Description

Book Synopsis
Throughout the social, medical and other sciences the importance of understanding complex hierarchical data structures is well understood. Multilevel modelling is now the accepted statistical technique for handling such data and is widely available in computer software packages. A thorough understanding of these techniques is therefore important for all those working in these areas. This new edition of Multilevel Statistical Models brings these techniques together, starting from basic ideas and illustrating how more complex models are derived. Bayesian methodology using MCMC has been extended along with new material on smoothing models, multivariate responses, missing data, latent normal transformations for discrete responses, structural equation modeling and survival models.

Key Features:

  • Provides a clear introduction and a comprehensive account of multilevel models.
  • New methodological developments and applications are explored.
  • Written by a leading

    Trade Review

    "This book is suitable as a comprehensive text for postgraduate courses, as well as a general reference guide. Applied statisticians in the social sciences, economics, biological and medical disciplines will find this book beneficial. See the review of the third edition." (Zentralblatt MATH, 1 December 2013)

    "This book would also serve as an outstanding general reference on multilevel models, since it offers concise and easy to follow descriptions of the various multilevel models and their applications, in addition to the references on which this work is based. I really enjoyed reading this book, and am sure that others will have a similar pleasurable experience." (Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics (JBS), 2012)



    Table of Contents
    Contents
    Dedication
    Preface
    Acknowledgements
    Notation
    A general classification notation and diagram
    Glossary
    Chapter 1 An introduction to multilevel models
    1.1 Hierarchically structured data
    1.2 School effectiveness
    1.3 Sample survey methods
    1.4 Repeated measures data
    1.5 Event history and survival models
    1.6 Discrete response data
    1.7 Multivariate models
    1.8 Nonlinear models
    1.9 Measurement errors
    1.10 Cross classifications and multiple membership structures.
    1.11 Factor analysis and structural equation models
    1.12 Levels of aggregation and ecological fallacies
    1.13 Causality
    1.14 The latent normal transformation and missing data
    1.15 Other texts
    1.16 A caveat

    Chapter 2 The 2-level model
    2.1 Introduction
    2.2 The 2-level model
    2.3 Parameter estimation
    2.4 Maximum likelihood estimation using Iterative Generalised Least Squares (IGLS)
    2.5 Marginal models and Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE)
    2.6 Residuals
    2.7 The adequacy of Ordinary Least Squares estimates.
    2.8 A 2-level example using longitudinal educational achievement data
    2.9 General model diagnostics
    2.10 Higher level explanatory variables and compositional effects
    2.11 Transforming to normality
    2.12 Hypothesis testing and confidence intervals
    2.13 Bayesian estimation using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
    2.14 Data augmentation
    Appendix 2.1 The general structure and maximum likelihood estimation for a multilevel model
    Appendix 2.2 Multilevel residuals estimation
    Appendix 2.3 Estimation using profile and extended likelihood
    Appendix 2.4 The EM algorithm
    Appendix 2.5 MCMC sampling

    Chapter 3. Three level models and more complex hierarchical structures.
    3.1 Complex variance structures
    3.2 A 3-level complex variation model example.
    3.3 Parameter Constraints
    3.4 Weighting units
    3.5 Robust (Sandwich) Estimators and Jacknifing
    3.6 The bootstrap
    3.7 Aggregate level analyses
    3.8 Meta analysis
    3.9 Design issues

    Chapter 4. Multilevel Models for discrete response data
    4.1 Generalised linear models
    4.2 Proportions as responses
    4.3 Examples
    4.4 Models for multiple response categories
    4.5 Models for counts
    4.6 Mixed discrete - continuous response models
    4.7 A latent normal model for binary responses
    4.8 Partitioning variation in discrete response models
    Appendix 4.1. Generalised linear model estimation

    Appendix 4.2 Maximum likelihood estimation for generalised linear models

    Appendix 4.3 MCMC estimation for generalised linear models

    Appendix 4.4. Bootstrap estimation for generalised linear models

    Chapter 5. Models for repeated measures data
    5.1 Repeated measures data
    5.2 A 2-level repeated measures model
    5.3 A polynomial model example for adolescent growth and the prediction of adult height
    5.4 Modelling an autocorrelation structure at level 1.
    5.5 A growth model with autocorrelated residuals
    5.6 Multivariate repeated measures models
    5.7 Scaling across time
    5.8 Cross-over designs
    5.9 Missing data
    5.10 Longitudinal discrete response data

    Chapter 6. Multivariate multilevel data
    6.1 Introduction
    6.2 The basic 2-level multivariate model
    6.3 Rotation Designs
    6.4 A rotation design example using Science test scores
    6.5 Informative response selection: subject choice in examinations
    6.6 Multivariate structures at higher levels and future predictions
    6.7 Multivariate responses at several levels
    6.8 Principal Components analysis

