Decision theory: general Books

Book SynopsisOur most deeply held opinions and beliefs can be changed here's how.Trade Review‘An optimistic, illuminating and even inspiring read.’ -- Guardian‘Fascinating.’ -- Daily Mail‘The concept – that, with more knowledge, long-held hypotheses can be disproved – isn’t likely to be news… But it doesn’t make McRaney’s book any less interesting… [McRaney’s] writing is a tonic for those who might scratch their head at how others could be so nonsensical.’ -- New Scientist‘How Minds Change brings us face to face with the radically weird science of how our thoughts, perceptions, and beliefs are actually formed, and how they can, for better or worse, be modified. The sensation this book creates of being a bit of a stranger to one’s own mind is not entirely comfortable, but it is surely worthwhile.’ -- Jordan Ellenberg, author of Shape and How Not to Be Wrong‘David McRaney is one of our finest science communicators and How Minds Change is his greatest achievement yet. Brilliantly smart, continually entertaining and utterly timely, it will change the way you see the world – and help you change others.’ -- Will Storr, author of Selfie and The Science of Storytelling‘A riveting read on the art and science of persuasion. David McRaney’s brilliant book will force you to rethink your views about how to motivate other people to rethink theirs. In a time when too many minds seem closed, this is a masterful analysis of what it takes to open them.’ -- Adam Grant, author of Think Again‘When I first talked to David McRaney about How Minds Change, I found myself taking mad notes on everything he was explaining to me! Thank goodness he wrote the book so I can relax and just soak it all in!’ -- Simon Sinek, author of Start with Why and The Infinite Game‘If you join David McRaney on this journey – a spirited tour that ranges from activists to scientists to cultists – you’ll arrive in an unexpected place. He shows us how generous conversations can replace zero-sum debates and how genuine empathy can close deep divisions. How Minds Change is the ideal book for our perilous moment.’ -- Daniel H. Pink, author of To Sell is Human and Drive‘McRaney’s topic in How Minds Change couldn’t be more important, and he’s the perfect guide to it: warm, witty, and powered by an infectious curiosity.’ -- Julia Galef, host of the Rationally Speaking podcast and author of The Scout Mindset‘Filled with the kinds of captivating real-life stories that you can’t wait to tell your friends and the latest scientific insights from psychology and beyond, McRaney’s book provides a surprising glimpse into why changing human minds is so damn hard… but also the good news that it can in fact be possible with the right strategies.’ -- Laurie Santos, professor of psychology at Yale University and host of The Happiness Lab podcast‘McRaney’s the best science writer I know at this complex, fascinating subject – the fabric of our thought and beliefs. How Minds Change is a page-turner, filled with remarkable reporting and stories.’ -- Clive Thompson, author of Coders‘How Minds Change explores why some worldviews seem so stubbornly immune to reason and why people will nevertheless change their minds in the right circumstances.’ -- Tim Harford, FT Weekend

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Book SynopsisThis book provides strategies to solve conflicts. Co-developed by Harvard University, many lawyers, two kissing boxers, a cowboy, Mikhail Gorbatsjov.

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Book SynopsisFirst, this book will change how you see the world. Then you will change how others see it.Trade Review‘Indispensable. This book provides an essential guide to the construction of better choices – for yourself, for other individuals and for society.’ -- Daniel Kahneman, author of Noise and Thinking, Fast and Slow‘Eric Johnson is an absolute giant – one of the pioneers of modern behavioural science, with an unmatched combination of theoretical sophistication, a firm moral core, and a keen practical sense. He’s a brilliant thinker, a terrific storyteller, and a fun, vivid writer. He’s a hero of mine, and I read everything he writes.’ -- Cass Sunstein, author of Nudge‘Illuminating… A strong argument for more thoughtfully presenting options to yield better choices.’ * Kirkus *‘Eric Johnson distills the modern science of decision-making with incomparable clarity and the most captivating stories. His book is a must-read for anyone who wants to know how we can help one another make wiser choices.’ -- Angela Duckworth, author of Grit‘Eric Johnson offers a powerful tool kit for designing better end-to-end decision-making processes. His deep insight and expertise shine through on every page.’ -- Jonah Berger, author of The Catalyst and Contagious‘This book explains human decision-making with the rare clarity and insight that only comes from a researcher at the top of their field. An essential read for anyone who wants to make better choices.’ -- Nir Eyal, author of Hooked and Indistractable‘Anyone serious about knowing how best to structure the features of an offered choice or how best to respond to the presence of those features needs to read this book.’ -- Robert Cialdini, author of Influence and Pre-Suasion‘Every choice you make – from the health plan you select to the sandwich you order for lunch – was designed by someone. The Elements of Choice brilliantly reveals the subtle yet powerful levers that influence your decisions.’ -- Carol Dweck, author of Mindset‘Eric Johnson is the world’s leading expert on choice architecture. No one is better qualified to map the invisible webs of influence that constrain all we do.’ -- Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction‘The Elements of Choice is a must-read for anyone interested in the hidden forces that shape our daily decisions. And as one of the foremost scholars of judgment and decision making, Eric Johnson is the perfect person to write this important and engaging book.’ -- Katy Milkman, author of How to Change‘I love this book. It shows how you can be influenced, when making decisions, by the way the choices are presented to you. Do you think you made up your own mind about saving, spending or investing? Maybe you were subtly guided toward choices best for the financial institution, not for you. The Elements of Choice will open your eyes.’ -- Jane Bryant Quinn, author of How to Make Your Money Last‘The Elements of Choice is a manual for designers, policy-makers, and founders to understand how consumers choose. I hope it’ll be used to design smarter apps, menus, and policies that help us all choose better.’ -- Jon Stein, founder and chairman of Betterment‘An engaging and useful guide to the seemingly inconsequential factors that influence our choices. If you want to make better choices, this book is your chance to learn from a master choice architect.’ -- Barbara Mellers, George I. Heyman University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania‘Readers will be fascinated by this persuasive exploration.’ * Publishers Weekly *

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Book SynopsisNudge has transformed the way individuals, companies and governments look at the world - and in the process has become one of the most important books of the twenty-first century. This completely updated edition offers a wealth of new insights for fans and newcomers alike - about COVID-19, diet, personal finance, retirement savings, medical care, organ donation, and climate change.Every day we make decisions: about the things we buy or the meals we eat; about the investments we make and the time we spend; about our health and that of the planet. Unfortunately, we often choose badly.We are all susceptible to biases that can lead us to make bad decisions that make us poorer, less healthy and less happy. And, as Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein show, no choice is ever presented to us in a neutral way. But by knowing how people think, we can make it easier for them to choose what is best for themselves, for their families and for society. With brilliant insight and wonderful levity, Thaler and Sunstein demonstrate how best to nudge us in the right directions, without ever restricting our freedom of choice.

