated GARCH Models. Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Unit Roots and Cointegration. Forecasting with GARCH Models. Further Methods for Forecast Evaluation. Conclusions on Modelling and Forecasting Financial Time Series. Appendix: Cointegration Analysis Using the Johansen Technique: A Practitioner’s Guide to PcGive 10.1. Statistical Appendix. References. Index.

    15 in stock

    £48.56

  • Technical Analysis Study Guide

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Technical Analysis Study Guide

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe definitive guide to technical analysis... written from a trader's perspective With the keen insight and perspective that have made him a market legend, Jack D. Schwager explores, explains, and examines the application of technical analysis in futures trading.Table of ContentsPartial table of contents: CHART ANALYSIS. Charts: Forecasting Tool or Folklore? Trends. Trading Ranges. Chart Patterns. Is Chart Analysis Still Valid? Setting Objectives and Other Position Exit Criteria. Linking Contracts for Long-Term Chart Analysis: Nearest Versus Continuous Futures. REAL-WORLD CHART ANALYSIS. Real-World Chart Analysis. OSCILLATORS AND CYCLES. Cycle Analysis of the Futures Markets (R. Mogey & J. Schwager). TRADING SYSTEMS AND PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT. Examples of Original Trading Systems. Testing and Optimizing Trading Systems. PRACTICAL TRADING GUIDELINES. Eighty-Two Trading Rules and Market Observations. Index.

    15 in stock

    £37.50

  • Market Magic

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Market Magic

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisShe''s been compared to a beacon shining through the fog. Her thorough research, meticulous analyses, and extraordinarily accurate forecasts have won her the respect and admiration of colleagues up and down the Street. A protégée of the master technical analyst Alan Shaw, she is currently Senior Technical Analyst, Vice President for Research at Salomon Smith Barney. But what some insiders remember most about Louise Yamada is that in 1994 she was among the very first to predict the greatest bull market of the twentieth century. In Market Magic, Louise Yamada shares her formidable skills to look beyond the daily noise of trading and help guide your investments through the perils and uncertainties of the next ten years. At a time when classical forecasting techniques seem to be failing us and even the professionals are at a loss as to which way the markets will go, Yamada marshals her experience and talent to offer on-target analyses of today''s macro forces and specific trend foTrade Review"In analyzing the current bull market, you can miss the forest for the trees unless you take a step back and look at the big picture, writes Louise Yamada in MARKET MAGIC. And that's exactly what Yamada does in this book-she conducts an in-depth analysis of the current market."-Registered Representative "Few on Wall Street can match Louise Yamada for analytical ability as well as insight on the big issues affecting investors. We are fortunate she is willing to share the results of her thoughts and research with us."-Mark Haines, CNBC "Louise Yamada has a special talent for anticipating future financial trends. Market Magic is a must read for investors as we prepare for the exciting decade ahead." -David Cork, F.C.S.I., author of The Pig and the Python: How to Prosper from the Aging Baby Boom "Market Magic demystifies the voodoo of technical analysis and relates technical indicators to the real world of stocks and bonds and demographic and economic trends worldwide."-Oscar S. Schafer, General Partner, Cumberland Associates; Member, Barron's RoundtableTable of ContentsTHE EVOLUTION OF DISCOVERY: TECHNICAL UNDERPINNINGS OF THE GREATEST BULL MARKET OF THE TWENTIETH CENTURY. U.S. Bull Market Extension? There Is Historic Precedent. The Two-Tier Market Thesis. Recent History/Market Projections. NEW HORIZONS FOR THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY. Changing Demographics. Demographics and the Stock Market. The Long-Wave Cycle: A Brief Consideration. The New Technological Era: Observations and Conceptual Thoughts. Old-Tech and New-Tech: Need for New Sectors. Revisiting the Capital/Consumer Ratio. Looking for Inflation in All the Wrong Places. New Agricultural Direction for the United States. UNSCRAMBLING THE PUZZLES. Asking Questions. New Economic Perceptions. Stock Market Implications and Expectations. CONCLUSION. What Lies Ahead: Other Emerging Forces at Work. Notes. Index.