    Appendix 6.1 MCMC algorithm for a multivariate normal response model with constraints

    Chapter 7. Latent normal models for multivariate data
    7.1 The normal multilevel multivariate model
    7.2 Sampling binary responses
    7.3 Sampling ordered categorical responses
    7.4 Sampling unordered categorical responses
    7.5 Sampling count data
    7.6 Sampling continuous non-normal data
    7.7 Sampling the level 1 and level 2 covariance matrices
    7.8 Model fit
    7.9 Partially ordered data
    7.10 Hybrid normal/ordered variables
    7.11 Discussion

    Chapter 8. Multilevel factor analysis, structural equation and mixture models

    8.1 A 2-stage 2-level factor model

    8.2 A general multilevel factor model

    8.3 MCMC estimation for the factor model

    8.4 Structural equation models

    8.5 Discrete response multilevel structural equation models

    8.6 More complex hierarchical latent variable models

    8.7 Multilevel mixture models

    Chapter 9. Nonlinear multilevel models
    9.1 Introduction
    9.2 Nonlinear functions of linear components
    9.3 Estimating population means
    9.4 Nonlinear functions for variances and covariances
    9.5 Examples of nonlinear growth and nonlinear level 1 variance
    Appendix 9.1 Nonlinear model estimation

    Chapter 10. Multilevel modelling in sample surveys
    10.1 Sample survey structures
    10.2 Population structures
    10.3 Small area estimation

    Chapter 11 Multilevel event history and survival models
    11.1 Introduction
    11.2 Censoring
    11.3 Hazard and survival funtions
    11.4 Parametric proportional hazard models
    11.5 The semiparametric Cox model
    11.6 Tied observations
    11.7 Repeated events proportional hazard models
    11.8 Example using birth interval data
    11.9 Log duration models
    11.10 Examples with birth interval data and children’s activity episodes
    11.11 The grouped discrete time hazards model
    11.12 Discrete time latent normal event history models

    Chapter 12. Cross classified data structures
    12.1 Random cross classifications
    12.2 A basic cross classified model
    12.3 Examination results for a cross classification of schools
    12.4 Interactions in cross classifications
    12.5 Cross classifications with one unit per cell
    12.6 Multivariate cross classified models
    12.7 A general notation for cross classifications
    12.8 MCMC estimation in cross classified models
    Appendix 12.1 IGLS Estimation for cross classified data.

    Chapter 13 Multiple membership models
    13.1 Multiple membership structures
    13.2 Notation and classifications for multiple membership structures
    13.3 An example of salmonella infection
    13.4 A repeated measures multiple membership model
    13.5 Individuals as higher level units
    13.5.1 Example of research grant awards
    13.6 Spatial models
    13.7 Missing identification models

    Appendix 13.1 MCMC estimation for multiple membership models.

    Chapter 14 Measurement errors in multilevel models
    14.1 A basic measurement error model
    14.2 Moment based estimators
    14.3 A 2-level example with measurement error at both levels.
    14.4 Multivariate responses
    14.5 Nonlinear models
    14.6 Measurement errors for discrete explanatory variables
    14.7 MCMC estimation for measurement error models
    Appendix 14.1 Measurement error estimation
    14.2 MCMC estimation for measurement error models

    Chapter 15. Smoothing models for multilevel data.
    15.1 Introduction
    15.2. Smoothing estimators
    15.3 Smoothing splines
    15.4 Semi parametric smoothing models
    15.5 Multilevel smoothing models
    15.6 General multilevel semi-parametric smoothing models
    15.7 Generalised linear models
    15.8 An example
    Fixed
    Random
    15.9 Conclusions

    Chapter 16. Missing data, partially observed data and multiple imputation
    16.1 Creating a completed data set
    16.2 Joint modelling for missing data
    16.3 A two level model with responses of different types at both levels.
    16.4 Multiple imputation
    16.5 A simulation example of multiple imputation for missing data
    16.6 Longitudinal data with attrition
    16.7 Partially known data values
    16.8 Conclusions

    Chapter 17 Multilevel models with correlated random effects
    17.1 Non-independence of level 2 residuals
    17.2 MCMC estimation for non-independent level 2 residuals
    17.3 Adaptive proposal distributions in MCMC estimation
    17.4 MCMC estimation for non-independent level 1 residuals
    17.5 Modelling the level 1 variance as a function of explanatory variables with random effects
    17.6 Discrete responses with correlated random effects
    17.7 Calculating the DIC statistic
    17.8 A growth data set
    17.9 Conclusions

    Chapter 18. Software for multilevel modelling

    References

    Author index

    Subject index















































Multilevel Statistical Models 4e

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    A Hardback by Harvey Goldstein

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      View other formats and editions of Multilevel Statistical Models 4e by Harvey Goldstein

      Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
      Publication Date: 22/10/2010
      ISBN13: 9780470748657, 978-0470748657
      ISBN10: 0470748656

      Description

      Book Synopsis
      Throughout the social, medical and other sciences the importance of understanding complex hierarchical data structures is well understood. Multilevel modelling is now the accepted statistical technique for handling such data and is widely available in computer software packages. A thorough understanding of these techniques is therefore important for all those working in these areas. This new edition of Multilevel Statistical Models brings these techniques together, starting from basic ideas and illustrating how more complex models are derived. Bayesian methodology using MCMC has been extended along with new material on smoothing models, multivariate responses, missing data, latent normal transformations for discrete responses, structural equation modeling and survival models.