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Book SynopsisAn important and eye-opening look at the power of defiance, of saying 'No' in a world that demands 'Yes'.

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Book SynopsisThis powerful book introduces core critical thinking concepts and principles as an empowering problem-solving framework for every profession, course of study, and indeed every area of life. The Miniature Guide to Critical Thinking Concepts and Tools distills the groundbreaking work of Richard Paul and Linda Elder, targeting how to deconstruct thinking through the elements of reasoning and how to assess the quality of our thinking. The eighth edition of this guide further details the foundations of critical thinking and how they can be applied in instruction to improve teaching and learning at all levels; it also reveals how we can learn to identify and avoid egocentric and sociocentric thought, which lead to close-mindedness, self-deception, arrogance, hypocrisy, greed, selfishness, herd mentality, prejudice, and the like. With more than half a million copies sold, Richard Paul and Linda Elder’s bestselling book in the Thinker’s Guide Library is used in secondary and higher education courses and professional development seminars across the globe. In a world of conflicting information and clashing ideologies, this guide clears a path for advancing fairminded critical societies.Trade ReviewThe work of Linda Elder and Richard Paul is vital to the progress of our democratic society. Read this book, change your life, and in the process make the world a safe and saner place to live. -- Michael Shermer, publisher of Skeptic MagazineThe absolute and essential guide for learning a system and process for thinking critically in all areas of your life. -- Bryan Deptula, CEO, BKD LeadersPacked with more relevant information than any large textbook. Don't ever lose it, and refer to it often. -- Neal Fleisher, clinical professor, Boston UniversityA brief, but excellent introductory guide to the foundational concepts of critical thinking. -- Linda Tym, associate professor, Southern Adventist University

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Book SynopsisToday’s instantaneous and ever-present news stream frequently presents a sensationalized or otherwise distorted view of the world, demanding constant critical engagement on the part of everyday citizens.The Critical Thinker’s Guide to Bias, Lies, and Politics in the News reveals the power of critical thinking to make sense of overwhelming and often subjective media by detecting ideology, slant, and spin at work. Building off the Richard Paul and Linda Elder framework for critical thinking, Elder focuses on the internal logic of the news as well as societal influences on the media while illustrating essential elements of trustworthy journalism. With up-to-date discussions of social media, digital journalism, and political maneuvering inside and outside the fourth estate, Fact or Fake is an essential handbook for those who want to stay informed but not influenced by our modern news reporting systems.Table of ContentsIntroduction: Why Critical Thinking is Essential to Making Sense of the NewsThe Logic of the News MediaWhat is News?Political Views in the News – Understanding the Liberal MindPolitical Influences, Advertising, and Group ThinkTechnological Noise in the NewsWhat We Need the News Media to Do for Us Chapter 1: Current Trends Affecting How We See the News Key Critical Thinking Questions to Ask When Seeking the NewsRealities That Impede Our Ability to Get Objective News The Problem of Fake NewsSocial Media as an Unreliable News Source Chapter 2: Essential Critical Thinking Tools for Understanding Media Logic Defining Critical ThinkingA Comprehensive Approach to Critical ThinkingAll Humans Use Their Thinking to Make Sense of the WorldAll Thinking Is Defined by the Eight Elements That Make It UpAnalyze Thinking Through its Elemental StructuresQuestion the Reasoning Embedded in a News ArticleQuestion Your Own Reasoning While Reading the NewsReason Through News Articles, Editorials, and Stories – a ChecklistEvaluate Reasoning Through Critical Thinking StandardsCritical Thinking Standards for Assessing News Articles, Editorials, andStoriesDefining Characteristics of the Disciplined Mind – and How They Help Us See Through Bias and PropagandaRational or Irrational Tendencies Can Control the MindHumans Distort Reality Through Irrational LensesThe Problem of Egocentric ThinkingThe Problem of Sociocentric ThoughtChapter 3: Objectivity, Bias, and Underlying AgendasDemocracy and the News Media Myths That Obscure the Logic of the News Media Bias and Objectivity in the News Media How the News Media Views ObjectivityForms of Objectivity The Perception of Bias in the Mainstream Propaganda and News Story Writing Protecting the Home Audience from Feelings of Guilt How the News Media Fosters Sociocentric Thinking Chapter 4: Become an Astute Media ConsumerHow to Obtain Useful Information from Propaganda and Typical News Stories Steps in Becoming a Critical Consumer of the NewsMedia Awareness of Media Bias Sensitivity to Advertisers Sensitivity to Politicians and the GovernmentSensitivity to Powerful Interests Sensitivity to Their Competitors The Bias Toward “Novelty” and “Sensationalism” Critical Consumers of the News Dominant and Dissenting Views: Finding Alternative Sources of Information Buried, Ignored, or Underreported StoriesReadings that Help You Become a More Independent Thinker Chapter 5: The Future of the NewsIs It Possible for the News Media to Reform? Is the Emergence of a “Critical Society” Possible? Afterword: How the Internet and Other Technologies Pervade Our LivesHow the Internet Works: The Big PictureAssess a Given Website Using Critical Thinking Standards Appendix: An Abbreviated Glossary of Critical Thinking Concepts and Terms

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Book SynopsisHow do we make the judgments that inform our lives? Is there any way of consciously removing bias from the choices we make? What do our everyday personal decisions have in common with those made by groups, companies, and even nations? In this engaging and innovative textbook, Nancy Kim presents a multidisciplinary introduction to the dynamic field of judgment and decision-making. This lucidly written text delivers insights from cognitive psychology, aptly combining with interdependent findings from fields as diverse as neuropsychology, behavioural economics, social, developmental and clinical psychology, and philosophy. Offering not only a comprehensive explanation of the neurological structures and cognitive processes that underlie how we make decisions and form judgments in our everyday lives, readers can expect to learn the implications of these decisions upon an individual's prospects for health and longevity.Understanding behaviour is a central aspect of inquiry in the psycTrade ReviewNancy Kim’s comprehensive and engaging text is the perfect introduction to the exciting breadth of this increasingly recognised field in psychology. By describing its fundamental concepts and theories with clarity, it highlights many rich and insightful connections to applied problems. Judgement and Decision Making is sure to become a standard text for anyone wishing to learn about this major field of behavioural science. * Prof David Shanks, Head, Division of Psychology and Language Sciences, University College London *Nancy Kim is an extremely competent author with distinct content knowledge about judgment and decision-making. She has written a learned, comprehensive textbook with a unique approach: with links to developmental research. Nancy Kim covers the classic themes and includes some more surprising topics, such as Paranormal phenomena, which seems especially relevant in this era where scientific findings are sometimes openly doubted. I highly recommend this book. * Prof. Dr. Cilia Witteman, Diagnostic Decision Making, Radboud Universiteit *Table of Contents1: Introduction 2: Representativeness and Availability 3: Hindsight Bias 4: Anchoring and Primacy Effects in Judgment 5: Mental Accounting and Choice 6: Schemas and Framework Theories 7: Expected Utility Theory 8: Framing Effects and Prospect Theory 9: Judging Covariation, Contingency, and Cause 10: Hypothesis Testing and Confirmation Bias 11: Risk Assessment 12: Prediction 13: Belief 14: Moral Judgment and Cooperation.

