Warfare and defence Books

Book SynopsisTaking issue with the convenient views that the Middle East is an irrational and exceptional region of world politics, and that the long and bloody history of the Palestine conflict is proof, the authors combine theoretical reflection and empirical investigation, marrying International Relations theory and Middle East area studies.Table of ContentsGlobal Conditions and Global Constraints: The International Paternity of the Palestine Conflict; D.Jung PART I: GLOBAL DISCOURSES AND REGIONAL POLITICS Culture Blind and Culture Blinded: Images of Middle Eastern Conflicts in International Relations; M.Valbjørn Re-interpreting History: Perceptions of Nazism in Egyptian Media Discourses, G.Nordbruch Internationalization of Anti-Islamist Discourse and Creation of a Regional Anti-Terrorism Mechanism: The Initiative of Mubarak's Egypt; J-M.Seo PART II: GLOBAL SCHEMES AND LOCAL REALITIES: TRANSNATIONAL ISLAM AND THE PALESTINIAN REFUGEE PROBLEM Official Islam, Transnational Islam and Regional Politics: The Case of Syria; A.Bötcher Religious Mobilizations in Palestinian Refugee Camps in Lebanon: The Case of Ayn el-Helweh; B.Rougier Resolving the Palestinian Refugee Problem Today: E.A. Norman's Unintended Contribution; D.Tschirgi Epilogue: September 11 - Arab Reactions; W.Kazziha

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Book SynopsisInternational affairs expert and award-winning author of Special Providence Walter Russell Mead here offers a remarkably clear-eyed account of American foreign policy and the challenges it faces post—September 11.Starting with what America represents to the world community, Mead argues that throughout its history it has been guided by a coherent set of foreign policy objectives. He places the record of the Bush administration in the context of America’s historical relations with its allies and foes. And he takes a hard look at the international scene-from despair and decay in the Arab world to tumult in Africa and Asia-and lays out a brilliant framework for tailoring America’s grand strategy to our current and future threats. Balanced, persuasive, and eminently sensible, Power, Terror, Peace, and War is a work of extraordinary significance on the role of the United States in the world today.

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Book SynopsisThis collection by leading scholars represents state of the art writings on the ethics of war. Many of the most important and contested controversies in modern war receive comprehensive discussion: the practice of torture, terrorism, assassination and targeted killing, the bombing of civilians in war, humanitarian intervention, and the invasion of Iraq Analytical introduction provides a guide to recent developments in the ethics of war An excellent overview for general readers interested in the current debate and controversies over the ethics of war Trade Review“The authors took obvious care to set out their arguments in as clear a fashion as possible. They are not the kind of philosophers who populate indecipherably intricate sentences with legions of exotic terms. Rather, they practice the disciplined use of facts, ethical theories, legal literature, and even a degree of common sense to arrive at a better understanding of genuinely vital issues. War, Torture and Terrorism could easily be adapted for use in undergraduate philosophy courses. More importantly, it should be warmly welcomed by those members of the lay public who are interested in thinking beyond the limits of sound-bite rhetoric and five hundred word opeds.” (Metapsychology, December 2008)Table of ContentsList of Contributors vii 1 Introduction 1 The Ethics of War: State of the ArtDavid Rodin 2 Luck, Evidence and War 7Rob Lawlor 3 Defending the Common Life: National-Defense After Rodin 19Deane-Peter Baker 4 Humanitarian Intervention: Closing the Gap Between Theory and Practice 35Gillian Brock 5 Iraq: A Morally Justified Resort to War 51David Mellow 6 Moral Tragedies, Supreme Emergencies and National-Defense 71Daniel Statman 7 Assassination and Targeted Killing: Law Enforcement, Execution of Self-Defense? 83Michael L. Gross 8 Torture – The Case for Dirty Harry and Against Alan Dershowitz 97Uwe Steinhoff 9 Torture, Terrorism and the State: a Refutation of the Ticking-Bomb Argument 115Vittorio Bufacchi and Jean Maria Arrigo Index 133