      Key Features:

      • Provides a clear introduction and a comprehensive account of multilevel models.
      • New methodological developments and applications are explored.
      • Written by a leading

        Trade Review

        "This book is suitable as a comprehensive text for postgraduate courses, as well as a general reference guide. Applied statisticians in the social sciences, economics, biological and medical disciplines will find this book beneficial. See the review of the third edition." (Zentralblatt MATH, 1 December 2013)

        "This book would also serve as an outstanding general reference on multilevel models, since it offers concise and easy to follow descriptions of the various multilevel models and their applications, in addition to the references on which this work is based. I really enjoyed reading this book, and am sure that others will have a similar pleasurable experience." (Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics (JBS), 2012)



        Table of Contents
        Contents
        Dedication
        Preface
        Acknowledgements
        Notation
        A general classification notation and diagram
        Glossary
        Chapter 1 An introduction to multilevel models
        1.1 Hierarchically structured data
        1.2 School effectiveness
        1.3 Sample survey methods
        1.4 Repeated measures data
        1.5 Event history and survival models
        1.6 Discrete response data
        1.7 Multivariate models
        1.8 Nonlinear models
        1.9 Measurement errors
        1.10 Cross classifications and multiple membership structures.
        1.11 Factor analysis and structural equation models
        1.12 Levels of aggregation and ecological fallacies
        1.13 Causality
        1.14 The latent normal transformation and missing data
        1.15 Other texts
        1.16 A caveat

        Chapter 2 The 2-level model
        2.1 Introduction
        2.2 The 2-level model
        2.3 Parameter estimation
        2.4 Maximum likelihood estimation using Iterative Generalised Least Squares (IGLS)
        2.5 Marginal models and Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE)
        2.6 Residuals
        2.7 The adequacy of Ordinary Least Squares estimates.
        2.8 A 2-level example using longitudinal educational achievement data
        2.9 General model diagnostics
        2.10 Higher level explanatory variables and compositional effects
        2.11 Transforming to normality
        2.12 Hypothesis testing and confidence intervals
        2.13 Bayesian estimation using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
        2.14 Data augmentation
        Appendix 2.1 The general structure and maximum likelihood estimation for a multilevel model
        Appendix 2.2 Multilevel residuals estimation
        Appendix 2.3 Estimation using profile and extended likelihood
        Appendix 2.4 The EM algorithm
        Appendix 2.5 MCMC sampling

        Chapter 3. Three level models and more complex hierarchical structures.
        3.1 Complex variance structures
        3.2 A 3-level complex variation model example.
        3.3 Parameter Constraints
        3.4 Weighting units
        3.5 Robust (Sandwich) Estimators and Jacknifing
        3.6 The bootstrap
        3.7 Aggregate level analyses
        3.8 Meta analysis
        3.9 Design issues

        Chapter 4. Multilevel Models for discrete response data
        4.1 Generalised linear models
        4.2 Proportions as responses
        4.3 Examples
        4.4 Models for multiple response categories
        4.5 Models for counts
        4.6 Mixed discrete - continuous response models
        4.7 A latent normal model for binary responses
        4.8 Partitioning variation in discrete response models
        Appendix 4.1. Generalised linear model estimation

        Appendix 4.2 Maximum likelihood estimation for generalised linear models

        Appendix 4.3 MCMC estimation for generalised linear models

        Appendix 4.4. Bootstrap estimation for generalised linear models

        Chapter 5. Models for repeated measures data
        5.1 Repeated measures data
        5.2 A 2-level repeated measures model
        5.3 A polynomial model example for adolescent growth and the prediction of adult height
        5.4 Modelling an autocorrelation structure at level 1.
        5.5 A growth model with autocorrelated residuals
        5.6 Multivariate repeated measures models
        5.7 Scaling across time
        5.8 Cross-over designs
        5.9 Missing data
        5.10 Longitudinal discrete response data

        Chapter 6. Multivariate multilevel data
        6.1 Introduction
        6.2 The basic 2-level multivariate model
        6.3 Rotation Designs
        6.4 A rotation design example using Science test scores
        6.5 Informative response selection: subject choice in examinations
        6.6 Multivariate structures at higher levels and future predictions
        6.7 Multivariate responses at several levels
        6.8 Principal Components analysis