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Book SynopsisWinner of best smart thinking book 2022 (Business Book Awards)Guardian best books of 2021''Original, thought-provoking and a joy to read'' Tim Harford''Highly recommended. It''s not easy to become (more of) a scout, but it''s hard not to be inspired by this book'' Rutger BregmanWhen it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a ''soldier'' mindset. From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalising in our personal lives and everything in between, we are driven to defend the ideas we most want to believe - and shoot down those we don''t.But if we want to get things right more often we should train ourselves to think more like a scout. Unlike the soldier, a scout''s goal isn''t to defend one side over the other. It''s to go out, survey the territory, and come back with as accurate a map as possible. Regardless of what they hope to be the case, aboTrade ReviewJulia Galef doesn't simply harangue us for not thinking clearly; she diagnoses why we do it, and suggests concrete ways to improve our rationality. This is a book that will make a real difference in how you think -- Sean Carroll, author of Something Deeply HiddenJulia Galef is an intellectual leader of the rationalist community, and in The Scout Mindset you will find an engaging, clearly written distillation of her very important accumulated wisdom on these topics -- Tyler Cowen, author of Big Business and The Great StagnationDrawing on her extensive knowledge of the scientific literature and of popular culture, Julia Galef explores the remarkable human capacity for self-deception - and shows us how we can catch ourselves in the act of fooling ourselves -- Philip Tetlock, author of SuperforecastingThe Scout Mindset offers an insightful, entertaining and genuinely useful guide to thinking more clearly -- Don Moore, author of Perfectly ConfidentAn engaging and enlightening account from which we all can benefit * Wall Street Journal *Highly recommended. It's not easy to become (more of) a scout, but it's hard not to be inspired by this book -- Rutger Bregman, bestselling author of Humankind and Utopia for RealistsWe know a lot about how flawed human reasoning is, but surprisingly little about how to repair it in our daily lives. Thankfully, Julia Galef is here to change that. With insights that are both sharp and actionable, her book picks up where Predictably Irrational left off. Reading it will teach you to think more clearly, see yourself more accurately, and be wrong a little less often -- Adam Grant, author of Originals and Give and Take, host of WorkLife podcastJulia understands human thinking with incredible clarity and she's a master at communicating that clarity to others through her writing and metaphors. I haven't stopped thinking about the scout mindset ever since I first heard Julia explain it -- Tim Urban, writer and creator of Wait But WhyJulia Galef is one of the smartest, most exciting voices not just in American rationalism, but in American writing period. She is consistently fascinating -- Johann Hari, international bestselling author of Stolen Focus and Lost ConnectionsJulia Galef, one of our foremost experts on identifying the problem of motivated reasoning and cognitive biases, has produced the best work to date on what to do about it, both personally to improve our lives and socially to make the world a more rational and reasonable place for all. A must-read for all who have trouble saying "I was wrong" and "I change my mind", which is all of us -- Michael Shermer, writer, founder of Skeptic, and New York Times bestselling author of The Moral ArcThe Scout Mindset is essential reading for understanding how the stories we tell ourselves sacrifice better decision-making in the long-term for a short-term boost to our egos . . . A must-read for anyone looking be more rational in their choices -- Annie Duke, author of Thinking in BetsMost books tell you what to think. This is something rarer, and more valuable: A book about how to think and how to learn, without the fear or favour that so often holds us back from inching closer to the truth. The beauty of The Scout Mindset demonstration is it is, itself, an example of the ethos it teaches. The delight it takes in questioning its own premises, and understanding the alternative arguments, will make you want to be a scout, too -- Ezra Klein, cofounder of Vox, author of Why We Are Polarized, and host of The Ezra Klein Show podcastI've learned more about how to think and reason well from Julia Galef than from almost anyone -- Dylan Matthews, senior correspondent at VoxAn engaging and enlightening account from which we all can benefit * Wall Street Journal *Highly recommended. It's not easy to become (more of) a scout, but it's hard not to be inspired by this book * Rutger Bregman, bestselling author of Humankind and Utopia for Realists *

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Book SynopsisIn Gut Feelings: Short Cuts to Better Decision Making psychologist and behavioural expert Gerd Gigerenzer reveals the secrets of fast and effective decision-making. A sportsman can catch a ball without calculating its speed or distance. A group of amateurs beat the experts at playing the stock market. A man falls for the right woman even though she''s ''wrong'' on paper. All these people succeeded by trusting their instincts - but how does it work? As Gerd Gigerenzer explains, in an uncertain world, sometimes we have to ignore too much information and rely on our brain''s ''short cut'', or heuristic. By explaining how intuition works and analyzing the techniques that people use to make good decisions - whether it''s in personnel selection or heart surgery - Gigerenzer will show you the hidden intelligence of the unconscious mind. ''Fascinating and provocative ... Gut Feelings may well be the recipe for a simpler, less stressful life''Trade ReviewFascinating and provocative … Gut Feelings may well be the recipe for a simpler, less stressful life * Sunday Times *Gigerenzer's writing is catchily optimistic and slyly funny … devillish -- Steven Poole * Guardian *

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Book SynopsisDecision-making is an activity in which everyone is engaged on a more or less daily basis. In this book, Karin Brunsson and Nils Brunsson explore the intricacies of decision-making for individuals and organizations. When, how and why do they make decisions? The authors identify four distinct ways of reasoning that decision-makers use. The consequences of decisions vary: some promote action, others impede it, and some produce more responsibility than others. With in-depth discussions of rationality, justifications and hypocrisy, the authors show how organizational and political decision processes become over-complicated and difficult for both decision makers and external observers to understand. Decisions is a concise and easy-to-read introduction to a highly significant and intriguing topic. Based on research from several fields, it provides useful reading and essential knowledge for scholars and students throughout the social sciences and for everyone who wants to understand their own decisions and those of others.Trade Review'Decision-making is often a confusing and confused process. Emotions, judgements and prejudices can all play a part, whether a decision is made by an individual, a group or an organization. The study of decision making, however, doesn't have to be either confusing or confused as this excellent book eloquently demonstrates. The four logics of decision-making identified here provide the authors with a framework which enables them to explain in clear and simple terms decisions that appear complex, confusing or irrational.' --Yiannis Gabriel, University of Bath, UK'This rich, imaginative little book offers fascinating insights into the intricacies of decision making by both individuals and organizations, and a sobering appraisal of the delayed Swedish response to the 2004 tsunami. Any new book by Karen and Nils Brunsson is a welcome treat, and this one is a gem!' --Walter W. Powell, Stanford University'Decisions: The Complexities of Individual and Organizational Decision-Making by Nils and Karin Brunsson offers an excellent introduction to the complexities of decision-making. Decades of research on decision making are succinctly summarized and presented in a refreshing and easily accessible way. A must read for researchers, students and practitioners who want to get an overview of the latest insights into the particularities of individual and organizational decision-making.' --David Seidl, University of Zurich, SwitzerlandTable of ContentsContents: The Quake 1. Decisions 2. Individuals as decision makers 3. Organizations as decision makers 4. The Consequences of Decisions 5. Complex decision processes After the tsunami References Index

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Book SynopsisThis text offers a wealth of diverse, intriguing applications to show where game theory works, where it doesn''t, and why. Accessible to all university students, the book conveys the power, appeal, and beauty of game-theoretic logic, emphasizing problem solving over answers.

