Description
Book SynopsisProperly researched and intelligently deployed, scenario planning is today's most powerful tool for understanding and preparing for an uncertain future. Yet it remains a niche approach, poorly understood by leaders at large. To bring it into the strategy mainstream, leaders need advice on how to turn concepts (scenarios) into actions (strategy).
Trade Review"[The book] shows just how many new aspects there are to be seen." (
Credit Control Journal, Volume 28 #4)
Table of ContentsList of Contributors ix
Preface xiii
Acknowledgments xv
Overview xvii
Part I Origins: Navigating with Invisible Islands 1
1 Conversations with Peter Schwartz and Napier Collyns 13
Bill Sharpe
2 Professional Dreamers: The Future in the Past of Scenario Planning 27
Cynthia Selin
Part II Scenarios In the World of Business 53
3 Scenarios and Innovation 75
Jan Verloop
4 Scenarios to Develop Strategic Options: A New Interactive Role for Scenarios in Strategy 89
Rafael Ramírez and Kees Van der Heijden
5 Deepening Futures with System Structure 121
Tony Hodgson and Bill Sharpe
6 From Signals to Decisions 145
Alexander Fink, Philip Hadridge and Gill Ringland
7 When Strangers Meet: Scenarios and the Legal Profession 173
Karim Medjad and Rafael Ramírez
8 The Power of Narrative 197
Lennart Nordfors
Part III Scenarios In the World of Management 217
9 Viewing Futures Network: Collaborative Learning and Innovation at Rabobank 235
Paul de Ruijter
10 Facilitating Scenario Development Process: Some Lessons for Facilitators 259
Ronald Bradfield
11 Appreciating the Future 279
Tony Hodgson
12 Building a Comprehensive Strategic Future Management System: A Future Map Approach 315
Don Heathfield
13 Acting on the Future 339
Andrew Curry
14 Backwards to the Future: Scenarios as Routines for Organizational Health 373
James Tansey
Concluding Remarks 391
References 395
Index 403