        Appendix 6.1 MCMC algorithm for a multivariate normal response model with constraints

        Chapter 7. Latent normal models for multivariate data
        7.1 The normal multilevel multivariate model
        7.2 Sampling binary responses
        7.3 Sampling ordered categorical responses
        7.4 Sampling unordered categorical responses
        7.5 Sampling count data
        7.6 Sampling continuous non-normal data
        7.7 Sampling the level 1 and level 2 covariance matrices
        7.8 Model fit
        7.9 Partially ordered data
        7.10 Hybrid normal/ordered variables
        7.11 Discussion

        Chapter 8. Multilevel factor analysis, structural equation and mixture models

        8.1 A 2-stage 2-level factor model

        8.2 A general multilevel factor model

        8.3 MCMC estimation for the factor model

        8.4 Structural equation models

        8.5 Discrete response multilevel structural equation models

        8.6 More complex hierarchical latent variable models

        8.7 Multilevel mixture models

        Chapter 9. Nonlinear multilevel models
        9.1 Introduction
        9.2 Nonlinear functions of linear components
        9.3 Estimating population means
        9.4 Nonlinear functions for variances and covariances
        9.5 Examples of nonlinear growth and nonlinear level 1 variance
        Appendix 9.1 Nonlinear model estimation

        Chapter 10. Multilevel modelling in sample surveys
        10.1 Sample survey structures
        10.2 Population structures
        10.3 Small area estimation

        Chapter 11 Multilevel event history and survival models
        11.1 Introduction
        11.2 Censoring
        11.3 Hazard and survival funtions
        11.4 Parametric proportional hazard models
        11.5 The semiparametric Cox model
        11.6 Tied observations
        11.7 Repeated events proportional hazard models
        11.8 Example using birth interval data
        11.9 Log duration models
        11.10 Examples with birth interval data and children’s activity episodes
        11.11 The grouped discrete time hazards model
        11.12 Discrete time latent normal event history models

        Chapter 12. Cross classified data structures
        12.1 Random cross classifications
        12.2 A basic cross classified model
        12.3 Examination results for a cross classification of schools
        12.4 Interactions in cross classifications
        12.5 Cross classifications with one unit per cell
        12.6 Multivariate cross classified models
        12.7 A general notation for cross classifications
        12.8 MCMC estimation in cross classified models
        Appendix 12.1 IGLS Estimation for cross classified data.

        Chapter 13 Multiple membership models
        13.1 Multiple membership structures
        13.2 Notation and classifications for multiple membership structures
        13.3 An example of salmonella infection
        13.4 A repeated measures multiple membership model
        13.5 Individuals as higher level units
        13.5.1 Example of research grant awards
        13.6 Spatial models
        13.7 Missing identification models

        Appendix 13.1 MCMC estimation for multiple membership models.

        Chapter 14 Measurement errors in multilevel models
        14.1 A basic measurement error model
        14.2 Moment based estimators
        14.3 A 2-level example with measurement error at both levels.
        14.4 Multivariate responses
        14.5 Nonlinear models
        14.6 Measurement errors for discrete explanatory variables
        14.7 MCMC estimation for measurement error models
        Appendix 14.1 Measurement error estimation
        14.2 MCMC estimation for measurement error models

        Chapter 15. Smoothing models for multilevel data.
        15.1 Introduction
        15.2. Smoothing estimators
        15.3 Smoothing splines
        15.4 Semi parametric smoothing models
        15.5 Multilevel smoothing models
        15.6 General multilevel semi-parametric smoothing models
        15.7 Generalised linear models
        15.8 An example
        Fixed
        Random
        15.9 Conclusions

        Chapter 16. Missing data, partially observed data and multiple imputation
        16.1 Creating a completed data set
        16.2 Joint modelling for missing data
        16.3 A two level model with responses of different types at both levels.
        16.4 Multiple imputation
        16.5 A simulation example of multiple imputation for missing data
        16.6 Longitudinal data with attrition
        16.7 Partially known data values
        16.8 Conclusions

        Chapter 17 Multilevel models with correlated random effects
        17.1 Non-independence of level 2 residuals
        17.2 MCMC estimation for non-independent level 2 residuals
        17.3 Adaptive proposal distributions in MCMC estimation
        17.4 MCMC estimation for non-independent level 1 residuals
        17.5 Modelling the level 1 variance as a function of explanatory variables with random effects
        17.6 Discrete responses with correlated random effects
        17.7 Calculating the DIC statistic
        17.8 A growth data set
        17.9 Conclusions

        Chapter 18. Software for multilevel modelling

        References

        Author index

        Subject index















































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