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Book SynopsisGerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. He is the author of several books on heuristics and decision making, including Reckoning with Risk.

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Book SynopsisCurrent edition descriptionWritten by two of the leading experts in critical thinking, this book focuses on an integrated, universal concept of critical thinking that is both substantive and applicable to any and every situation in which human thinking is necessary. It provides readerse with the basic intellectual tools needed for life-long learning, helping them understand the mind and how its three functions — thinking, feeling, motivation — influence and are influenced by one another. This book fosters the development of fair-minded critical thinking. Features the intellectual standards: clarity, precision, accuracy, logicalness, significance, depth, breadth, and fairness; The importance of good questioning; and intellectual tools to read for deep and lasting comprehension, and to write in ways that show clarity of reasonability of thought. For all that want to improve their critical thinking skills to apply to their job or life.The text features:Think for Yourself activities – throughout each chapter. (Ex. pp 29, 127).~Help students take ownership of basic concepts as they learn them.Practical and learnable format.~Simplifies complex ideas to make learning easier for students.Focus on thinking across the disciplines. (Ex. pp 119-120).~Helps students to think within the various disciplines, rather than memorizing facts. Students are taught to learn to think like an historian, like a scientist, like a psychologist, etc.Critical thinking focus – When students internalize intellectual standards – such as clarity, precision, accuracy, logicalness, significance, depth, breadth, and fairness – they use them on a daily basis to upgrade their thinking, and to assess the thinking of others. (Ex. 12, 152).~Gives students intellectual standards they can use in every dimension of their thinking.Features intellectual tools to read for deep and lasting comprehension, and to write in ways that show clarity of reasonability of thought. (Ex. 133).~Teaches students to read closely and write substantively.Good questions are the key to good thinking – Thinkers who know how to ask relevant questions in context are better able to think their way through complex issues. (Ex. pp 83, 87, 93).~Teaches students to ask the questions the best thinkers ask.Website – www.criticalthinking.org.~Links students to the world’s largest and most prestigious critical thinking website and provides forums for student and faculty discussions.International approach – with translations into German, French, Spanish, Japanese, Chinese, Russian, and Malay.~Provides students with the opportunity to read portions of the text in their native language."This book is well-written, lucid and contains abundant examples and applications that not only enliven the subject matter but present relevant contexts for building understanding and advanced critical thinking. In addition, it is faithful to the complexity and work required to improve one's thinking. It does not soft-pedal the challenge but actually throws down the gauntlet to the worthy Reader to pick it up."--Stephen J. Knopp, Ph.D., Ohio University "This concise version is a more comprehensive and robust textbook. Many Critical Thinking books cover thinking from a narrow angle, but Paul and Elder offer a model of critical thinking that can be applied not only to academic disciplines but also to life in general."--Connie Wolfe, Surry Community College

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Book SynopsisMake them lifelong learners by cultivating a growth mindset for kids ages 6 to 9 A growth mindset for kids helps them develop their abilities to learn new things. Growth Mindset for Kids is a fun and engaging activity book that can help your child train their growing brain and develop problem-solving skills through practice and repetition. They''ll discover how to nurture an awesome "can-do" attitude and celebrate mistakes as a path to success. Featuring dozens of everyday examples and simple exercises, this growth mindset for kids book is a great way to teach them that they can take on just about anything with a little effort and encouragement. The fun (and rewarding!) work of dreaming big, making missteps, and expanding their minds starts now. Let''s get started! Growth Mindset for Kids includes: 55 Easy activitiesFrom "Color My Brain" to "I Can Empower Myself," these practical activities work for a single child as well as an entire classroom. Kid powerExplore real-life stories about kids using a growth mindset to achieve their goals. Secrets revealedGet the fundamental basics and benefits of a growth mindset for kids. Creating a solid foundation is key to kids'' learning developmentGrowth Mindset for Kids can help.

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Book SynopsisCollective decision making seems a straightforward matter: people come together and decide. But why is it that today's winners can turn into tomorrow's losers? Why can't you always get what you want? How does the interaction between the decision makers influence the outcome? And are opportunists better off than stubborn decision makers? This book takes a refreshing look at collective decision making by using models of evolutionary biology and naturalistic decision making to analyse real-world cases. These cases include the rise and fall of the Dutch high-speed railway project and the unexpected effects of introducing public-private partnerships to connect the new Thai national airport to Bangkok. Gerrits and Marks successfully guide the reader towards an in-depth understanding through rich empirical research and uncover the beautiful complexity of collective decision making. Understanding Collective Decision Making will be of great interest to academics working in public administration, political science and evolutionary theory. Public managers will also find this book helpful to understand why and how collective decisions are formed.Trade Review'For a while, complexity theory holds the promise of a new paradigm for the planning sciences. This book is a major step forward in that endeavour. It provides a unique blend of analytical reasoning and in-depth case studies within an original and coherent framework.' --Koen Frenken, Utrecht University, the Netherlands'Brilliant! Grounded in the concept of fitness landscapes - as well as the latest advances in case-based modeling and critical realism, and also visual and social complexity - this book is a significant breakthrough in the study of collective decision making, particularly as it unfolds across conceptual time/space. To do so, Gerrits and Marks appeal to the readers' intuition, helping them navigate two fictional worlds (clock and cloud) to arrive at four different real-world empirical examples, which are wonderfully illustrated. There is also a web-based software package (un-code.org), which the authors developed and which readers can now use to employ these new tools. An absolute must-read!' --Brian Castellani, Kent State University, USTable of ContentsContents: 1. An uphill struggle 2. Models of social evolution: fitness landscapes 3. The transformation of fitness landscapes 4. The model 5. Memory of a dream: High-speed rail in the Netherlands 6. Enter in time: Analysing dynamics in three empirical studies 7. Evolution in collective decision making Index

