Description

Book Synopsis

SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024



''Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting'' Oliver Burkeman
''A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem'' Will Storr
''Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you'' Tim Harford

Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.

Bayes'' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in

Everything Is Predictable

    Product form

    A Paperback by Tom Chivers

    £13.49

    Includes FREE delivery

    RRP £14.99 – you save £1.50 (10%)

    Order before 4pm today for delivery by Mon 19 Oct 2026.

    Out of stock

      Trusted by thousands of customers. See 2,385+ Customer Reviews

      View other formats and editions of Everything Is Predictable by Tom Chivers

      Book details

      Publisher Orion Publishing Co
      Published 1/25/2024
      ISBN-13 9781399604048
      978-1399604048
      ISBN-10 139960404X

      Description

      Book Synopsis

      SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024



      ''Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting'' Oliver Burkeman
      ''A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem'' Will Storr
      ''Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you'' Tim Harford

      Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.

      Bayes'' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in

      Recently viewed products

      © 2026 Book Curl

        • American Express
        • Apple Pay
        • Diners Club
        • Discover
        • Google Pay
        • Maestro
        • Mastercard
        • PayPal
        • Shop Pay
        • Union Pay
        • Visa

        Login

        Forgot your password?

        Don't have an account yet?
        Create account