Description
Book SynopsisAny alteration of the natural processes occurring on a piece of land will have expected as well as unanticipated effects, and those effects have little regard for arbitrary human boundaries. Consequently, it is not enough for land managers to consider only how they might maintain the parcels for which they are responsible; they must also anticipate how changes to neighboring lands might impact their properties.
Land Use Scenarios: Environmental Consequences of Development demonstrates how the success of local decision making is largely determined by factors that are difficult to control or forecast. It shows the importance of geographic vulnerability analysis, which takes into consideration possible scenarios about how, where, and when future patterns of land use might develop. It points to the consideration of critical uncertaintiesâthose aspects of the future, that while difficult to predict, may have a profound impact on pending decisions.
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Table of Contents
The Uncertainties of Regional Development and Their Possible Effects on Natural Resources Conservation. Approaching Scenario-Based Studies: Perceptions about the Future and Considerations for Landscape Planning. Scenario-Based Studies: Military Installations and Their Regions. The Regional Context of MCB Camp Pendleton and MCAD Miramar. Mapping Existing Conditions of the Region. Critical Uncertainties which Could Influence Development in the Region. Four Scenarios and Alternative Futures of the Regional Change. Hydrologic Consequences of the Alternative Futures. Biologic Consequences of the Alternative Futures. Discussion and Conclusions.