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Book SynopsisTrade Review"A New Statesman Best Book of the Academic Presses""A highly original and very persuasive book. . . .Carefully argued and fair-minded but forceful in its conclusions, Free Agents is interdisciplinary research at its best."---Joe Humphreys, Irish Times"Mitchell's compelling and absorbing book acts both as a synthesizing primer about evolution and a powerful argument for free will. Its importance and quality are undeniable. A bold, brilliant must-read that should reach a large audience." * Kirkus Reviews, starred review *"An eloquent defense of our common-sense understanding of the mind. . . . [E]xcellent."---Andrew Crumey, Wall Street Journal"[Mitchell] makes a powerful case that history of life, in all its complex grandeur, cannot be appreciated until we understand the evolution of agency—and then, in creatures of sufficient complexity, the evolution of conscious free will. . . . [Free Agents] builds an argument that is methodical and crisp, and cuts through years of disputation like a knife through cotton candy."---James Gleick, New York Review of Books"Provocative." * Publishers Weekly *"Mitchell’s naturalization of free will shows that it need not be some mysterious non-physical force, but instead a cognitive phenomenon in which all manner of influences. . .are integrated into decisions to act, formulated with varying degrees of conscious awareness (of genuine will, you might say). “You” don’t generate free will; rather, the mental processes of deliberation are a part of what makes you."---Philip Ball, Times Literary Supplement"Humans are not, says Kevin Mitchell, the playthings of predestination. Millennia of evolution means that our nervous systems have given us the wherewithal both to imagine and to predict. Mitchell explains how this power came about and why it matters." * New Statesman *"Two popular books. . . have breathed new life into the ancient debate over whether we have free will. In Free Agents, Kevin Mitchell argues that we do, and in Determined, Robert Sapolsky argues that we don’t. To be blunt, on the big issue at hand – Mitchell is right and Sapolsky is wrong. . . . [H]ow can the information in our brains come together to form a coherent and causally potent self? Mitchell offers a strikingly lucid evolutionary story of how such a self emerged. "---Oliver Waters, Three Quarks Daily"Mitchell persuasively develops a more modest conception of free will that entails the evolved ability to make real choices in the service of our goals—that is, to act for our own reasons. This carefully argued, information-dense book will put a dent in any intellectual predilection toward determinism that some readers may have. It certainly did mine."---Ronald Bailey, Reason"A challenge to neuro-reductionism. . . . As Mitchell explains the growth of agency across 12 penetrating and fluent chapters, they read not like a series of academic lectures but rather a stimulating conversation where a reader’s next question is anticipated and answered."---Peter Sterling, Current Biology"A sophisticated, scientific response to determinism. . . . [A] provocative and special contribution to the discourse on free will."---Stetson Thacker, Holodoxa"Ground-breaking. . . .A significant contribution to the free will debate." * Paradigm Explorer *"Mitchell’s retelling of life’s history turns out to be a fascinating exercise with relevance far beyond the free will debate. . . . Free Agents is a tightly argued and compelling case in favour of free will. Mitchell proves himself an able wordsmith who crams profound ideas in short sentences that benefit from reading and unpacking slowly. . . . [A] spectacular read."---Leon Vlieger, Inquisitive Biologist

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Book SynopsisUnderstand the unique pattern to change and you can turn that change into opportunity!Change: How to Turn Uncertainty Into Opportunity is among the transformative books to change your mindset on navigating change with confidence. With a wealth of experience, the experts at FranklinCovey demystify uncertainty and empower leaders to drive positive outcomes for business management.Understand the predictable patterns. By following the Change Model outlined in the book, leaders can effectively engage their teams and chart a clear path forward. This book provides concrete examples for engaging teams through their unique process for creating actionable change. It also explores how to leaders and their businesses can get comfortable with uncertainty, make informed decisions, and adapt to varying circumstances, fostering a culture of positive change and innovation within organizations.A profound business parable. Change: How to Turn Uncertainty Into Opportunity is a must-read for anyone seeking to be adept at the art of problem solving and take control of the change process. It is a valuable resource that begins with a business parable that invites leaders to reflect on their own change journey and discover their team''s set of predictable patterns and reactions. Navigate change effectively and drive meaningful results in today''s dynamic business management environment.Inside you’ll find: Concrete examples and step-by-step instructions to engage teams through the change process Details on the Change Model leading to actionable and predictable change Insights into where most change initiatives fail and how to adapt If you are looking for some of the best business management books such as Powering Change or Who Rocked the Boat? then read Change!

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Book Synopsis'An inspirational memoir from an extraordinary woman . . . A humbling, jaw-dropping read' Viv Groskop'This book will change the way you think. Forever' CosmopolitanDr Sabrina Cohen-Hatton has been a firefighter for eighteen years. She decides which of her colleagues rush into a burning building and how they confront the blaze. She makes the call to evacuate if she believes the options have been exhausted or that the situation has escalated beyond hope.Taking us to the very heart of firefighting, she immerses us in this extraordinary world; from scenes of devastation and crisis, through triumphs of bravery, to the quieter moments when she questions herself. Revealing her own story for the very first time, she recounts her years spent sleeping rough and her passion for a career that allows her to rescue others as she was never rescued herself.This book is the result of everything she has learnt about how we respond in our most extreme moments.'This book challenges assumptions about who firefighters are, and about what women can do' The GuardianTrade ReviewAn inspirational memoir from an extraordinary woman. The Heat of the Moment does for the fire service what Adam Kay’s This Is Going to Hurt did for the NHS. A humbling, jaw-dropping read which redefines what is possible in life * Viv Groskop *Gripping, heart-stopping and profoundly reassuring. Thank heavens for such courage. * Sue Black, author of All That Remains *A vivid reminder of the horrors that firefighters face daily - and the debt of gratitude society owes them . . . This book challenges assumptions about who firefighters are, and about what women can do. * The Guardian *[One of] the wonder women of our emergency services * Glamour *An immersive insight into a job which few of us could do, by a woman whose award-winning research into decision-making in the emergency services has transformed policy at a global level. * Stylist *

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Book SynopsisTrade Review"Kim Wehle writes with clarity, verve, and a sense of style that combine to make legal thinking uniquely accessible to broad audiences." — Laurence H. Tribe, University Professor of Constitutional Law Emeritus, Harvard University

