Description
Book SynopsisIndex-tracking is a major part of the US mutual fund market - but can it last? In this forthright and compelling book, investment veteran Niels Jensen argues that the economic environment we are entering will be unsuited to index-tracking strategies due to six structural mega-trends that are set to disrupt investors around the globe.
Trade ReviewThe lessons learned in the stupendous global bull market of the last 40 years will serve us very poorly in the years ahead. With The End of Indexing, Niels Jensen offers a treasure trove of market insights, presented in a global context, that will help readers reach their goals despite the coming headwinds.--Rob Arnott, founder and CEO of Research Affiliates. Niels Jensen is particularly well versed in not only the trends of the markets, but how to take advantage of them. I have worked closely with Niels for over 15 years and I rank him as one of the most astute investors I know. His book, The End of Indexing, it is not only a remarkable study of market trends and economic reasoning, it is done with his inimitable style and grace in writing that makes everything he writes so readable and immediately come to the front of my reading list when it shows up in my inbox. This is a book you're going to want to read more than once. And every time you do you will learn something new and important.-- John Mauldin, five times bestselling author and chairman of Mauldin Economics. So often, it seems that analysts and investors are aware of important long-term issues but choose to discount them, and focus instead on short-term ones, that seem more concrete - retaining only a vague sense of concern that they might be missing something. Keynes taught us the dangers of being myopic. So, for example, it is important to consider both short-term `momentum' and long-term `value' when investing: they are, as it were, two sides of the same coin. Niels' book, and the approach he takes to separating out key long-term structural issues and hammering home their importance, may help to redress the balance. And it may well help a number of investors to improve upon their own approaches. --Sushil Wadhwani, Founder of Wadhwani Asset Management. How apt that I just finished “The End of indexing” by Niels Jensen in the midst one of those chilling tropical downpours in Asia. It is indeed a highly readable rainy-day read that pours cold water on the future of passive investing. Niels takes the reader on a comprehensive tour of some depressing megatrends affecting the global economy and asset markets. You don’t even need to buy into every aspect of these to sympathise with his intelligent interpretations. Neils’ vast market experience shines through in his clear translation of trends into investment strategies. His conclusion — that passive investment strategies expose investors to the wrong type of risk at the wrong side of the megatrends, is accompanied by some convincing suggestions regarding where to maintain risk exposures. --Gabriel Sterne, Head of Global Macroeconomics, Oxford Economics
Table of ContentsAbout the author Acknowledgements Preface Introduction 1. The Declining Everything 2. The Big Conundrum 3. The End of the Debt Super-Cycle 4. The Retirement of the Baby Boomers 5. The Declining Spending Power of the Middle Classes 6. The Rise of the East 7. The Death of Fossil Fuels 8. Mean Reversion of Wealth-to-GDP 9. The Perfect Storm 10. How to Improve Productivity 11. What's Next? 12. Why Index Investing Will Dwindle Bibliography
