Description

Book Synopsis

Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patientâs individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest.

Features:

    • All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch.
    • Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks.
    • R-code and illustrative examples.
    • Interpre

      Trade Review

      "Two of the top researchers in the field of clinical prediction models have produced a highly innovative book that brings a very technical topic to public grasp by throwing out the formulas and just talking straight from the heart of practical experience. While clinicians and medical residents can now learn how to build, diagnose and validate risk models themselves, all public health researchers, old and new, will reap the benefits and enjoyment from reading this book."
      ~Donna Ankerst, Technical University of Munich


      "Two of the top researchers in the field of clinical prediction models have produced a highly innovative book that brings a very technical topic to public grasp by throwing out the formulas and just talking straight from the heart of practical experience. While clinicians and medical residents can now learn how to build, diagnose and validate risk models themselves, all public health researchers, old and new, will reap the benefits and enjoyment from reading this book."
      ~Donna Ankerst, Technical University of Munich

      "Overall, the book offers a well-written, complete and illustrative overview of clinical prediction models with clear stances and directions on the modelling methods, choices and strategies. I find this a very welcome and much needed addition to the literature because prediction is the backbone of medical decision-making; few books are dedicated to modelling strategies and artificial intelligence is ascending in medical research. I thereby highly recommend this book for anyone who would be interested in performing predictive modelling for prognostic or diagnostic research."

      -Evangelos I. Kritsotakis, International Society for Clinical Biostatistics, 72, 2021



      Table of Contents
      1. Software. 2. I am going to make a prediction model. What do I need to know? 3. Regression model. 4. How should I prepare for modeling? 5. I am ready to build a prediction model. 7. Does my model predict accurately? 7. How do I decide between rival models? 8. Can't the computer just take care of all of this? 9. Things you might have expected in our book.

Medical Risk Prediction Models

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    £47.49

    Includes FREE delivery

    RRP £49.99 – you save £2.50 (5%)

    Order before 4pm tomorrow for delivery by Thu 11 Jun 2026.

    A Paperback by Thomas A. Gerds, Michael W. Kattan

    1 in stock


      View other formats and editions of Medical Risk Prediction Models by Thomas A. Gerds

      Publisher: CRC Press
      Publication Date: 8/29/2022 12:00:00 AM
      ISBN13: 9780367673734, 978-0367673734
      ISBN10: 0367673738

      Description

      Book Synopsis

      Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patientâs individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest.

      Features:

        • All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch.
        • Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks.
        • R-code and illustrative examples.
        • Interpre

          Trade Review

          "Two of the top researchers in the field of clinical prediction models have produced a highly innovative book that brings a very technical topic to public grasp by throwing out the formulas and just talking straight from the heart of practical experience. While clinicians and medical residents can now learn how to build, diagnose and validate risk models themselves, all public health researchers, old and new, will reap the benefits and enjoyment from reading this book."
          ~Donna Ankerst, Technical University of Munich


          "Two of the top researchers in the field of clinical prediction models have produced a highly innovative book that brings a very technical topic to public grasp by throwing out the formulas and just talking straight from the heart of practical experience. While clinicians and medical residents can now learn how to build, diagnose and validate risk models themselves, all public health researchers, old and new, will reap the benefits and enjoyment from reading this book."
          ~Donna Ankerst, Technical University of Munich

          "Overall, the book offers a well-written, complete and illustrative overview of clinical prediction models with clear stances and directions on the modelling methods, choices and strategies. I find this a very welcome and much needed addition to the literature because prediction is the backbone of medical decision-making; few books are dedicated to modelling strategies and artificial intelligence is ascending in medical research. I thereby highly recommend this book for anyone who would be interested in performing predictive modelling for prognostic or diagnostic research."

          -Evangelos I. Kritsotakis, International Society for Clinical Biostatistics, 72, 2021



          Table of Contents
          1. Software. 2. I am going to make a prediction model. What do I need to know? 3. Regression model. 4. How should I prepare for modeling? 5. I am ready to build a prediction model. 7. Does my model predict accurately? 7. How do I decide between rival models? 8. Can't the computer just take care of all of this? 9. Things you might have expected in our book.

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