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Book SynopsisAlaric Searle is Professor of Modern European History at the University of Salford, UK.Trade ReviewWith this concise new study of armored warfare, historian Alaric Searle (Univ. of Salford) has made a timely and important contribution to the cyclical debate about the nature, evolution, and ongoing utility of armored fighting vehicles … Armoured Warfare is essential reading for anyone with a serious interest in the evolution of military technology in modern warfare. * Michigan War Studies Review *[Great] value to the novice and expert alike … [Would] be ideal as a text for any course relating to the history of innovation or modern combat. It is a solid foundational text on an expansive and complicated topic. * The Journal of Military History *[An] excellent international history of armored warfare, utilizing both secondary and primary source material … Searle provides a comprehensive introduction to the use of the tank in modern war and how its application has evolved over time. Summing Up: Highly recommended. General collections; upper-division undergraduates and above. * CHOICE *Armoured Warfare is a smashing success … Even beyond its utility as a classroom text, [it] has much to offer the scholar or the specialist … A book like Armoured Warfare can serve as an indispensable reintroduction to the subject. -- Robert Citino * History: Reviews of New Books *Armoured Warfare is a worthwhile addition to any military library... It has a global perspective and provides a history of the tank, and it is an ideal companion for those studying armored warfare, modern military history, and war studies. * Military Review *The work of Alaric Searle is a useful introduction for both the historian and the practitioner. * Politique étrangère (Bloomsbury Translation) *In the scope of its investigation, both thematic and chronological, and in its well-documented bibliography, Armoured Warfare ultimately provides a good learning base for the student or researcher who wishes to learn about the history of mechanized war in a broad sense. * Stratégique (Bloomsbury translation) *Alaric Searle has rendered a great service to the study of modern military history by producing the first comprehensive academic study of armoured warfare from its origins in the First World War to the present day. This book should be regarded as essential reading, not just for those with an interest in tanks, but for those who want to fully understand the evolution of warfare throughout the Twentieth Century. * Timothy Bowman, Senior Lecturer in Modern British Military History, University of Kent, UK *Armoured Warfare: A Military, Political and Global History is an intriguing approach to the history of the tank. Instead of the usual depiction of the technical route of development, this new study places it in the broader context of military doctrine and the combat experience. To further broaden the viewpoint, it offers a valuable international perspective on mechanized warfare. * Steven J. Zaloga, USA *Alaric Searle's Armoured Warfare is a uniquely valuable addition to this literature, offering just the sort of judicious, scholarly but well-written introduction to the subject required by students in universities and military academies and also by the intelligent general reader... In short this is an exemplary introductory work on armoured forces and armoured warfare for the 21st-century student. * Paul Harris, Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, UK *Accessible, comprehensive, and authoritative, Armoured Warfare is an excellent overview of the subject. I recommend it to anyone who is looking for a thorough introduction to, or reliable review of, the mechanized military operations of the past century. * Bruce Ivar Gudmundsson, Marine Corps University, USA *Not only for tank enthusiasts, [it's] an exciting, interesting read. * Militärgeschichtliche Zeitschrift (Bloomsbury Translation) *Strongly recommended to anyone that wants a reliable and sure-footed guide to the history of armoured warfare and it will suit audiences from the general reader to the specialist. In particular, this is an excellent primer for undergraduates going on to higher level studies and they will gain a good understanding of the underpinnings of armoured warfare from this excellent book. * British Journal for Military History *Table of ContentsIntroduction 1. The New Warfare: The First World War, 1914-18 2. Innovation versus Stagnation: The Interwar Period, 1919-39 3. Blitzkrieg: The Initial German Armoured Successes, 1939-41 4. Quality versus Mass: The Soviet-German War, 1941-45 5. Difficult Terrain: Deserts, Mountains, Hedgerows, Jungles, 1940-45 6. Cold War (I): Armour in Korea, Indo-China and Vietnam 7. Cold War (II): The Central European Battlefield 8. The Arab-Israeli Wars, 1948-2006 9. Iraq and the Gulf Wars, 1980-2016 10. The 'Political History' of the Tank Conclusion Index

