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Bayesian analysis of complex models based on stochastic processes has in recent years become a growing area. This book provides a unified treatment of Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, covering the main classes of stochastic processing including modeling, computational, inference, forecasting, decision making and important applied models. Key features: Explores Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, providing a unified treatment. Provides a thorough introduction for research students. Computational tools to deal with complex problems are illustrated along with real life case studies Looks at inference, prediction and decision making. Researchers, graduate and advanced undergraduate students interested in stochastic processes in fields such as statistics, operations research (OR), engineering, finance, economics, computer science and Bayesian analysis will benefit from reading this book. With numerous applications included, practitioners of OR, stochastic modelling and applied statistics will also find this book useful.

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives series offers a skills-building approach to the Cambridge curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. The comprehensive and practical teacher support includes lesson plans, worksheets and answers for every unit of the Student’s Book, and a scheme of work to help you plan your course. This title has been endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education for the Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. Plan for progression with a full scheme of work for each stage. Chapter overviews show which skill strands, learning objectives, issues and key terms are covered in each lesson, while the Curriculum Framework coverage map shows where topics, learning objectives and challenges have been supported. Feel confident teaching Global Perspectives with ready-made lesson plans, worksheets and an activity bank full of active learning teaching ideas. Detailed lesson plans share best practice, whether you are teaching Lower Secondary Global Perspectives for the first time or are an experienced teacher of the subject. Understand how to assess students’ participation and progress with the Assessment for learning guidance and the differentiated Success criteria in each lesson plan. Additional guidance on preparing students effectively for the Checkpoint assessment is provided in Chapter 5. The clear lesson-by-lesson approach allows you to use the resources with ease in the classroom and to build them into your own schemes of work. The Extra support and Extra challenge differentiation points in each lesson plan suggest how all learners can be supported to make progress, and worksheets scaffold and extend the Student’s Book activities. Personalise the course and adapt the resources to the needs of your classes with the editable Word and PDF files that can be downloaded from the Collins website: www.collins.co.uk/cambridge-international-downloads

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives series offers a skills-building approach to the Cambridge curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. The comprehensive and practical teacher support includes lesson plans, worksheets and answers for every unit of the Student’s Book, and a scheme of work to help you plan your course. This title has been endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education for the Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. Plan for progression with a full scheme of work for each stage. Chapter overviews show which skill strands, learning objectives, issues and key terms are covered in each lesson, while the Curriculum Framework coverage map shows where topics, learning objectives and challenges have been supported. Feel confident teaching Global Perspectives with ready-made lesson plans, worksheets and an activity bank full of active learning teaching ideas. Detailed lesson plans share best practice, whether you are teaching Lower Secondary Global Perspectives for the first time or are an experienced teacher of Global Perspectives. Understand how to assess students’ participation and progress with the Assessment for learning guidance and the differentiated Success criteria in each lesson plan. The clear lesson-by-lesson approach allows you to use the resources with ease in the classroom and to build them into your own schemes of work. The Extra support and Extra challenge differentiation points in each lesson plan suggest how all learners can be supported to make progress, and worksheets scaffold and extend the Student’s Book activities. Personalise the course and adapt the resources to the needs of your classes with the editable Word and PDF files that can be downloaded from the Collins website: www.collins.co.uk/cambridge-international-downloads

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary English series offers a skills-building approach to the Cambridge Lower Secondary English curriculum framework (0861) from 2020. The second edition of the Stage 8 Workbook is designed to help students to consolidate their learning through further practice to secure the skills taught in the Student’s Book. This series is endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education to support the new curriculum framework 0861 from 2020. Consolidate and extend students’ learning with engaging practice activities and additional language support for Chapters 1 to 6 of the Student’s Book. The numbered units correspond clearly to the Student’s Book and can be set as homework or used in class for further study. All tasks can be completed individually. As in the Student’s Book each chapter builds from scaffolded activities to more independent and substantial tasks. The write-in format aids revision and keeps learning in one place, allowing teachers to monitor students’ progress. Answers to the Workbook questions are provided in the Stage 7 Teacher’s Guide.

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary English series offers a skills-building approach to the Cambridge Lower Secondary English curriculum framework (0861) from 2020. The second edition of the Stage 9 Workbook is designed to help students to consolidate their learning through further practice to secure the skills taught in the Student’s Book. This series is endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education to support the new curriculum framework 0861 from 2020. Consolidate and extend students’ learning with engaging practice activities and additional language support for Chapters 1 to 6 of the Student’s Book. The numbered units correspond clearly to the Student’s Book and can be set as homework or used in class for further study. All tasks can be completed individually. As in the Student’s Book each chapter builds from scaffolded activities to more independent and substantial tasks. The write-in format aids revision and keeps learning in one place, allowing teachers to monitor students’ progress. Answers to the Workbook questions are provided in the Stage 7 Teacher’s Guide.

