Description

Book Synopsis
An agent often does not have precise probabilities or utilities to guide resolution of a decision problem. I advance a principle of rationality for making decisions in such cases. To begin, I represent the doxastic and conative state of an agent with a set of pairs of a probability assignment and a utility assignment. Then I support a decision principle that allows any act that maximizes expected utility according to some pair of assignments in the set. Assuming that computation of an option''s expected utility uses comprehensive possible outcomes that include the option''s risk, no consideration supports a stricter requirement.

Table of Contents
1. Introduction; 2. Imprecision; 3. Rational imprecision; 4. Probabilism; 5. The expected-utility principle; 6. Norms for imprecise attitudes; 7. The permissive principle of choice; 8. Sequences of choices; 9. Choices in games of strategy; 10. Conclusion.

Rational Choice Using Imprecise Probabilities and

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    A Paperback by Paul Weirich

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      View other formats and editions of Rational Choice Using Imprecise Probabilities and by Paul Weirich

      Publisher: Cambridge University Press
      Publication Date: Publication Date: 2/25/2021 12:00:00 AM
      ISBN13: 9781108713504, 978-1108713504
      ISBN10: 1108713505
      Also in:
      Philosophy: logic Philosophy of science

      Description

      Book Synopsis
      An agent often does not have precise probabilities or utilities to guide resolution of a decision problem. I advance a principle of rationality for making decisions in such cases. To begin, I represent the doxastic and conative state of an agent with a set of pairs of a probability assignment and a utility assignment. Then I support a decision principle that allows any act that maximizes expected utility according to some pair of assignments in the set. Assuming that computation of an option''s expected utility uses comprehensive possible outcomes that include the option''s risk, no consideration supports a stricter requirement.

      Table of Contents
      1. Introduction; 2. Imprecision; 3. Rational imprecision; 4. Probabilism; 5. The expected-utility principle; 6. Norms for imprecise attitudes; 7. The permissive principle of choice; 8. Sequences of choices; 9. Choices in games of strategy; 10. Conclusion.

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