Description

Book Synopsis
This book provides research on the human element in forecasting. It focuses on how we can improve our ability to accurately forecast.

Table of Contents
Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy (S. Makridakis & A. Gaba).

Scenario Planning: Scaffolding Disorganized Ideas about the Future (K. van der Heijden).

Judgmental Forecasting and the Use of Available Information (M. O'Connor & M. Lawrence).

Enhancing Judgmental Sales Forecasting: The Role of Laboratory Research (P. Goodwin).

Heuristics and Biases in Judgmental Forecasting (F. Bolger & N. Harvey).

Financial Forecasting with Judgment (D. Önkal-Atay).

Reasoning with Category Knowledge in Probability Forecasting: Typicality and Perceived Variability Effects (G. Browne & S. Curley).

The Use of Structured Groups to Improve Judgmental Forecasting (G. Rowe).

How Bad Is Human Judgment?

(P. Ayton).

Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series Forecasting: Principles from Empirical Research (J. Armstrong & F. Collopy).

Index.

Forecasting with Judgment

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    A Hardback by George Wright, Paul Goodwin

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      Book details

      Publisher John Wiley & Sons Inc
      Published 25 February 1998
      ISBN-13 9780471970149
      978-0471970149
      ISBN-10 047197014X
      Also in:
      Management decision making

      Description

      Book Synopsis
      This book provides research on the human element in forecasting. It focuses on how we can improve our ability to accurately forecast.

      Table of Contents
      Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy (S. Makridakis & A. Gaba).

      Scenario Planning: Scaffolding Disorganized Ideas about the Future (K. van der Heijden).

      Judgmental Forecasting and the Use of Available Information (M. O'Connor & M. Lawrence).

      Enhancing Judgmental Sales Forecasting: The Role of Laboratory Research (P. Goodwin).

      Heuristics and Biases in Judgmental Forecasting (F. Bolger & N. Harvey).

      Financial Forecasting with Judgment (D. Önkal-Atay).

      Reasoning with Category Knowledge in Probability Forecasting: Typicality and Perceived Variability Effects (G. Browne & S. Curley).

      The Use of Structured Groups to Improve Judgmental Forecasting (G. Rowe).

      How Bad Is Human Judgment?

      (P. Ayton).

      Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series Forecasting: Principles from Empirical Research (J. Armstrong & F. Collopy).

      Index.

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