    15 in stock

    £31.88

  • Agricultural Price Analysis and Forecasting

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Agricultural Price Analysis and Forecasting

    Out of stock

    Book SynopsisUses a problem solving framework to provide students with the means for acquiring the necessary skills in the application of economic theory. Enables them to understand that economic theory does describe authentic relationships by actual people in the existing world.Table of ContentsPrice Determination Versus Price Discovery. Correcting for Inflation--The Use of Index Numbers. Price Movements Over Time--Analysis of Trends. Simple Linear Regression and the Estimation of Trends. Price Movements Over Time--Cycles. Measuring Cycles. Price Movements Over Time--Seasonality. Supply-Demand Relationships--Supply. Supply-Demand Relationships--Demand. Demand and Elasticity. Estimation of Demand and Supply--Multiple GraphicCorrelation. Estimation of Demand and Supply--Regression Revisited. Marketing Margins. Market Structure--Pure Competition. Market Structure--Monopoly and Monopsony. Market Structure--Oligopoly and Oligopsony. Index.

    Out of stock

    £168.26

  • Market Magic

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Market Magic

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisWall Street insiders have long respected Louise Yamada for her extraordinarily accurate predictions and for the meticulously researched reports that are the foundation of her forecasting methods. In this book she reveals the secrets behind her market predictions and analysis.Table of ContentsTHE EVOLUTION OF DISCOVERY: TECHNICAL UNDERPINNINGS OF THE GREATEST BULL MARKET OF THE TWENTIETH CENTURY. U.S. Bull Market Extension? There Is Historic Precedent. The Two-Tier Market Thesis. Recent History/Market Projections. NEW HORIZONS FOR THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY. Changing Demographics. Demographics and the Stock Market. The Long-Wave Cycle: A Brief Consideration. The New Technological Era: Observations and Conceptual Thoughts. Old-Tech and New-Tech: Need for New Sectors. Revisiting the Capital/Consumer Ratio. Looking for Inflation in All the Wrong Places. New Agricultural Direction for the United States. UNSCRAMBLING THE PUZZLES. Asking Questions. New Economic Perceptions. Stock Market Implications and Expectations. CONCLUSION. What Lies Ahead: Other Emerging Forces at Work. Notes. Index.

    15 in stock

    £19.19

  • Quantitative Analysis in Marketing Management

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Quantitative Analysis in Marketing Management

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisThis text brings together the key quantitative concepts and techniques which are central for the contemporary management of the marketing function. It also examines techniques drawn from other management disciplines, such as financial management.Table of ContentsSTATISTICAL ANALYSIS, DEMAND ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING IN MARKETING. Data Collection and Sampling. Further Statistical Techniques. Demand Analysis. Forecasting. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, OPERATIONS AND CONTROL SYSTEMS. Financial Techniques. Budgeting and Control. Decision Techniques. Operations Management. FUTURE TRENDS AND CONCLUSION. Future Trends. Conclusion. Appendices. Index.

    15 in stock

    £53.06

  • Elliott Wave Principle

    John Wiley & Sons Inc Elliott Wave Principle

    15 in stock

    Book SynopsisThe Elliott Wave Principle is based on the concept that stock market prices rise and fall in patterns which can be linked together into waves. It is examined here as an analytical tool which describes how the stock market behaves, and forecasts future trends.Table of ContentsPart I: Elliott Theory The Broad Concept Guidelines of Wave Formation Historical and Mathematical Background of the Wave Principle Part II: Elliott Applied Ratio Analysis and Fibonacci Time Sequences Long Term Waves and an Up-to-Date Composite Stocks and Commodities Other Approaches to the Stock Market and Their Relationship to the Wave Principle Elliott Speaks Appendix: Long Term Forecast Update, 1982 - 1983 Publisher's Postscript

    15 in stock

    £39.60

  • A Civil Economy

    The University of Michigan Press A Civil Economy

    10 in stock

    Book SynopsisA civil society is one in which a democratic government and a market economy operate. This book explores the relationship between the two, examining the civil underpinnings of capitalism and the way a civil economy evolves and is developed.

    10 in stock

    £34.94

  • Growth Triumphant

    The University of Michigan Press Growth Triumphant

    2 in stock

    Book SynopsisAn economic historian and demographer considers what the world, freed from material need, will look like

    2 in stock

    £22.75

  • The Consolations of Economics

    Faber & Faber The Consolations of Economics

    5 in stock

    Book SynopsisIn the next twenty years the world economy will enjoy one of its strongest periods of growth.Opportunities, life expectancy, income and educational standards will all rise.The West's share of the global economic cake may get smaller, but there will be more cake than ever before.These are the predictions of Gerard Lyons, a leading international economist who spent nearly thirty years working in the City. Over the last quarter-century he has been ahead of the game in predicting the major economic trends that we now take as a given. In The Consolations of Economics, Gerard Lyons presents a lucid and accessible approach to what is happening in the global economy and what it means. The results are fascinating, refreshing -- and unusually cheering.

    5 in stock

    £10.44

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