Description
Book SynopsisWhen a doctor tells you there's a one percent chance that an operation will result in your death, or a scientist claims that his theory is probably true, what exactly does that mean? Understanding probability is clearly very important, if we are to make good theoretical and practical choices.
Trade Review"This is a remarkable book in that, while using the absolute minimum of mathematics, it manages to explain all the main views in the philosophy of probability clearly and accurately. Indeed it covers some recent approaches on which active research is taking place at the moment."
Donald Gillies, University College London
"Easy and fun to read, this book is a thought-provoking introduction to a wide range of important theories and issues about the nature of probability."
Timothy Williamson, University of Oxford
Table of ContentsPreface Chapter 1: Probability: A Two Faced Guide to Life? Chapter 2: The Classical Interpretation Chapter 3: The Logical Interpretation Chapter 4: The Subjective Interpretation Chapter 5: The Objective Bayesian Interpretation Chapter 6: Group Level Interpretations Chapter 7: The Frequency Interpretation Chapter 8: The Propensity Interpretation Chapter 9: Fallacies, Puzzles, and a Paradox Chapter 10: Interpreting Probability in the Humanities, Natural Sciences and Social Sciences Appendix A. The Axioms and Laws of Probability B. Bayes�s Theorem References