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Book SynopsisTrade ReviewA thinker for uncertain times. . . If you want to better understand populism, Trump, Brexit and the anti-establishment backlash then Taleb, of no party or clique, is your man -- Josh Glancy * Sunday Times *A great iconoclast. . . Taleb, a Wall Street trader turned essayist, is a thinker touched by genius. . . The big picture he presents is powerfully argued and offers myriad policy implications -- Matthew Syed * The Times *The most prophetic voice of all . . . Taleb is a genuinely significant philosopher . . . someone who is able to change the way we view the structure of the world through the strength, originality and veracity of his ideas alone -- John Gray * GQ *Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the Richard Wagner of uncertainty. While the Ring Cycle of the German composer/librettist portrayed the struggle of the gods in a series of operas, the Incerto series of books by the Lebanese-American author is devoted to humans -- specifically how we deal with the endemic risk in our all-too-finite existence -- Dominic Lawson * Sunday Times *As always with Taleb, this is a fascinating set of ideas. And he's right. People with skin in the game learn how the game works. Without it, they don't -- William Leith * Evening Standard *The author of The Black Swan is back with a simple warning: don't buy what your neighbour is selling unless he owns some too. The obvious application for this is investing, but Taleb has a much broader domain. In a kind of philosophical Freakonomics, he takes us from 5th-century wandering monks (banned by the church because they were too free) to Donald Trump (his imperfections showed he had skin in the game) -- Rosamund Urwin * Sunday Times Books of the Year *

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Book SynopsisTHE NEW INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER FROM THE AUTHOR OF THE BIG SHORT AND FLASH BOYS''A gripping account of how two psychologists reshaped the way we think ... What a story it is'' Sunday Times ''You''ll love it ... full of surprises and no small degree of tragedy'' Tim HarfordIn 1969 two men met on a university campus. Their names were Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. They were different in every way. But they were both obsessed with the human mind - and both happened to be geniuses. Together, they would change the way we see the world.''An enchanted collaboration ... During the final pages, I was blinking back tears'' The New York Times ''My favourite writer full stop. Engages both heart and brain like no other'' Daily Telegraph''Brilliant, a wonderful book, a masterclass'' Spectator ''Psychology''s Lennon and McCartney ... Lewis is exactly the storyteller they deserve'' ObserverTrade ReviewMichael Lewis is a brilliant writer... The Undoing Project is a masterclass in narrative non-fiction -- Steven Poole * Spectator *A new book by Michael Lewis promises an absorbing story, dazzling ideas, journalistic flair and originality. He achieves this with extraordinary consistency. In The Undoing Project he has achieved it again. -- Danny Finkelstein * The Times *Kahneman and Tversky's deep friendship and intellectual collaboration has arguably done as much to define our world as, say, the intertwining between Francis Crick and James Watson... Michael Lewis, with his great gift for humanising complex and abstract ideas, is exactly the storyteller Tversky and Kahneman deserve. -- Tim Adams * Observer *I normally write two or three pages of notes when reviewing a book. On this occasion I scribbled six, often in high excitement. Lewis has a strong journalist's sense of a good story and the book is dotted with hundreds. He also has a feeling for pace and intensity. Although this is an easy read, nothing is wasted and everything seems to be in the right place. And what a story it is! -- Bryan Appleyard * Sunday Times *Michael Lewis is perhaps my favourite writer full stop. At his best, Lewis engages both heart and brain like no author, and he tells the story of Tversky and Kahneman beautifully... the final sections will have you weeping -- Robert Colvile * Daily Telegraph *Leaves you feeling cleverer -- Katie Law * Evening Standard *Part biography of a friendship and part account of psychology's impact, while also taking in much of modern Israel's history, this is a fine showcase of Mr Lewis's range ... it is a story of remarkable individuals succeeding through innovative ideas ... Lewis has managed the unusual feat of interweaving psychology and the friendship between two men * Economist *Michael Lewis is perhaps my favourite writer full stop ... he engages both heart and brain like no other author, and he tells the story of Tversky and Kahneman beautifully -- Robert Colville * Telegraph *Gripping ... There is war, heroism, genius, love, loss, discovery, enduring loyalty and friendship. It is epic stuff ... Michael Lewis is one of the best non-fiction writers of our time. The writing has wit, passion and scientific credibility -- Pete Lunn * Irish Times *Michael Lewis could spin gold out of any topic he chose ... his best work ... vivid, original and hard to forget -- Tim Harford * Financial Times *

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Book SynopsisProcesses of collective decision making are seen throughout modern society. How does a government decide on an investment strategy within the health care and educational sectors? Should a government or a community introduce measures to combat climate change and CO2 emissions, even if others choose not too? Should a country develop a nuclear capability despite the risk that other countries may follow their lead? This introductory text explores the theory of social choice. Social choice theory provides an analysis of collective decision making. The main aim of the book is to introduce students to the various methods of aggregating the preferences of all members of a given society into some social or collective preference. Written as a primer suitable for advanced undergraduates and graduates, this text will act as an important starting point for students grappling with the complexities of social choice theory. With all new chapter exercises this rigorous yet accessible primer avoids the Trade Review...an outstanding Primer for the field of social choice that will surely become a standard reference for those wanting to be initiated in the field. * Cambridge Journals *Table of ContentsGLOSSARY OF MAJOR CONCEPTS; HINTS TO EXERCISES

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Book SynopsisWhat is a fair distribution of resources and other goods when individuals are partly responsible for their achievements? This book develops a theory of fairness incorporating a concern for personal responsibility, opportunities and freedom. With a critical perspective, it makes accessible the recent developments in economics and philosophy that define social justice in terms of equal opportunities. It also proposes new perspectives and original ideas. The book separates mathematical sections from the rest of the text, so that the main concepts and ideas are easily accessible to non-technical readers. It is often thought that responsibility is a complex notion, but this monograph proposes a simple analytical framework that makes it possible to disentangle the different concepts of fairness that deal with neutralizing inequalities for which the individuals are not held responsible, rewarding their effort, respecting their choices, or staying neutral with respect to their responsibility sTrade ReviewFairness, Responsibility, and Welfare offers various important insights into the seemingly complex topic of distributive implications of holding people partly responsible for their achievements...the content of the book is easily attainable for a broader audience...it will be one of the more important references for both economists and philosophers working in the field of distributive justice. * Lars Schwettmann Journal of Social Choice and Welfare *Inquiries such as Fleurbaey's, which employ both formal and philosophical methods to explore distributional principles, are of great importance from all three perspectives. Fairness, Responsibility, and Welfare is essential reading for serious egalitarians. * Daniel M. Hausman, Ethics *Fleurbaey's monograph is a paradigmatic masterpiece for the fruitful combination of philosophy and the axiomatic method in an area of highest interest for the social sciences. * Andreas Tutic, Rationality, Markets and Morals *Impressive...an excellent contribution to the field of distributive justice * Kasper Lippert-Rasmussen, Economics and Philosophy *Fleurbaey's book is clearly written and successfully communicates to a broad audience while not sacrificing rigor. It provides a thorough account of the most recent developments in social choice theory at the same time as contributing innovations which develop this area in a beautiful and important way. * John Roemer, Elizabeth S. and A. Varick Professor of Political Science and Economics, Yale University *The role of personal responsibility is important for the foundations of justice, but the subject has not received the critical investigation it deserves. In this book, Marc Fleurbaey has gone a long distance in meeting this gap. This is a deeply illuminating contribution on a neglected aspect of welfare economics. * Amartya Sen, Thomas W. Lamont University Professor and Professor of Economics and Philosophy, Harvard, and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics 1998 *Table of ContentsIntroduction ; 1. Defining Fairness ; 2. Distributing Fairly ; 3. Introduction to Incentive Issues ; 4. Unequal skills ; 5. Income Redistribution ; 6. Risk, Insurance, and Option Luck ; 7. Fresh Starts ; 8. Utilitarian Reward ; 9. Inequalities of Opportunity and Social Mobility ; 10. Responsibility, Freedom, and Social Justice

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Book SynopsisShows how a single model can explain how people make decisions across social/economic realms. The text argues that preferences result from a combination of psychological dispositions, shaped by social influences, as well as costs and benefits calculated according to our desire for material gain.

