Description
Book SynopsisTrade Review"Both textbook and practical guide, this work is an accessible account of Bayesian data analysis starting from the basics…This edition is truly an expanded work and includes all new programs in JAGS and Stan designed to be easier to use than the scripts of the first edition, including when running the programs on your own data sets." --MAA Reviews "fills a gaping hole in what is currently available, and will serve to create its own market" --Prof. Michael Lee, U. of Cal., Irvine; pres. Society for Mathematical Psych "has the potential to change the way most cognitive scientists and experimental psychologists approach the planning and analysis of their experiments" --Prof. Geoffrey Iverson, U. of Cal., Irvine; past pres. Society for Mathematical Psych. "better than others for reasons stylistic.... buy it -- it’s truly amazin’!" --James L. (Jay) McClelland, Lucie Stern Prof. & Chair, Dept. of Psych., Stanford U. "the best introductory textbook on Bayesian MCMC techniques" --J. of Mathematical Psych. "potential to change the methodological toolbox of a new generation of social scientists" --J. of Economic Psych. "revolutionary" --British J. of Mathematical and Statistical Psych. "writing for real people with real data. From the very first chapter, the engaging writing style will get readers excited about this topic" --PsycCritiques
Table of Contents1. What’s in This Book (Read This First!) PART I The Basics: Models, Probability, Bayes’ Rule, and R 2. Introduction: Credibility, Models, and Parameters 3. The R Programming Language 4. What Is This Stuff Called Probability? 5. Bayes’ Rule PART II All the Fundamentals Applied to Inferring a Binomial Probability 6. Inferring a Binomial Probability via Exact Mathematical Analysis 7. Markov Chain Monte Carlo 8. JAGS 9. Hierarchical Models 10. Model Comparison and Hierarchical Modeling 11. Null Hypothesis Significance Testing 12. Bayesian Approaches to Testing a Point ("Null") Hypothesis 13. Goals, Power, and Sample Size 14. Stan PART III The Generalized Linear Model 15. Overview of the Generalized Linear Model 16. Metric-Predicted Variable on One or Two Groups 17. Metric Predicted Variable with One Metric Predictor 18. Metric Predicted Variable with Multiple Metric Predictors 19. Metric Predicted Variable with One Nominal Predictor 20. Metric Predicted Variable with Multiple Nominal Predictors 21. Dichotomous Predicted Variable 22. Nominal Predicted Variable 23. Ordinal Predicted Variable 24. Count Predicted Variable 25. Tools in the Trunk