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary English series offers a skills-building approach to the Cambridge Lower Secondary English curriculum framework (0861) from 2020. The Stage 7 Teacher’s Guide provides comprehensive, practical support with lesson plans, worksheets and PowerPoints for every unit of the Student’s Book. This series is endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education to support the new curriculum framework 0861 from 2020. Plan for progression with a full scheme of work for each stage. Chapter overviews show which objectives, texts and key terms are covered in each lesson, while the Curriculum Framework coverage map shows where every text form or genre and learning objective from the curriculum framework has been addressed. Start teaching straightaway with ready-made lesson plans, worksheets and PowerPoints for each two- or four-page unit in the Student’s Book. Detailed, differentiated lesson plans share best practice, whether you are teaching Lower Secondary for the first time or an experienced teacher of the curriculum. The clear lesson-by-lesson approach allows you to use the resources with ease in the classroom and to build them into your own schemes of work. Fully differentiated lesson plans suggest how all learners can be supported to make progress through ‘Extra support’ and ‘Extra challenge’ suggestions and worksheets to scaffold or extend the Student’s Book activities. Personalise the course and adapt the resources to the needs of your classes with the editable Word and PowerPoint files that can be downloaded from the Collins website: www.collins.co.uk/cambridge-international-downloads

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The Concise Revision Course – English A provides comprehensive and authoritative guidance to preparing for the Paper 1 and Paper 2 examinations. It adopts a practical, supportive approach to help students build the skills and understanding needed for exam success. Organised by question paper, the Concise Revision Course recaps and models the skills needed to answer each question effectively, moving from scaffolded skills-building activities to full examination-style tasks. Each chapter in the Paper 1 section includes guidance on where you might go wrong when answering multiple-choice questions. Each chapter in the Paper 2 section ends with a full practice question and annotated sample responses to exemplify competent and superior performance. A final chapter of practice questions helps you to prepare for your examinations.

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Magic has enchanted humankind for millennia, evoking terror, laughter, shock, and amazement. Once persecuted as heretics and sorcerers, magicians have always been conduits to a parallel universe of limitless possibility—whether invoking spirits, reading minds, or inverting the laws of nature by sleight of hand. Long before science fiction, virtual realities, video games, and the Internet, the craft of magic was the most powerful fantasy world man had ever known. As the pioneers of special effects throughout history, magicians have never ceased to mystify us by making the impossible possible. This book celebrates more than 500 years of the stunning visual culture of the world’s greatest magicians. Featuring more than 750 rarely seen vintage posters, photographs, handbills, and engravings as well as paintings by Hieronymus Bosch and Bruegel among others, The Magic Book traces the history of magic as a performing art from the 1400s to the 1950s. Combining sensational images with incisive text, the book explores the evolution of the magicians’ craft, from medieval street performers to the brilliant stage magicians who gave rise to cinematic special effects; from the 19th century’s golden age of magic to groundbreaking daredevils like Houdini and the early 20th century’s vaudevillians.

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British Leyland Motor Corporation, formed in the wake of the post-war manufacturing boom, brought together almost all the British-owned car and commercial vehicle companies that then existed. At the head of the sixth largest car manufacturer in the world, its management confi dently expected to give the United Kingdom a leading place in the global motor industry. The eventual failure was one of the biggest and most disappointing disasters in British industrial history. Despite this, we can be proud of British Leyland’s legacy: successful and much loved vehicles like the Mini and the Range Rover have endured, its working practices had a lasting effect on industrial relations policy, and brands that once formed part of the group continue to thrive in this ever-competitive market. From their unique insider perspective, three former employees of the brand reveal in unprecedented detail the ups and downs of this iconic British company.

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Born into wealth in 1860's London, Beatrix Potter always had a vivid imagination. Her early interests included natural history and archaeology, and Potter delighted in sketching fossils and fungi. After briefly illustrating Christmas cards with her brother, Bertram, Potter wrote and illustrated her well-known book, The Tale of Peter Rabbit. The book was rejected by several publishes until Frederick Warne eventually took a risk and published the story in 1902 - a risk that paid off. Peter Rabbit was a huge success and readers loved hearing about Peter's mischevious adventures in the lush English countryside. As she got older, Beatrix Potter became a proud conservationist, working hard to defend the landscape she loved so well against industrialization and logging. Now over one hundred years old, Peter Rabbit and his animal friends have become cultural touchstones and continue to delight readers of all ages.