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Book SynopsisTHE MULTI-MILLION COPY BESTSELLING PHENOMENON Do you regularly find yourself in long, unstructured meetings which end without a decision? Are you a team leader looking for tips on increasing productivity? Or are you looking for ways to enhance collaboration?Six Thinking Hats, Edward de Bono''s classic book on meetings, remains as relevant as ever. Used to huge success by big companies and organisations such as IBM, Siemens and NASA, the Six-Hats method is a proven way to:- Reduce meeting lengths to one quarter of what they were previously- Make decisions in just 15 minutes, rather than 3 hours- Increase productivity by nearly 500%This extremely simple tool not only increases efficiency in discussions and decision-making, but also encourages openness and trust among colleagues, resulting in happier team, a rise in productivity, and decisions which almost make themselves.''An inspiring man with brilliant ideas. De Bono never ceases to amaze'' Sir Richard BransonTrade ReviewAn inspiring man with brilliant ideas. De Bono never ceases to amaze with his clarity of thought. * Richard Branson *

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Book SynopsisIn our high technology society, there is a growing demand for a better understanding of decision making in high risk situations in order to improve selection, training and operational performance. Decision Making Under Stress presents a state-of-the-art review of psychological theory, in research and practice, on decision making in high pressure and emergency situations. It focuses on the experienced decision makers who deal with such risks, principally on flight decks, at civil emergencies, in industrial settings and military environments. The 29 chapters cover a wide range of perspectives and applications from aviation, military, industry and the emergency services. The authors, all international invited experts in their field, are based in research centers and universities from Europe, North America and Australia. Their common interest is in the theories and methods of a new research domain called NDM (naturalistic decision making). This volume comprises the edited contributioTrade Review’This collection presents a state-of-the-art review of psychological theory, in research and practice, on decision making in high-pressure and emergency situations.’ Business Horizons, USA ’...some very practical information...exceedingly well-referenced.’ Aviation, Space and Environmental MedicineTable of ContentsContents: Introduction; Theoretical Perspectives on NDM: The current status of the naturalistic decision making framework; In search of naturalistic decisions; Stress and naturalistic decision making: strengthening the weak links; Merging paradigms: decision making, management and cognitive control. Decisions in Civil Emergencies: Critical incident management simulation; A framework for building and testing models of recorded team decision making; Decision making patterns in major fire-fighting and rescue operations; Psychological research and development in the London Fire Brigade; Design of the natural: an engineering process for NDM; Head-mounted video recording: a methodology for studying NDM. Military Command Decisions: On-line coping with uncertainty: beyond the reduce, quantify and plug heuristic; Improving critical thinking; Team adaptation and co-ordination training; Dynamic decision making in non-routine situations; Surrender at Perevolochna: a case study of perspective and action control in decision making under stress; Enhancing effective decision making by information management techniques; Military decision support. Decisions on the Flight deck: Military pilot performance - dynamic decision making in its extreme; Understanding expert aviator judgment; Decision making training for aircrew; Selection for stressful jobs: is the defence mechanism test the solution?; Pilot mental workload and situational awareness - psychological models of the pilot. Analysing Decision Making Under Stress: Strategies for adapting to time pressure; Emergency decision making - a wider decision framework?; Decision making in complex situations: cognitive and motivational limitations; Differentiation and consolidation theory; Analyzing team skills; Toward an understanding of stress on organizational social systems in complex, dynamic, environments; Appendices.

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Book SynopsisGuides students completing complex projects with a variety of small businesses, with an emphasis on solving marketing and management problems in culturally diverse and rapidly changing business environmentsTrade Review"In today's economy it is widely recognized that the size and growth of multicultural populations are closely linked to successful marketplace performance of business on a national level, and especially in urban communities. This book combines business case studies, theory, historical context, policy implications, statistical data, and financial and management concepts to provide students a full range of information and tools to address issues of how businesses can effectively reach multicultural markets in urban areas, and beyond." Jerome Williams, Rutgers Business School-Newark and New Brunswick

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Book SynopsisWhen we ask our kids, “What’d you do in school today?” and they mumble, “Nothin'',” they’re telling the truth.Steve Perry gets it. He understands why some parents are panicked about what’s going on in their kids’ classrooms, and how other parents, whose kids supposedly attend the “good” schools, still fear that their children are falling behind. As principal of one of the best performing schools in America – one that sends 100% of its mostly minority students to four-year colleges – Perry delights in proving “the system” wrong. In this solution-oriented manifesto, Perry covers the full range of issues holding back today’s students. He shows parents and principals how to find great teachers (and get rid of the bad ones), how to make readers out of kids who hate to read, how to make the school curriculum thrilling rather than sleep-inducing, how to cond

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Book SynopsisExperience the joy, freedom, and fulfillment God wants for you by learning the key to making God-glorifying choices: the power of pre-decision.What if we actually have the ability to break free from the pitfalls of impulsive decisions and develop positive, godly habits? What if becoming the person you want to be starts now, before you make a decision?Craig Groeschel—author of Winning the War in Your Mind—will empower you to put into action seven life-defining pre-decisions that will help you overcome the daily temptations, distractions, and influences that constantly bombard us. Drawing on Scripture, story, and the latest research into human behavior, Think Ahead will help you: Understand the science behind your decision-making habits. Equip you with the tools to avoid sinful and damaging patterns. Overcome decision fatigue and debilitating fears. See how your small choices shape the kind