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Book SynopsisWar With Iran: Political, Military and Economic Consequences provides readers both a history of Iran's relationship with the West and an expert's estimation of what the political, human and financial costs of full-scale war with Iran might be. Authors Geoffrey Kemp and John Allen Gay of the Center for the National Interest utilize their years studying and informing America's foreign policy in the Middle East to bring to life the possible outcomes of an American military intervention in Iran. Such a decision would not only have catastrophic consequences on the Persian Gulf, but would also endanger the whole world's delicate economy by heightening instability in a fragile but resource-rich region. Written for anyone with an interest in the future of American foreign policy, War With Iran explores what every player has at stake in the current crisis by analyzing every tension adjacent to it; from America's staunch support of Israel to Iran's own dogged pursuit of advanced nuclear capabiliTable of ContentsAcknowledgements Prologue Introduction Iran’s Nuclear Program Chapter 1: Positions of Primary Actors Iran Key Opponents to Iran’s Nuclear Program The United States Direct Relations Israel Global Opponents Chapter 2: Choosing to Attack Context for a Strike Surprise Attack War Escalates Response to Nuclear Provocation Merits and Risks of a Strike Expert Voices Political Voices Chapter 3: How an Attack Might Work Targeting An Israeli Strike The Central Route: Overflying Iraq Logistics of an Israeli Strike An American Strike Bunker Busting Iranian Air Defenses Follow-On Strikes Impact on Iran’s Nuclear Program Alternative Means of Destruction Sabotage Commando Raid Chapter 4: Iran’s Retaliation Lebanese Hezbollah Israeli Natural Gas Sites Iraq and Afghanistan General Terrorism The Strait of Hormuz Insurgency in the Gulf The Missile Threat Other Iranian Threats to Oil Chapter 5: Evolving Crisis, Challenging Exit Mass Retaliation Nonretaliation Middle Paths American Response and Cyclical Violence Chapter 6: Regional Oil Gulf Oil: Iran’s Role Oil Prices and Iran’s Economy Chapter 7: Oil and War Recent History Impact of a Military Strike on Iran Impact of an Attack on Iranian Oil Facilities Iran’s Options Against Regional Oil Action in the Strait of Hormuz Attacking Arab Oil Facilities Mobilizing the Saudi Shia Population Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction Iraq and Azerbaijan Chapter 8: Preparing for Oil Disruptions Mitigation Rerouting Oil Flows Excess Capacity Assurance Preparation Expanding Reserves Pipeline Preparation Removal of Bottlenecks Preparing to Reduce Demand Readying the Refinery Network “Pre-Assuring” Investors Chapter 9: Economic Consequences Wider Economic Factors Growth Patterns and Oil Markets Oil Price Increases and Supply Interruption Oil Price Increases and Economic Recovery Threats to the Dollar Alternatives to the Dollar? However Impacts in the Middle East Regional Conflicts American Trade The Impact of the Sanctions Conclusions Chapter 10: Conclusions: The Challenge of Getting Out, the Costs of Staying Home Exit Strategy for War with Iran Internal Political Impacts The Cost of Inaction Conclusions Appendices Bibliography

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Book SynopsisDrawing on his knowledge of the comparative history of warfare and arms control across preliterate, ancient, medieval, and modern polities, Richard Dean Burns focuses longitudinally on such perennial arms control issues as negotiation, verification, and compliance. Although he does not, for example, allege that war elephants and nuclear weapons are of equal destructive potential, he does discern instructive similarities between Carthage in 202 BCE and Iraq in 1991 AD. Arms control and disarmament measures have been pursued and adopted throughout the history and prehistory of human warfare: sometimes as protocols recognizing evolving humanitarian taboos; sometimes as terms imposed by the victors on the vanquished; and sometimes as accords negotiated between rivals fearful of mutual destruction. Arms control measures ramped up in significance and urgency at the dawn of the 20th century by the introduction of rapid-fire weapons, aircraft, chemical agents, and