Description

Book Synopsis
Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, and how to ensure expert advice is relatively reliable and accurate.

Trade Review
'Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts … is very clearly and logically structured … this book is written in easy and enjoyable language and very much oriented toward practical needs.' Pierre L. Ibisch, Conservation Biology

Table of Contents
Preface; Acknowledgements; 1. What's wrong with consulting experts?; 2. Kinds of uncertainty; 3. What leads experts astray?; 4. Dealing with individual experts; 5. The wisdom of crowds revisited; 6. Tips to get the best out of experts; Appendix. Sources; References; Index.

Trusting Judgements How to Get the Best out of Experts

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    A Paperback by Mark A. Burgman

    £999.99

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      Book details

      Publisher Cambridge University Press
      Published 26 October 2015
      ISBN-13 9781107531024
      978-1107531024
      Also in:
      Economics Science & Nature Biology, life sciences Life sciences: general issues

      Description

      Book Synopsis
      Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, and how to ensure expert advice is relatively reliable and accurate.

      Trade Review
      'Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts … is very clearly and logically structured … this book is written in easy and enjoyable language and very much oriented toward practical needs.' Pierre L. Ibisch, Conservation Biology

      Table of Contents
      Preface; Acknowledgements; 1. What's wrong with consulting experts?; 2. Kinds of uncertainty; 3. What leads experts astray?; 4. Dealing with individual experts; 5. The wisdom of crowds revisited; 6. Tips to get the best out of experts; Appendix. Sources; References; Index.

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