Description
Book SynopsisThe behaviour of commodity prices never ceases to marvel economists, financial analysts, industry experts, and policymakers. Unexpected swings in commodity prices used to occur infrequently but have now become a permanent feature of global commodity markets. This book is about modelling commodity price shocks. It is intended to provide insights into the theoretical, conceptual, and empirical modelling of the underlying causes of global commodity price shocks.
Three main objectives motivated the writing of this book. First, to provide a variety of modelling frameworks for documenting the frequency and intensity of commodity price shocks. Second, to evaluate existing approaches used for forecasting large movements in future commodity prices. Third, to cover a wide range and aspects of global commodities including currencies, rarehardlustrous transition metals, agricultural commodities, energy, and health pandemics. Some attempts have already been made towards modelling commodit
Table of Contents
1. Introduction 2. History and Theories of Commodity Price Shocks 3. Modelling Commodity Price Shocks 4. Commodity Price Shocks Identification 5. Effects of Commodity Price Shocks 6. Applications 7. Commodity Price Forecasting 8. Risks Associated with Commodity Price Forecasts 9. Conclusion