submarines, and again at mid-Trade ReviewThis is a concise, comprehensive, and scholarly work. Burns (emer., history, California State Univ., Los Angeles) traces arms control efforts back to the Punic Wars, and in some cases beyond. The most common types of efforts have been imposed on the vanquished by the victors. However, the Treaty of Versailles established a multilateral body to enforce its terms, the League of Nations, but it was easily subverted. The problems with arms control agreements are trying to distinguish between offensive and defensive weaponry, state sovereignty, technological change, and verification. One of the more interesting parts of the book deals with chemical weapons. Again, the origins go back to antiquity in attempts to control or outlaw such weapons as Greek fire, the poisoning of wells, and other chemical and biological agents. There have been many diplomatic attempts, all of which the author includes, to outlaw such weapons. But, they are still available and used. More successful have been attempts to control nuclear weapons, perhaps because these attempts have largely been bilateral. This is an excellent reference book and should be acquired by academic libraries. Summing Up: Recommended. Upper-division undergraduate and graduate collections. * CHOICE *Burns chronicles the progression of arms negotiations, allowing readers to visualize the intricacy of arms control and grasp the difficulties of finding common ground in preventing the spread of nuclear weapons. Whether the world's diplomatic efforts will be successful remains to be seen. Still, a major contribution. … Highly recommended. * CHOICE *Written for anyone interested in arms control and disarmament issues as well as military history, this book reviews the historic means and techniques for arms control such as demilitarization, regulation of arms manufacturing, stabilizing international environments and the outlawing of war. A section also reviews nuclear weaponry before and after the Cold War and the emergence of biological and bacterial delivery systems. * Reference and Research Book News *Richard Dean Burns’s The Evolution of Arms Control is at once a timely and significant contribution to the literature of the subject, written in plain English by one of America’s leading historian of arms control and disarmament. This thoughtful book will provide both generalists and specialists a better understanding of the multidimensionality of the most important issue of our age. All politicians and their advisers should give this work a careful read as they consider how their policies will enhance or inhibit the development of a more stable, secure world. -- Joseph M. Siracusa, Deputy Dean of Global Studies, The Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology UniversityWith President Obama and former Secretaries of State George Schultz and Henry Kissinger calling for ‘A World Without Nuclear Weapons,’ arms control is in the news more than in decades. What will happen? With its well-documented facts and chronologies, Richard Dean Burns’s highly readable history of arms control will help the reader navigate the difficult waters of international diplomacy and gain new insight into where the Obama administration may succeed. -- Hon. Philip E. Coyle III, Senior Advisor, World Security Institute; Former Assistant Secretary of DefenseTable of ContentsPreface Introduction Part I. Means and Techniques: A Historical Typology 1. Arms Limitations and/or Reductions 2. Demilitarization, Denuclearization, and Neutralization 3. Regulating Use/Outlawing Weapons and War 4. Customs and the Law of War 6. Stabilizing the International Environment Part II. Comments on Arms Control Processes: Negotiations, Verification, and Compliance 7. Arms Control Negotiations 8. The Verification Process 9. Compliance and Noncompliance 10. Reflections –On Nuclear Weaponry: The Cold War and After Appendix (Chronological listing of treaties and agreements) Notes Glossary Essential Resources Index