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Book Synopsis''Original, thought-provoking and a joy to read'' Tim HarfordWinner of best smart thinking book (Business Book Awards) and a Guardian best books of 2021When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a ''soldier'' mindset. From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalising in our personal lives and everything in between, we are driven to defend the ideas we most want to believe - and shoot down those we don''t.But if we want to get things right more often we should train ourselves to think more like a scout. Unlike the soldier, a scout''s goal isn''t to defend one side over the other. It''s to go out, survey the territory, and come back with as accurate a map as possible. Regardless of what they hope to be the case, above all, the scout wants to know what''s actually true.In The Scout Mindset, Galef shows that what makes scouts better at getting things right isn''t that they''re smarter or more knowledgeable than everyone else. It''s a handful of emotional skills, habits, and ways of looking at the world - which anyone can learn.With fascinating examples ranging from how to survive being stranded in the middle of the ocean, to how Jeff Bezos avoids overconfidence, to how superforecasters outperform CIA operatives, to Reddit threads and modern partisan politics, Galef explores why our brains deceive us and what we can do to change the way we think.''Highly recommended. It''s not easy to become (more of) a scout, but it''s hard not to be inspired by this book'' Rutger Bregman''With insights that are both sharp and actionable, The Scout Mindset picks up where Predictably Irrational left off. Reading it will teach you to think more clearly, see yourself more accurately, and be wrong a little less often'' Adam GrantTrade ReviewJulia Galef doesn't simply harangue us for not thinking clearly; she diagnoses why we do it, and suggests concrete ways to improve our rationality. This is a book that will make a real difference in how you think -- Sean Carroll, author of Something Deeply HiddenJulia Galef is an intellectual leader of the rationalist community, and in The Scout Mindset you will find an engaging, clearly written distillation of her very important accumulated wisdom on these topics -- Tyler Cowen, author of Big Business and The Great StagnationDrawing on her extensive knowledge of the scientific literature and of popular culture, Julia Galef explores the remarkable human capacity for self-deception - and shows us how we can catch ourselves in the act of fooling ourselves -- Philip Tetlock, author of SuperforecastingThe Scout Mindset offers an insightful, entertaining and genuinely useful guide to thinking more clearly -- Don Moore, author of Perfectly ConfidentAn engaging and enlightening account from which we all can benefit * Wall Street Journal *Highly recommended. It's not easy to become (more of) a scout, but it's hard not to be inspired by this book -- Rutger Bregman, bestselling author of Humankind and Utopia for RealistsWe know a lot about how flawed human reasoning is, but surprisingly little about how to repair it in our daily lives. Thankfully, Julia Galef is here to change that. With insights that are both sharp and actionable, her book picks up where Predictably Irrational left off. Reading it will teach you to think more clearly, see yourself more accurately, and be wrong a little less often -- Adam Grant, author of Originals and Give and Take, host of WorkLife podcastJulia understands human thinking with incredible clarity and she's a master at communicating that clarity to others through her writing and metaphors. I haven't stopped thinking about the scout mindset ever since I first heard Julia explain it -- Tim Urban, writer and creator of Wait But WhyJulia Galef is one of the smartest, most exciting voices not just in American rationalism, but in American writing period. She is consistently fascinating -- Johann Hari, international bestselling author of Stolen Focus and Lost ConnectionsJulia Galef, one of our foremost experts on identifying the problem of motivated reasoning and cognitive biases, has produced the best work to date on what to do about it, both personally to improve our lives and socially to make the world a more rational and reasonable place for all. A must-read for all who have trouble saying "I was wrong" and "I change my mind", which is all of us -- Michael Shermer, writer, founder of Skeptic, and New York Times bestselling author of The Moral ArcThe Scout Mindset is essential reading for understanding how the stories we tell ourselves sacrifice better decision-making in the long-term for a short-term boost to our egos . . . A must-read for anyone looking be more rational in their choices -- Annie Duke, author of Thinking in BetsMost books tell you what to think. This is something rarer, and more valuable: A book about how to think and how to learn, without the fear or favour that so often holds us back from inching closer to the truth. The beauty of The Scout Mindset demonstration is it is, itself, an example of the ethos it teaches. The delight it takes in questioning its own premises, and understanding the alternative arguments, will make you want to be a scout, too -- Ezra Klein, cofounder of Vox, author of Why We Are Polarized, and host of The Ezra Klein Show podcastI've learned more about how to think and reason well from Julia Galef than from almost anyone -- Dylan Matthews, senior correspondent at Vox

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Book SynopsisHow do we prepare children for a future we can't even imagine?Across Canada, a debate swirls around what our children will need to know in the face of huge technological, economic, social and political change. The question has become an ideological battleground, and there is a hunger for a deeper understanding of what we should be doing to prepare children now for the challenges of the future. This timely, important book is an answer to that call.In Pushing the Limits, Kelly Gallagher-Mackay and Nancy Steinhauer draw on their experiences as educational leaders to reveal that the schools of the future exist in the here and now. They introduce us to extraordinary Canadian public schools, deeply rooted in their communities, that are fostering innovators, nimble problem-solvers and engaged citizens, boosting math comprehension, cultivating creativity and using technology to broaden the parameters of learning. And they explore why the role of schools is expandi

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Book SynopsisA practical, non--calculus--based book on decision analysis for business and public policy. It includes a balanced presentation of quantitative and qualitative techniques, and integrates the use of a leading decision analysis software----DPL----throughout.Table of ContentsThe Context of Decision Making. Problem Definition and Structuring. Identifying Objectives and Creating a Value Tree. Identifying Alternatives and Creativity. Forecasting and Subjective Assessment. Comparing Alternatives and Utility Theory. Selection and Sensitivity Analysis. Appendices. Index.

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Book SynopsisThe first international handbook to bring the areas of reasoning, judgment and decision making together, now in paperback format. The book brings three of the important topics of thinking together - reasoning, judgment and decision making - and discusses key issues in each area.Trade Review“…presents a variety of stimulating and informative chapters which are representative of topical issues and debates in the area...” (Applied Cognitive Psychology, No.18, 2004)Table of ContentsList of Contributors. Introduction. Part I: Reasoning. Chapter 1: A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (Jonathan St. B.T.Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley). Chapter 2: Individual Differences in the Development ofReasoning Strategies (Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J.Newton). Chapter 3: Generalising Individual Differences and StrategiesAcross Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (Padraic Monaghan andKeith Stenning). Chapter 4: Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals(Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow). Chapter 5: Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (GuyPolitzer). Chapter 6: Probabilities and Pragmatics in ConditionalInference: Suppression and Order Effects (Mike Oaksford and NickChater). Part II: Judgment. Chapter 7: Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability(Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun). Chapter 8: Possibilities and Probabilities (Paolo Legrenzi,Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N.Johnson-Laird). Chapter 9: The Partitive Conditional Probability (LauraMacchi). Chapter 10: Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequenciesto Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch,Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster). Chapter 11: More is not Always Better: The Benefits of CognitiveLimits (Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd). Chapter 12: Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of GoodJudgment in World Politics (Philip E. Tetlock). Part III: Decision Making. Chapter 13: Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in StrategicDecision Making (A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J.Bown). Chapter 14: Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty(Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See). Chapter 15: Medical Decision Scripts: Combining CognitiveScripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for MedicalDecision Making (Robert M. Hamm). Chapter 16: On the Assessment of Decision Quality:Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability(Gideon Keren and W¨andi Bruine de Bruin). Author Index. Subject Index.

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