Economic forecasting Books
Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd Economic Forecasting
Book SynopsisThis authoritative and wide-ranging collection presents over fifty of the most important articles on forecasting - a technique that lies at the heart of economic policy and decision-making.This comprehensive two volume set presents the major papers in macroeconomic forecasting and policy making; time series forecasting; the econometrics of forecasting; forecast evaluation; forecasting with leading indicators; forecasting in finance and economic forecasting using surveys.Table of ContentsContents: VOLUME I: Acknowledgements • Introduction Terence Mills Part I: Early Attempts 1. Warren M. Persons (1924), ‘Some Fundamental Concepts of Statistics’ 2. Paul A. Samuelson (1987), ‘Paradise Lost and Refound: The Harvard ABC Barometers’ 3. Arthur W. Marget (1929), ‘Morgenstern on the Methodology of Economic Forecasting’ Part II: Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policymaking 4. R.L. Marris (1954), ‘The Position of Economics and Economists in the Government Machine: A Comparative Critique of the United Kingdom and the Netherlands’ 5. Daniel B. Suits (1962), ‘Forecasting and Analysis with an Econometric Model’ 6. Alec Cairncross (1969), ‘Economic Forecasting’ 7. Stephen K. McNees (1982), ‘The Role of Macroeconometric Models in Forecasting and Policy Analysis in the United States’ 8. Sir Terence Burns (1986), ‘The Interpretation and Use of Economic Predictions’ 9. Kenneth F. Wallis (1991), ‘Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Survey’ Part III: Time Series Forecasting 10. P.J. Coen, E.D. Gomme and M.G. Kendall (1969), ‘Lagged Relationships in Economic Forecasting (with discussion)’ 11. Jeremy Bray (1971), ‘Dynamic Equations for Economic Forecasting with the G.D.P. - Unemployment Relation and the Growth of G.D.P. in the United Kingdom as an Example’ 12. George E.P. Box and Paul Newbold (1971), ‘Some Comments on a Paper of Coen, Gomme and Kendall’ 13. P. Newbold and C.W.J. Granger (1974), ‘Experience with Forecasting Univariate Time Series and the Combination of Forecasts’ 14. Richard Meese and John Geweke (1984), ‘A Comparison of Autoregressive Univariate Forecasting Procedures for Macroeconomic Time Series’ 15. A.C. Harvey and P.H.J. Todd (1983), ‘Forecasting Economic Time Series With Structural and Box-Jenkins Methods: A Case Study’ 16. Robert B. Litterman (1986), ‘Forecasting With Bayesian Vector Autoregressions – Five Years of Experience’ 17. K. Rao Kadiyala and Sune Karlsson (1993), ‘Forecasting with Generalized Bayesian Vector Autoregressions’ 18. Jin-Lung Lin and C.W.J. Granger (1994), ‘Forecasting from Non-linear Models in Practice’ 19. Chris Chatfield (1997), ‘Forecasting in the 1990s’ Part IV: The Econometrics of Forecasting 20. Richard T. Baillie and Tim Bollerslev (1992), ‘Prediction in Dynamic Models with Time-Dependent Conditional Variances’ 21. Michael P. Clements and David F. Hendry (1993), ‘On the Limitations of Comparing Mean Square Forecast Errors’ 22. Michael P. Clements and David F. Hendry (1995), ‘Forecasting in Cointegrated Systems’ 23. David F. Hendry (1997), ‘The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting’ Name Index VOLUME II: Acknowledgements • An Introduction by the editor to both volumes appears in volume I Part I: Forecast Evaluation 1. Geoffrey H. Moore (1969), ‘Forecasting Short-Term Economic Change’ 2. Victor Zarnowitz (1979), ‘An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level’ 3. H.O. Stekler (1968), ‘Forecasting with Econometric Models: An Evaluation’ 4. Charles R. Nelson (1972), ‘The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy’ 5. J.M. Bates and C.W.J. Granger (1969), ‘The Combination of Forecasts’ 6. C.W.J. Granger and P. Newbold (1973), ‘Some Comments on the Evaluation of Economic Forecasts’ 7. Robert T. Clemen (1989), ‘Combining Forecasts: A Review and Annotated Bibliography’ 8. E. Philip Howrey, Lawrence R. Klein and Michael D. McCarthy (1974), ‘Notes on Testing the Predictive Performance of Econometric Models’ 9. Ray C. Fair (1974), ‘An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model’ 10. Ray C. Fair (1979), ‘An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models’ 11. Stephen K. McNees (1986), ‘Forecasting Accuracy of Alternative Techniques: A Comparison of U.S. Macroeconomic Forecasts’ 12. R.A. Kolb and H.O. Stekler (1990), ‘The Lead and Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts’ 13. Roy Batchelor and Pami Dua (1990), ‘Forecaster Ideology, Forecasting Technique, and the Accuracy of Economic Forecasts’ 14. Stephen K. McNees (1992), ‘The Uses and Abuses of ‘Consensus’ Forecasts’ 15. Gordon Leitch and J. Ernest Tanner (1991), ‘Economic Forecast Evaluation: Profits Versus The Conventional Error Measures’ 16. Francis X. Diebold and Roberto S. Mariano (1995), ‘Comparing Predictive Accuracy’ 17. David I. Harvey, Stephen J. Leybourne and Paul Newbold (1998), ‘Tests for Forecast Encompassing’ 18. Clive W.J. Granger (1996), ‘Can We Improve the Perceived Quality of Economic Forecasts?’ Part II: Forecasting with Leading Indicators 19. S.S. Alexander and H.O. Stekler (1959), ‘Forecasting Industrial Production-Leading Series Versus Autoregression’ 20. Saul H. Hymans (1973), ‘On the Use of Leading Indicators to Predict Cyclical Turning Points’ and ‘Comments and Discussion’ 21. Alan J. Auerbach (1982), ‘The Index of Leading Indicators: “Measurement Without Theory”’ 22. Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch (1991), ‘Forecasting Output With the Composite Leading Index: A Real-Time Analysis’ 23. Rebecca A. Emerson and David F. Hendry (1996), ‘An Evaluation of Forecasting Using Leading Indicators’ Part III: Forecasting in Finance 24. Alfred Cowles 3rd (1933), ‘Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast?’ 25. Harry V. Roberts (1959), ‘Stock-Market “Patterns” and Financial Analysis: Methodological Suggestions’ 26. C.W.J. Granger (1972), ‘Analysis of Stock Market Price Data’ 27. Clive W.J. Granger (1992), ‘Forecasting Stock Market Prices: Lessons for Forecasters’ 28. Christopher G. Lamoureux and William D. Lastrapes (1993), ‘Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward an Understanding of Stochastic Implied Volatilities’ 29. Jaesun Noh, Robert F. Engle and Alex Kane (1994), ‘Forecasting Volatility and Option Prices of the S&P 500 Index’ 30. Kenneth F. Kroner, Kevin P. Kneafsey and Stijn Claessens (1995), ‘Forecasting Volatility in Commodity Markets’ 31. Kenneth D. West and Dongchul Cho (1995), ‘The Predictive Ability of Several Models of Exchange Rate Volatility’ 32. Steve Satchell and Allan Timmermann (1995), ‘An Assessment of the Economic Value of Non-linear Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts’ Part IV: Economic Forecasting Using Surveys 33. Richard D. Rippe and Maurice Wilkinson (1974), ‘Forecasting Accuracy of the McGraw-Hill Anticipatory Data’ 34. John A. Carlson (1977), ‘A Study of Price Forecasts’ 35. Victor Zarnowitz (1985), ‘Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts’ Name Index
£506.00
Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd Futures Markets
Book SynopsisA typical market for a commodity, a service or a financial instrument can be divided into the cash market and the futures market. Futures markets are currencies by the standardization of the futures contracts and their trading in highly organized exchanges.Futures Markets contains in three volumes the most influential articles in this field covering a broad range of topics including market characteristics, speculation, pricing, efficiency, interest rates and insurance and foreign characteristics. Important contributors to the volume include among others: Ronald J. Anderson, Eugene F. Fama, Stephen Figlewski, Paul A. Samuelson, Hans R. Stoll and Holbrook Working. As well as providing an authoritative introduction to accompany the piece, the editor has also written three extensive review articles which survey the field of futures markets.This significant collection presents a compact guide to the subject of Futures Markets and will be an essential companion for students, researchers and practitioners.Trade Review’. . . a publishing bargain. The best of the literature in one convenient package is a must for financial economists and libraries, academics or corporate.’Table of ContentsContents: Volume I: Foreword (R. Roll) Introduction Part I: Overview Part II: Early Classics Part III: Institutions Part IV: Market Characteristics Part V: Volatility Part VI: Speculation Part VII: Determinants of Hedging Index • Volume II: Part I: Pricing Part II: Efficiency Part III: Price Distributions Part IV: Chaos Part V: Theories of Hedging Part VI: Portfolio Selection with Futures Part VII: Various Markets Index • Volume III: Part I: Overview Part II: Stock Indexes Part III: Arbitrage Part IV: Portfolio Insurance Part V: Volatility and the October 1987 Crash Part VI: Interest Rates and Insurance Part VII: Foreign Currencies Name Index