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Book SynopsisSince the 9/11 attacks, the number of intelligence courses and related curricula have soared. Many instructors look for interactive learning tools because they add immeasurable value to the student's understanding of the intelligence enterprise. Such tools, however, take time and effort to develop and are not circulated among faculty. This is the first textbook to offer in one volume original simulations, exercises, and games designed by academics and intelligence professionals from several countries. These innovative methods are meant to enhance the learning experience and provide an international perspective to the topics and approaches discussed in class. Intelligence simulations and games are presented in ready-to run formats, from easy instructions to result recordings matrices, to minimize preparation time for both instructors and students. Exercises, such as cyber attack simulation, information sharing, ethical scenarios and more, expose the student to the many subtle aspects ofTrade Review[T]his anthology deserves to be widely used in intelligence education. * Intelligencer *The Art of Intelligence: Simulations, Exercises, and Games is an important and highly engaging addition to the intelligence education library, providing teachers and students with a set of well-crafted simulations that will allow for in-class, hands-on instruction that cannot be found elsewhere. -- Mark Lowenthal, author of Intelligence: From Secrets to Policy; President of the Intelligence & Security AcademyThis innovative book is a most welcome resource, providing a wide range of useful and engaging teaching/training materials that will enrich the student experience and facilitate improved understanding of analytic techniques. -- Mark Phythian, Professor of Politics, University of LeicesterTable of ContentsIntroduction William J. Lahneman and Rubén Arcos Part 1. 1-2 Class Session Simulations 1. Estimating Iraqi Weapons of Mass Destruction William J. Lahneman and Hugo A. Keesing 2. Competing Hypotheses in Contemporary Intelligence Analysis Julian Richards 3. Facing Intelligence Analysts with ethical Scenarios Fernando Velasco and Rubén Arcos 4. Spies and Lies: The Perils of Collection (A Simulation) Kristan J. Wheaton and James Breckenridge 5. Learning Intelligence Analysis: The Development of Cognitive Strategies Dan Mazare and Gabriel Sebe 6. Kim’s Game: Developing Powers of Observation and Memory William J. Lahneman Part 2. 1-2 Week Simulations 7. Cyber Attack on the Office of Intelligence Production: A Collaborative Simulation Randolph H. Pherson and Vaughn F. Bishop 8. Market and Competitor Analysis: Real Exercise Luis Madureira 9. “Need to Share” Intelligence and Crisis Management in Fighting Terrorism and Organized Crime: the Need for Integrated Training Solutions Gheorghe-Teodoru Stefan and Cristian Barna 10. A 3-D Intelligence Analysis on Migration as a Security Threat: From Data to Intelligence Irena Dumitru and Ella Ciuperca 11. TEST Simulation Model: Team Working and Experiential Scenario-based Training Chris Jagger and Julian Richards Part 3. Multi-week Simulations 12. Understanding Baynesian Thinking: Prior and Posterior Probabilities and Analysis of Competing Hypotheses in intelligence Analysis Sir David Omand, GCB 13. Assessment BASE: Simulating National Intelligence Assessment in a Graduate Course Philip H.J. Davies 14. Social Intelligence Survey: Mapping the Webs of embedded Intelligence Functions Wilhelm Agrell and Tobbe Peterson 15. Multimedia Intelligence Products: Experiencing the Intelligence Production Process and Adding Layers of Information to Intelligence Reports Rubén Arcos, Manuel Gértrudix & José Ignacio Prieto

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Book SynopsisIncreasingly the Middle East and its growing population face a highly complex and fragile security system. The book analyzes these emerging security challenges in a comprehensive and systematic manner. It draws national and regional security issues into both the global security and human security perspectives.Trade ReviewThis comprehensive analysis of the issues that destabilize the national and international politics of the Middle East. It is based on long and skilled observation of the problems of accessing secure water, energy and food supplies in the region. The authors bring the analysis right up to date by discussing the violent first and second decades of the twenty-first century. By deploying comprehensive securitization frame they effectively assist the reader to understand the variable intensity of regional conflict. They also link these dynamics with what has become known as the water, energy and food nexus. -- Prof. J. A. (Tony) Allan, Department of Geography, King's College LondonThis is an important book that deserves the attention of anyone interested in the condition of the Middle East region and its impact on the world. The book's comprehensive overview of the underlying security challenges facing the Middle East—including water, energy, arable