Description

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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Paperback / softback by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat... Read more

    Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
    Publication Date: 28/02/2008
    ISBN13: 9780141034591, 978-0141034591
    ISBN10: 0141034599

    Number of Pages: 480

    Description

    The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

    What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

    This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

    'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

    'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

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