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Project X CODE is a book-by-book series built for SEN and struggling readers aged 6-11. Welcome to Micro World, invented by Macro Marvel - an amazing theme park where you have to shrink to get in! Disaster strikes when CODE, the computer controlling the park and the robots inside, goes wrong and wants to shrink the world. Team X and Mini Marvel have a new mission - to battle the BITEs, collect the CODE keys, rescue Macro Marvel, stop CODE, and save the world! Each book contains 2 texts: Text 1 is 100% decodable to build reading confidence, and Text 2 is at least 80% decodable, including the same target phonemes and Tricky words but with more varied vocabulary to develop comprehension and motivate struggling readers. Team X and Mini visit famous landmarks in Wonders of the World. They find the BITE in the Leaning Tower of Pisa in Invisible Threat, and search the Statue of Liberty in Statue Surprise. They spot the BITE on the Eiffel Tower in Scare in the Air and defeat it at Stonehenge in Secret of the Stone. In Pyramid Peril, the team explore pyramids in Into the Pyramid. The BITE chases Ant and Tiger in Another Way In. The others dodge traps in Rock Shock and Ant and Tiger ride a camel in Hang On!

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This book provides valuable insight and critical appraisal of key areas of intelligent transport systems (ITS) for land transport in Europe. ITS is becoming increasingly important as the means to improving the efficiency, safety and comfort of the transport of people and goods while at the same time helping to minimize environmental damage and the contribution of transport to global warming.The material draws on over four years of study by the ROSETTA project — part of the European Commission 5th Framework Program. For each of the 12 areas addressed, the book provides a vision for their application, identifies key issues yet to be addressed and the future opportunities that the timely application and advancement of ITS can bring.

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The B-24 Liberator–equipped organization that evolved from its original 2nd Bomb Wing status to a Divisional level commenced operations out of East Anglia in late 1942. Over the ensuing two-and-a-half years it prosecuted the Daylight Bombing Offensive in company with its 1st and 3rd AD contemporaries. Its crews moreover not only operated over central Europe, but in addition flew detachment operations out of North Africa that included the specific and costly assault on the Ploesti oil complex. The title of this book succinctly sums up the importance of the Division’s presence within the 8th Air Force structure and the part it played in hammering the life out of the industrial and military infrastructures sustaining Hitler’s Third Reich.

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Prepare for Microsoft Exam AZ-300—and help demonstrate your real-world mastery of architecting high-value Microsoft Azure solutions for your organization or customers. Designed for modern IT professionals, this Exam Ref focuses on the critical thinking and decision-making acumen needed for success at the Microsoft Certified Expert level. Focus on the expertise measured by these objectives: Deploy and configure infrastructure Implement workloads and security Create and deploy apps Implement authentication and secure data Develop for the cloud and for Azure storage This Microsoft Exam Ref: Organizes its coverage by exam objectives Features strategic, what-if scenarios to challenge you Assumes you are an IT professional who wants to demonstrate your ability to design modern Microsoft Azure solutions involving compute, network, storage, and security About the Exam Exam AZ-300 focuses on knowledge needed to analyze resource usage; create and configure storage accounts and VMs; automate VM deployments and implement VM solutions; create and manage virtual networks; manage Azure AD and hybrid identities; migrate servers to Azure; configure serverless computing; implement app load balancing; integrate on-premises and virtual networks; manage RBAC; implement MFA; create web apps with PaaS; design and develop containerized apps; implement authentication and secure data solutions; build solutions with Cosmos DB or RDBMSes; configure message-based integration architecture; and develop for autoscaling. About Microsoft Certification Passing this exam and Exam AZ-301: Microsoft Azure Architect Design fulfills your requirements for the Microsoft Cer¿tified: Azure Solutions Architect Expert credential, demonstrating your expertise in compute, network, storage, and secu¿rity for designing modern cloud-based solutions that run on Microsoft Azure. See full details at: microsoft.com/learn

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This book offers a useful and accessible guide to leadership. It encourages the reader to be pro-active and learn from experience to develop themselves, their colleagues and their organisation. Part 1 introduces the “3 C’s” model of leadership, while Part 2 develops practices that allow any leadership challenge to be overcome and Part 3 focuses on developing leadership and how best to enhance the leadership of individuals and organisations.