land, urban sprawl, pollution, and demographic issues—highlights existential stresses that drive some current tensions and also threaten the region's future. If you wonder what issues the Middle East region and the world should address to lower tensions and promote stability in the decades ahead, Swain and Jägerskog's work is a compelling starting place. -- Rami G. Khouri, founding director and currently senior fellow, Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs, American University of BeirutTable of ContentsChapter 1: Introduction: Middle East and Its New Sources of Insecurity Understanding Security in the Middle East Study of Security in the Middle East The Middle East Region International Actors and Regional Security in the Middle East The Rise and Fall of the ‘Arab Spring’ and the Rise of the ISIS Future Security Threats: Emerging Scenarios Chapter 2: Achieving Food Security: A Critical Challenge Increasing Food demand in the Region Import and Export of Water from the Region Land Investments as a Strategy to Address Food Security Climate Change, Water Availability and Food Production Concluding Thoughts Chapter 3: Water Scarcity: Threat to Peace and Stability Water Scarcity and Water Governance in the Middle East Supply versus Demand Side Solutions High Degree of Shared Water Resources New Trends in the Region – The Use of Water as a Weapon Connecting to Security Architecture Chapter 4. Energy Security and its Changing Dynamics in the Middle East Exporters of Crude Oil and Natural Gas Importers of Crude Oil and Natural Gas New Challenges and New Discoveries Moving out of Oil and Gas Trap Relying on Renewables Evaluating Region’s Energy Security Scenario Chapter 5: Managing Large Population Migration Importance of Remittances and Challenges of Foreign Workers The Middle East: The Region of and for Refugees Migrants in the Middle East: More as Peace Wreckers than Peace Makers Chapter 6: Conclusion – In Search of Sustainable Regional Security Four Fault Lines in Regional Security Structure Identifying Immediate Security Risks Region to Regain the Initiative

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Book SynopsisThis new and final edition is a follow-up to the author's first book, Anticipating Surprise (University Press of America, 2002) and the Handbook of Warning Intelligence (Scarecrow Press, 2010). The first book was an abridged version of Grabo's 1972 manuscript, of which only 200 pages were allowed to be published by the government. The second book was published after it was agreed that the last 10 chapters would remain classified. These final 10 chapters have recently been released by the government and complete the manuscript as it was originally intended to be published by the author in 1972.The Handbook of Warning Intelligence was written during the cold war and was classified for 40 years. Originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts, it explains the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting, discusses military analysis, as well as the difficulties in understanding political, civil, and economic analysis and assessing what it means for analysts to haTrade ReviewCynthia Grabo’s original Handbook of Warning Intelligence, written in the aftermath of the Soviet/Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia has, at long last, been fully declassified. The hitherto secret Part III of her study is now accessible for a public readership in this definitive volume. Professionals, scholars of Intelligence and Security Studies, students of International Affairs, and readers sharing an interest in Conflict and Crisis Management generally will all gain valuable historical and analytical insights from this most valuable—and greatly valued—manual. The focal points on the hitherto classified Part III are on intelligence analysis relating to particular types of warfare, and the provision of relevant, actionable warning intelligence to policy makers. Although the original time frame of the Handbook preceded the contemporary threat of Militant Jihadism, Cynthia Grabo’s risk assessments should provide important insights into current, all the more complex intelligence challenges facing analysts and policy makers. The issues addressed in the concluding chapters dealing with the making of analytical judgments regarding imminent threats, and with conveying these threat warnings upwards to managers and policy maker, are all the more telling and pertinent in today’s very volatile global security environment. This is a “need