Description
Book SynopsisDo leaders make war decisions individually or do they consider other ongoing conflicts? Most researchers assume dyadic independence out of convenience. In this book, Jeffrey Alan Carnegie presents evidence that this is a faulty assumption. First, he develops a formal theory in which limited military resources act as a constraint on the ability of leaders to engage in international conflicts. Country leaders plan accordingly by considering the entire picture of conflicts. This theory, in contrast to dyadic dependence, implies a different data-generating process for international conflicts. Second, he tests both theories using summary statistics, network analysis, and logistic regression. All three methods show strong support for military resource division theory. Carnegie further shows that the dependent effects change with time, even when controlling for polarity. The effects also differ between regions, which implies cultural factors at work. Third, he suggests for the future that
Table of Contents
List of Tables – List of Figures – Acknowledgments – List of Abbreviations – Introduction – Theories of Conflict, with and without Dyadic Independence – Empirical Evidence – Temporal Differences – Regional Differences – Conclusion – References – Formal Theory – Data and Variables – Full Data Tables – Index.