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The award-winning Curiositree: Natural World explores, through 67 exquisitely illustrated charts, the myriad ways in which plants and animals have adapted to survive. Discover the interconnectedness of the natural world and learn why living things look and behave the way they do in a series of visually compelling information charts, maps and cutaways, all illustrated in a nostalgic, vintage style. Packed with incredible facts about the natural world and the animals that populate it, the whole family will enjoy the full-page spreads grouped into the categories of habitats, species and adaptations.The jacket of this large-format book unfolds to a huge wall poster showing the brilliant adaptations of a range of birds. Use the coloured ribbons like a bookmark, or to mark your place so you can return to pages that you found especially interesting. Celebrate the extraordinary resourcefulness and resilience of the natural world with amazing facts about: Habitats, ecosystems and biodiversity Migrations, from the wildebeest of Africa to the red crabs of Christmas Island All types of camouflage, from predator-dazing zebra stripes to the fur of the Artic fox, which changes to white in winter to match the snow Life in the rainforest, the ‘lungs of our planet’ All sorts of seeds and their variety of ingenious designs Life cycles of creatures, from butterflies to the curious axolotl (a type of salamander) As the human species, Homo sapiens, are challenged now to find ways to live and survive in harmony with nature, curiosity will provide the answers. So, set out on your own adventure in this book, and discover why the natural world is worthy of your unending curiosity.

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The perfect boredom-buster for when you’re trapped indoors - keep your kids entertained during quarantine and explore the jungle! Meet all of the animals who live there and discover what they look like, what they eat and how they survive in the jungles. With fun activities, things to spot and a baby monkey to find on every page – this book will provide hours of entertainment! Go through each page and see if you can: - Spot the baby monkey in every spread.- Find the sloth who's still awake. - Decide which fruit looks the tastiest!Spot the Monkey in the Jungle is part of the popular Spot The series. These fantastic search and find books, combine spot the activities and other games with informative non-fiction topics to create an entertaining and educational experience. With jam-packed scenes and incredible attention to detail – young children will find something new with every read of this book. Other books in the Spot the series include: Spot the Shark in the Ocean Spot the Snail in the Garden Spot the Dinosaur on the Island Spot the Bird on the Building Site Spot the Seal around the World Spot the Seal around the WorldSpot the Mouse on the Move Spot the Zebra at the Zoo Spot the Mummy at the Museum Spot the Lamb on the Farm Spot the Puppy in the City Spot the Robot in Space

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The 'UK's answer to Spider-Man' returns in the second collection of this long lost classic from the hugely popular and long running Buster comic.THE BEAST OF SELBRIDGE RETURNS!After being scratched by a radioactive leopard, Billy Farmer discovered that he had somehow developed the powers of the mighty jungle cat. Life is getting tougher for Selbridge's premier crime-fighter. The criminals are getting tougher, his the local newspaper editor is out for his blood and now his new leopard skin costume is turning him into a savage beast! To make matters worse, a girl from his school suspects his true identity! Is this the end for the Leopard from Lime Street...?

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Join Minnie for this next adventure in Beanotown, along with Dennis and Gnasher! Bash Street have made it through to the knockout stages of Super Epic Turbo Cricket European Tour of Mischief for the first time in forever, and due to a case of mistaken identity owing to a rogue Gnasher racing onto the pitch, Minnie has just been made team captain! This should be amazing news, except Minnie’s parents don’t seem to be happy for her . . . In fact, now that Minnie thinks about it, they haven’t been happy in a long while. Join Minnie on her mission to cheer up her parents again the best way she knows how: with a Super Epic Turbo PRANK. Will it work, or will it unearth what’s really going on? Perfect for kids with parents who are splitting up – or just want to read a mega-funny story!

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives series offers a skills-building approach to the Cambridge curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. The resources support students to develop skills in analysis, collaboration, communication, evaluation, reflection and research, exploring global issues through rich international sources. This title has been endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education for the Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. This book provides full coverage of the Stage 8 Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives curriculum framework. Focused on improving skills: each chapter revisits the objectives from Stage 7, extending and deepening these skills through a structured sequence of active learning towards a collaborative final task. Empower students to engage with a range of contemporary issues and perspectives. In Stage 8 these relate to the syllabus topics, ‘Environment, pollution and conservation’, ‘Climate change, energy and resources’, ‘Development, trade and aid’, ‘Migration’, ‘Change in cultures and communities’, ‘Digital world’ and ‘Law and criminality’. Help students to assess their progress and understand how to improve: the final chapter asks students to apply the skills they have learned across Stage 8, by drafting a model UN resolution, taking part in a model UN debate and reflecting in writing on what they have learned. Encourage reflection through structured Reflection points in each lesson and a self-assessment Check your progress feature at the end of each chapter. The clear lesson-by-lesson approach allows teachers to easily use the resources in the classroom and build them into their own schemes of work. The Collins resources can be used as preparation for the Challenges, if schools wish, as each chapter in the Student’s Book links to the skills and topic focus of a Stage 8 Challenge.