£619.00
De Gruyter Understanding the Future
Book SynopsisOrganizations today face an increasingly complex contextual environment. The intensity of what is recognized as a VUCA world has changed how they view the world, interact with each other, and respond to this environment. Understanding the Future shows individuals and organizations how to develop scenario planning, using the Intuitive Logics (IL) model, to perceive what is happening in the business environment and how to improve strategic decision-making to plan for uncertainty. Ronald Bradfield, a renowned scenario planning practitioner, traces the origins of scenario planning from its evolution to associated techniques and details the IL development process from Stage 1 to Stage 5. He includes an insightful chapter on how people think, describing the role of heuristics and biases, reviewing some of the commonly known ones, and concludes with the pros and cons of the IL model. This book includes extensive reference material: appendices, a list of Foresight and Scenario organizations, Futures journals and magazines, published scenarios, select readings and guides, and the author's unique case material directly from his world-leading consulting work of the past 30 years. Understanding the Future is an exceptional, comprehensive guide for postgrads, practitioners, leaders, policymakers and anyone involved in organizational development or management risk who needs to understand the IL scenario framework and its value in addressing organizational challenges amidst complexity.
£27.38
United Nations Innovation for sustainable development: review of Armenia 2023
Book SynopsisThe UNECE Innovation for Sustainable Development Review (I4SDR) of Armenia provides a calibrated assessment and concrete recommendations for innovation policy and structural reform in the country, based on international good practices and a firm understanding of national and regional specificities. This publication focuses on an in-depth analysis of the Armenian innovation infrastructure and examines the role of the Armenian diaspora in fostering innovation-led growth. The Review is a result of an in-depth dialogue and consultation among the UNECE Secretariat, leading subject matter experts, Government officials, academia, the private sector, and other innovation stakeholders in the country
£38.21
United Nations The race to Net Zero: accelerating climate action in Asia and the Pacific
Book SynopsisThe race to net zero focuses on three key sectors from which greenhouse gas emissions must be reduced and how this can be done. It considers how the energy sector can end its dependency on coal and phase out other fossil fuels; how to support low-carbon mobility and logistics; and how international trade and investment can help accelerate the transition of the region's industries to a low-carbon future. Concrete proposals are made as to how these major shifts can be financed and how better to measure challenges and progress. The proposals are grounded in regional cooperation. The present report presents recommendations on building regional frameworks or partnerships on green power corridor, low-carbon transport, and a low-carbon and climate-smart transition, and collaborating on policies for climate-smart trade and investment, climate finance and monitoring
£38.21
Taylor & Francis Wealth Inclusive Growth and Sustainability Routledge Studies in the Modern World Economy
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Taylor & Francis Macroeconomic Forecasting A Sociological Appraisal Routledge Studies in the Modern World Economy
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Taylor & Francis Prediction Markets
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Taylor & Francis Macroeconomics and the History of Economic Thought Festschrift in Honour of Harald Hagemann Routledge Studies in the History of Economics
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Taylor & Francis Futures Markets Routledge Revivals
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Taylor & Francis Business Forecasting Second Edition A Practical Approach
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Cambridge University Press Economic Forecasting
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Cambridge University Press Forecasting Economic Time Series
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