Description

Book Synopsis

A quantifiable framework for unlocking the unconscious forces that shape markets

There has long been a notion that subliminal forces play a great part in causing the seemingly irrational financial bubbles, which conventional economic theory, again and again, fails to explain. However, these forces, sometimes labeled animal spirits' or irrational exuberance, have remained elusive - until now. The Mystery of Market Movements provides you with a methodology to timely predict and profit from changes in human investment behaviour based on the workings of the collective unconscious.

Niklas Hageback draws in on one of psychology''s most influential ideas - archetypes - to explain how they form investor's perceptions and can be predicted and turned into profit. The Mystery of Market Movements provides;

  • A review of the collective unconscious and its archetypes based on Carl Jung's theories and empirical case studies that highlights and assesses

    Table of Contents

    Acknowledgments ix

    Introduction 1

    CHAPTER 1 Psychology: A Primer 7

    Some Key Psychological Concepts 9

    The Unconscious 13

    Conclusion 21

    Notes 22

    References 24

    CHAPTER 2 Archetypes and Symbols 27

    Carl Gustav Jung 27

    Archetypes: A Background 31

    Why Do Archetypes Activate? 40

    Symbols: The Tangible Manifestations of Archetypes 45

    Conclusion 50

    Notes 50

    References 52

    CHAPTER 3 How Archetypes Influence and Impact Behaviour 55

    Characteristics of the Activation of an Archetype 55

    Projections and Other Defense Mechanisms 56

    The Role of Scapegoats 58

    Shadow Projections 58

    Zeitgeist 59

    Mass Hysteria and Panics 62

    Conclusion 65

    Notes 65

    References 66

    CHAPTER 4 Archetypal Influences in the Financial Markets 67

    Financial Bubbles 67

    Animal Spirits 71

    An Archetypal Perspective on the Development of Financial Bubbles 74

    Conclusion 77

    Notes 77

    References 78

    CHAPTER 5 Existing Approaches to Capture Sentiments in Financial Markets, and Why They Do Not Work 81

    Behavioural Finance 82

    Technical Analysis 83

    Efficient Market Hypothesis 84

    Black Swans 86

    Social Mood 87

    Emotion Words 89

    Conclusion 89

    Notes 90

    References 91

    CHAPTER 6 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part I: Building Blocks 93

    Linking Symbols to Archetypes 96

    Capturing Symbols 98

    Conclusion 107

    Notes 108

    References 109

    CHAPTER 7 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part II: The Data 111

    Data Sources 112

    Capture and Cleansing 114

    Relativisation of Symbol Words 119

    Two Article Examples 120

    Conclusion 128

    Notes 128

    References 129

    CHAPTER 8 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part III: The Model 131

    Signal Theory 133

    Correlation Testing 136

    Testing the Time Series against Known Cycles 138

    Constructing Archetypal Composite Indexes 138

    Backtesting and Calibration 141

    Conclusion 142

    Notes 143

    References 143

    CHAPTER 9 Examples of Archetypal Influences on the Formation of Financial Bubbles 145

    The Dot-Com Bubble 148

    The US Property Bubble 155

    Conclusion 159

    Notes 160

    References 161

    CHAPTER 10 Conclusion 163

    How Archetypes Play Out 164

    Areas for Further Research 165

    Time Constants 166

    Multiple Archetypes 166

    Tipping Points 167

    Subliminal Stimulation 168

    Archetypal Influences in Other Areas 169

    Archetypal Influences in Other Cultures and Languages 170

    Are the Collective Unconscious and Its Archetypes Constraining Free Will? 171

    Influences on Finance 172

    About the Author 175

    Index 177

The Mystery of Market Movements

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    A Hardback by Niklas Hageback

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      Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
      Publication Date: 30/05/2014
      ISBN13: 9781118844984, 978-1118844984
      ISBN10: 111884498X

      Description

      Book Synopsis

      A quantifiable framework for unlocking the unconscious forces that shape markets

      There has long been a notion that subliminal forces play a great part in causing the seemingly irrational financial bubbles, which conventional economic theory, again and again, fails to explain. However, these forces, sometimes labeled animal spirits' or irrational exuberance, have remained elusive - until now. The Mystery of Market Movements provides you with a methodology to timely predict and profit from changes in human investment behaviour based on the workings of the collective unconscious.

      Niklas Hageback draws in on one of psychology''s most influential ideas - archetypes - to explain how they form investor's perceptions and can be predicted and turned into profit. The Mystery of Market Movements provides;

      • A review of the collective unconscious and its archetypes based on Carl Jung's theories and empirical case studies that highlights and assesses

        Table of Contents

        Acknowledgments ix

        Introduction 1

        CHAPTER 1 Psychology: A Primer 7

        Some Key Psychological Concepts 9

        The Unconscious 13

        Conclusion 21

        Notes 22

        References 24

        CHAPTER 2 Archetypes and Symbols 27

        Carl Gustav Jung 27

        Archetypes: A Background 31

        Why Do Archetypes Activate? 40

        Symbols: The Tangible Manifestations of Archetypes 45

        Conclusion 50

        Notes 50

        References 52

        CHAPTER 3 How Archetypes Influence and Impact Behaviour 55

        Characteristics of the Activation of an Archetype 55

        Projections and Other Defense Mechanisms 56

        The Role of Scapegoats 58

        Shadow Projections 58

        Zeitgeist 59

        Mass Hysteria and Panics 62

        Conclusion 65

        Notes 65

        References 66

        CHAPTER 4 Archetypal Influences in the Financial Markets 67

        Financial Bubbles 67

        Animal Spirits 71

        An Archetypal Perspective on the Development of Financial Bubbles 74

        Conclusion 77

        Notes 77

        References 78

        CHAPTER 5 Existing Approaches to Capture Sentiments in Financial Markets, and Why They Do Not Work 81

        Behavioural Finance 82

        Technical Analysis 83

        Efficient Market Hypothesis 84

        Black Swans 86

        Social Mood 87

        Emotion Words 89

        Conclusion 89

        Notes 90

        References 91

        CHAPTER 6 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part I: Building Blocks 93

        Linking Symbols to Archetypes 96

        Capturing Symbols 98

        Conclusion 107

        Notes 108

        References 109

        CHAPTER 7 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part II: The Data 111

        Data Sources 112

        Capture and Cleansing 114

        Relativisation of Symbol Words 119

        Two Article Examples 120

        Conclusion 128

        Notes 128

        References 129

        CHAPTER 8 Developing a Conceptual Measurement Methodology Based on Archetypal Forces, Part III: The Model 131

        Signal Theory 133

        Correlation Testing 136

        Testing the Time Series against Known Cycles 138

        Constructing Archetypal Composite Indexes 138

        Backtesting and Calibration 141

        Conclusion 142

        Notes 143

        References 143

        CHAPTER 9 Examples of Archetypal Influences on the Formation of Financial Bubbles 145

        The Dot-Com Bubble 148

        The US Property Bubble 155

        Conclusion 159

        Notes 160

        References 161

        CHAPTER 10 Conclusion 163

        How Archetypes Play Out 164

        Areas for Further Research 165

        Time Constants 166

        Multiple Archetypes 166

        Tipping Points 167

        Subliminal Stimulation 168

        Archetypal Influences in Other Areas 169

        Archetypal Influences in Other Cultures and Languages 170

        Are the Collective Unconscious and Its Archetypes Constraining Free Will? 171

        Influences on Finance 172

        About the Author 175

        Index 177

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