Description

Book Synopsis

Interpreting poll data as a prediction of election outcomes is a practice as old as the field, rooted in a fundamental misunderstanding of what poll data means.

By first understanding how polls work at a fundamental level, this book gives readers the ability to discern flaws in the current methods. Then, through specific political examples from both the United States and the United Kingdom, it is shown how polls famously derided as wrong were, in fact, accurate. While polls are not always accurate, the reasons we can and can't (rightly) call them wrong are explained in this book.

This book will equip readers with the tools to navigate the mismatch of expectations. It is not intended to replace more technical applications of statistics but is accessible to anyone interested in learning more about how poll data should be understood, compared to how it's currently misunderstood.

The Polls Werent Wrong

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    A Paperback by Carl Allen

    £36.99

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    Order before 4pm today for delivery by Sat 24 Oct 2026.

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      Book details

      Publisher Taylor & Francis
      Imprint Taylor & Francis Ltd
      Published 1/24/2024
      ISBN-13 9781032483023
      978-1032483023
      ISBN-10 1032483024
      Also in:
      Mathematics Probability and statistics

      Description

      Book Synopsis

      Interpreting poll data as a prediction of election outcomes is a practice as old as the field, rooted in a fundamental misunderstanding of what poll data means.

      By first understanding how polls work at a fundamental level, this book gives readers the ability to discern flaws in the current methods. Then, through specific political examples from both the United States and the United Kingdom, it is shown how polls famously derided as wrong were, in fact, accurate. While polls are not always accurate, the reasons we can and can't (rightly) call them wrong are explained in this book.

      This book will equip readers with the tools to navigate the mismatch of expectations. It is not intended to replace more technical applications of statistics but is accessible to anyone interested in learning more about how poll data should be understood, compared to how it's currently misunderstood.

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