Social forecasting, future studies Books

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Book SynopsisLooks at changes in technology, policy, economy and society, and makes an argument for a future where, by necessity, the car system will be re-designed and re-engineered. This book suggests that there are some hugely bleak dilemmas facing the twenty first century. It lays out what the authors' consider to be possible 'post-car' future scenarios.Trade Review"Dennis and Urry show us how to do social science: how to move effortlessly between the macro and the micro,how to integrate problem spaces we once thought incommensurate, how to understand how we got to where we are and where we might be going."Journal of Sociology "Dennis and Urry exhibit a refreshing understanding of the sheer inefficiency and inconvenience of cars."Lynsey Hanley, The Guardian "One great aspect of this book is that it manages to build some possible and realistic view of the future without neglecting its unpredictability. After the Car is a very inspiring book that we would recommend to all people interested in the future of transportation systems – especially those convinced by the importance of carfree perspectives in building it."Carbusters "One of the toughest things to do is to anticipate discontinuity, to envisage a world - a life - beyond the car. The authors practice this art of the impossible in a fascinating way, opening up the social and sociological imagination for alternative paths of modernization."Ulrich Beck, University of Munich "A persuasive and readable summary of why motoring as we know it is doomed. The authors systematically chart the new technologies, oil shortages, environmental and other pressures changing the way we travel and the world we live in. If you want to know what the future might look like, this book is for you. Jeremy Clarkson is an endangered species!"Steven Joseph, Executive Director, Campaign for Better Transport "After the Car is a useful contribution to the debate about the role of the car which poses some interesting questions about its future."Tony Bosworth, Friends of the EarthTable of ContentsPreface vi 1 Changing Climates 1 2 The Century of the Car 27 3 Systems 47 4 Technologies 62 5 Organizations 93 6 Models 109 7 Scenarios 131 Notes 165 Index 203

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Book Synopsis

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Book SynopsisBuilding on a 1980 essay by psychologist Carl Rogers, the authors consider the qualities and competencies needed by the 'person of tomorrow' to help society navigate complexity in turbulent times.

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Book Synopsis

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Book Synopsis

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Book SynopsisGlobal society is in a state of chaos, causing physical and mental suffering for people all over the world. Yet almost all life stresses are ultimately human-made. Our species is literally making itself sick. Our future is unknown but whatever we bring forth will certainly be the output of the global mind we collectively create.Table of ContentsPart One - The Shifting Sands of the Human System: Our Self-inflicted Sickness, A War of Worldviews, The Process of Life / Part Two - The Modus Operandi of an Ancient Brain: The Power of Opposites, Leaping to Conclusions, Confabulating Coherence, Blending for Balance, Changing Structures / Part Three - Origins and Oscillations of a Global Mind: Source of the Western Psyche, Emergence of the Left Mind, Rise and Fall of Modernism / Part Four - Pitfalls and Possibilities at the Edge of Chaos: Cultivating Coherence, Elevating Consciousness, Counterbalancing Capitalism, Fast-Tracking Our Future

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Book SynopsisFrom cybersecurity to geopolitics - what will the world look like in the year 2020? Paul Cornish and Kingsley Donaldson guide us through a maze of global uncertainty in this fascinating look at the future, offering analysis and creative solutions for those who want to understand how our decisions today will affect the world we live in tomorrow.Trade ReviewA timely and cogent reminder that history never ends and is about to be made * Tim Marshall, author of Prisoners of Geography *This informed and expert book examines credible scenarios of what might happen, could happen and hopefully won't happen. * Lord George Robertson, former NATO Secretary General *2020: World of War should be read by our political leaders, policy makers and horizon scanners alike. * General Sir Richard Shirreff *This expert consideration of potential conflicts will be invaluable to us all - not just the policy makers and politicians who will have to deal with those issues. * Jonathan Powell, former Chief of Staff, 10 Downing Street *Knowing the unknown is the first step in making sure what we fear most doesn't happen. * Jonathan Powell, former Chief of Staff, 10 Downing Street *A well-researched and thought-provoking book * Telegraph *

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Book Synopsis''A timely and cogent reminder that history never ends and is about to be made'' - Tim Marshall, author of Prisoners of GeographyWith the world already struggling to contain conflicts on several continents, with security and defence expenditure under huge pressure, it''s time to think the unthinkable and explore what might happen.As former soldiers now working in defence strategy and conflict resolution, Paul Cornish and Kingsley Donaldson are perfectly qualified to guide us through a credible and utterly convincing 20/20 vision of the year 2020, from cyber security to weapons technology, from geopolitics to undercover operations.This book is of global importance, offering both analysis and creative solutions - essential reading both for decision-makers and everyone who simply wants to understand our future.

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Book SynopsisA speculative glimpse at the numerous possibilities of how the world will end and what happens when it does, written by VICE journalist Mike PearlTrade ReviewBrilliantly anxiety affirming...Thanks to Mike Pearl, I can now claim my constant feeling of dread is based on expert interviews and careful scientific research. * Zach Weinersmith, coauthor of Soonish: Ten Emerging Technologies That’ll Improve and/or Ruin Everything *A deeply entertaining-if occasionally horrifying-imagining of a world where the unlikely has become the reality. * Joshua Piven, author of The Worst-Case Scenario Survival Handbook *The Day It Finally Happens got my brain buzzing with stories that bring together fantasy and reality. The well-researched speculations induce daydreams and nightmares and mark Mike Pearl as one of his generation's most interesting writers. * Alec Ross, New York Times bestselling author of The Industries of the Future *In his fascinating book The Day It Finally Happens journalist Mike Pearl, who admits almost gleefully that he suffers from generalized anxiety disorder and extended stretches of panic, imagines the future and is shocked by what he foresees. Think Woody Allen meets Alvin Toffler. Just as Toffler's Future Shock set a standard for crystal ball gazing decades ago, Pearl's mighty oak of a book gives us a sobering, and at times humorous, assessment of what's on today's horizon. When you present a litany of dire statistics, as Pearl often does, it's wise to preserve a sense of humor. Pearl has that in abundance. He's a funny guy, but with a serious side. I came away from The Day It Finally Happens bubbling with new information, and hopeful-but not certain-of a better future. * Charles Panati, author of Panati’s Extraordinary Endings of Practically Everything and Everybody *The Day It Finally Happens is unlike anything I've ever read. It's a bit like losing yourself in a thrumming kaleidoscope of our favorite hypothetical futures, which range from looming hellscapes to our most durable dreams-but you'll be surprisingly well-informed when you finally come to in the present. Sharp, comic, blunt, and justifiably anxious, Pearl is the ideal tour guide to what lies ahead. You'll probably find yourself, as I did, flipping to the next scenario, and the next, long past any sane hour of the night. Pearl's investigations into the worlds of tomorrow are never anything less than engrossing. * Brian Merchant, bestselling author of The One Device: The Secret History of the iPhone *Alternately reassuring and hair-raising, The Day It Finally Happens uncovers surprising answers to all those 'What if?' questions that keep us up at night. It's like peering through a crack in time at what lies ahead and feeling yourself unable to take your eyes away. Trust Mike Pearl to be your intrepid guide to the future. * David Feldman, author of Why Do Clocks Run Clockwise? and Why Do Fish Sleep? *I was floored by the detail in this survey of looming doom. Whether you intend to survive the cataclysm or merely drown passively in a tsunami of fire you should be versed in every one of these scenarios. Remember to keep a small bag packed! * John Roderick, host of the Omnibus Project Podcast, an apocalypse primer *

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