to know” Handbook of Warning Intelligence, a Complete and Declassified Work of Cynthina Grabo. -- Martin Rudner, distinguished research professor emeritus at Carleton University, Ottawa. Prior to his retirement he was a professor at the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs, and founding director of the Canadian Centre of Intelligence and Security Studies at CarletonTable of ContentsForeword to the new edition Foreword to the previous edition Author’s note to the original edition Part I: Why Warning Intelligence And What Is It? Some Fundamentals Chapter 1: General Nature of the Problem Chapter 2: Definitions of Terms and Their Usage Chapter 3: What Warning Is and Is Not Chapter 4: Warning and Collection Chapter 5: Intentions versus Capabilities Part II: Organization and Tools of the Trade Chapter 6: Problems of Organization and Management Chapter 7: Indicator lists Chapter 8: The Compiling of Indications Chapter 9: Can Computers 'Hel p? Part III: Introduction to the Analytical Method Chapter 10: Some Fundamentals of Indications Analysis Chapter 11: Some Specifics of the Analytical Method. Chapter 12: What Makes a Good Warning Analyst? Part IV: Specific Problems of Military Analysis Chapter 13: Importance of Military Indications Chapter 14: Order of Bottle Analysis in Crisis Situations Chapter 15: Analysis of Mobilization Chapter 16: Logistics is the Queen of Battles Chapter 17: Other Factors in Combat Preparations Chapter 18: Coping with Extraordinary Military Developments Part V: Specific Problems of Political, Civil and Economic Analysis Chapter 19: Importance of Political Factors for Warning Chapter 20: Basic Political Warning -- A Problem of Perception Chapter 21: Some Specific Factors in Political Warning Chapter 22: Economic Indicators Chapter 23: Civil Defense Chapter 24: Security, Counter-Intelligence and Agent Preparations Part VI: Some Major Analytical Problems Chapter 25: Warning from the Totality of Evidence Chapter 26: The Impact on Warning of Circumstances Leading to War Chapter 27: Reconstructing the Enemy’s Decision Making Process Chapter 28: Assessing the Timing of Attack Chapter 29: Deception: Can We Cope With It? The following chapters are new to this edition. Part VII: Problems of Particular Types Of Warfare Chapter 30: Analysis with Hostilities Already in Progress Chapter 31: Problems Peculiar to Guerrilla Warfare and “Wars of Liberation” Chapter 32: Hypothetical Problems of the Coming of World War III Part VIII: Reaching And Reporting The Warning Judgment Chapter 33: Vital Importance of the Judgment Chapter 34: What Does the Policy Maker Need, and Want to Know? Chapter 35: How to Write Indications or Warning Items Chapter 36: Assessing Probabilities Chapter 37: Some Major Factors Influencing Judgments and Reporting Chapter 38: Most Frequent Errors in the Judgment and Reporting Process Part IX: Conclusions Chapter 39: A Summing Up, With Some Do’s and Don'ts for Analysts and Supervisors About the Authors

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Book SynopsisThis manuscript examines Sino-North Africa relations on a bilateral level since World War II. It highlights the depth of China's involvement in the region with each country on a five dimensional approach: energy security, trade relations, political relations, arms sales/security cooperation, and cultural relations. Regarding each of these criteria, North Africa holds a strategic significance to China's national security, vital interests, territorial integrity, sovereignty, regime survival, and economic prosperity. China has been an integral part of the political developments on North Africa political scene since the early 1950s. It has supported the region's quest for independence and national liberation, exchanged diplomatic recognition, and established political partnerships. Apparently, the peoples of the North Africa and Africa at large are enthusiastic about China's increasingly involved role. However, China's heavy involvement in the continent's oil sector, minerals, fisheries, cTable of ContentsChapter One: China and North Africa: An Overview Chapter Two: China and Algeria Chapter Three: China and Egypt Chapter Four: China and Libya Chapter Five: China and Mauritania Chapter Six: China and Morocco Chapter Seven: China and The Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic Chapter Eight: China and South Sudan Chapter Nine: China and Sudan Chapter Ten: China and Tunisia Chapter Eleven: Prospectus and Conclusions

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