Description
Book SynopsisThis work is a guide to the principles behind sensitivity analysis. It suggests suitable methods for particular types of problem, which allows a greater understanding of the entire causal assessment chain. This makes the impact of source uncertainties and framing assumptions more transparent.
Trade Review"The book has a fair price...I think this is a book that everyone who does modeling should buy. It can readily be read piecemeal...so it is ideal for leisurely self-study..." (Technometrics Vol. 42, No. 4 May 2001)
"...this book will prove helpful in the solution of many modeling problems." (La Doc Sti, September 2000)
"...presents many different sensitivity analysis methodologies and demonstrates their usefulness in scientific research." (Zentralblatt MATH, Vol. 961, 2001/11)
Table of ContentsWhat is Sensitivity Analysis.
Hitchhiker's Guide to Sensitivity Analysis.
METHODS.
Designs of Experiments.
Screening Methods.
Local Methods.
Sampling-Based Methods.
Reliability Algorithms: FORM and SORM Methods.
Variance-Based Methods.
Managing the Tyranny of Parameters in Mathematical Modelling of Physical Systems.
Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis.
Graphical Methods.
APPLICATIONS.
Practical Experience in Applying Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis.
Scenario and Parametric Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis in Nuclear Waste Disposal Risk Assessment: The Case of GESAMAC.
Sensitivity Analysis for Signal Extraction in Economic Time Series.
A Dataless Precalibration Analysis in Solid State Physics.
Appplication of First-Order (FORM) and Second-Order (SORM) Reliability Methods: Analysis and Interpretation of Sensitivity Measures Related to Groundwater Pressure Decreases and Resulting Ground Subsidence.
One-at-a-Time and Mini-Global Analyses for Characterizing Model Sensitivity in the Nonlinear Ozone Predictions from the US EPA Regional Acid Deposition Model (RADM).
Comparing Different Sensitivity Analysis Methods on a Chemical Reactions Model.
An Application of Sensitivity Analysis to Fish Population Dynamics.
Global Sensitivity Analysis: A Quality Assurance Tool in Environmental Policy Modelling.
CONCLUSIONS.
Assuring the Quality of Models Designed for Predictive Tasks.
Fortune and Future of Sensitivity Analysis.
References.
Appendix.
Index.