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives series offers a skills-building approach to the Cambridge curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. The resources support students to develop skills in analysis, collaboration, communication, evaluation, reflection and research, exploring global issues through rich international sources. This title has been endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education for the Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives curriculum framework (1129) from 2022. This book provides full coverage of the Stage 9 Cambridge Lower Secondary Global Perspectives curriculum framework. Focused on improving skills: each chapter focuses on a combination of skill strands, building these skills through active learning towards a collaborative final task. In Stage 9, there is a particular focus on constructing effective arguments in writing in preparation for the Checkpoint assessment. Empower students to engage with a range of contemporary issues and perspectives. In Stage 9 these relate to the syllabus topics, ‘Poverty and inequality’, ‘Media and communication’, ‘Travel, transport and tourism’ and ‘Sport and recreation’. Help students to assess their progress and understand how to improve: the final chapters ask students to apply the skills they have learned across Stage 9, by planning and writing a research report and reflecting on what they have learned from the course. Encourage reflection through structured Reflection points in each lesson and a self-assessment Check your progress feature at the end of each chapter. The clear lesson-by-lesson approach allows teachers to easily use the resources in the classroom and build them into their own schemes of work. The Collins resources can be used as preparation for the Challenges, if schools wish, as some of the chapters in the Student’s Book links to the skills and topic focus of a Stage 9 Challenge.

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The Collins Cambridge Lower Secondary English series offers a skills-building approach to the Lower Secondary English curriculum framework (0861) from 2020. The Stage 9 Student’s Book supports students to develop their skills in reading, writing and speaking and listening, showing all students how to progress. This series is endorsed by Cambridge Assessment International Education to support the new curriculum framework 0861 from 2020. Focused on improving skills – the book provides full coverage of the Stage 9 Cambridge Lower Secondary English curriculum framework, with clear outcomes in each chapter. Organised by purpose – each chapter shows students how to speak, write and comment on texts created for one key purpose or pair of purposes. A clear learning sequence builds from students exploring texts, through scaffolded writing and speaking and listening activities, towards a series of meaningful final tasks. Stage 9 covers describing, entertaining, arguing, narrating, analysing and comparing, and interpreting. The final chapter of the book allows students to test their understanding and apply the skills they have learned across Stage 9, by responding to reading and writing questions on two longer texts. Supports progression – clear models and examples are included throughout to show students how to improve, while self-assessment tasks at the end of each chapter help students to reflect on their progress. Rich, varied and engaging text extracts – fresh international fiction, poetry, drama and non-fiction texts represent the different forms and purposes required at each stage of the curriculum. Extracts of increasing length and challenge have been chosen to build students’ reading stamina across the stage. The clear lesson-by-lesson approach allows teachers to easily use the resources in the classroom and build them into their own schemes of work. Prepares students for a seamless transition to Cambridge IGCSE™ English (First Language).

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The rules have changed, and Daniel now holds a special place in Stillwater. Can Galen’s hold on the town stand up to a new challenger? Superstar writer CHIP ZDARSKY (DAREDEVIL, THE WHITE TREES) and Eisner Award-winning artist RAMON PEREZ (TALES OF SAND, JANE) conclude their tale of undying horror and intrigue in this unforgettable volume. Collects STILLWATER #13-18 & STILLWATER: THE ESCAPE #1

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Americans love movies and watch a lot of TV. Cosper helps readers effectively engage with and evaluate what they watch, highlighting how the stories we tell reveal humanity’s universal longing for redemption.

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It starts as a story ripped from the headlines of the war-torn Middle East. An extremist faction of Islam bombs a church during a service. The one door in the back isn't big enough for five hundred people trying to escape. Some are killed. But after the chaos and fire and smoke, one young woman comes back to life. In this thrilling true tale, death does not have the final word. From the first time Samaa heard the Lord Jesus calling her out of Islam into faith in Him, till she met Him face to face in heaven, her life is marked by God's supernatural love and power. Full of hope and encouragement, and overflowing with Jesus' love, her riveting account reveals the power of God to break through any circumstance--and is a moving reminder that, in a place beyond what we can imagine, we have a Savior waiting to welcome us face to face.

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