Description
Book SynopsisThe assessment and prevention of risks inherent to natural phenomena is of topical interest to the scientific community and other authorities dealing with territorial management. Historical analysis carried out in the Piemonte-territory in north-western Italy, focusing on the consequences of hydrogeological risks, reveals that damage is continually increasing. This can partly be explained by the consistent expansion of urbanized areas at the expense of areas that are essential to the natural modelling processes of the region; the damage resulting from hydrogeological instability often being associated with incompatible territorial decisions. This text gives a detailed account of a series of experiences related to activities that ARPA Piemonte has carried out focusing on the cognitive and forecasting aspects related to risk assessment and alerting procedures.
Table of ContentsPRESENTATION
FOREWORD
1. INTRODUCTION TO THE CONCEPT OF HAZARD AND RISK
1.1 FORECASTING, HAZARD, AND RISKS RELATED TO NATURAL PHENOMENA
1.2 FORECASTING NATURAL PHENOMENA FOR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
1.3 A KNOWLEDGE BASE AND THE DIFFUSION OF KNOWLEDGE AS SUPPORTS FOR THE ASSESSMENT OF HAZARD AND RISK
1.4 GLOSSARY
2. THE ASSESSMENT OF HAZARD AND RISK
2.1 METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA
2.2 THE LARGE ALPINE LANDSLIDES
2.3 ROCK FALLS
2.4 SHALLOW LANDSLIDES
2.5 TORRENTIAL PROCESSES
2.6 AVALANCHES
2.7 RIVER FLOODING
3. FORECASTING AND WARNING
3 FORECASTING AND ALERTS
3.1 METEOROLOGICAL FORECASTING
3.2 INDICATORS OF RAINFALL HAZARD
3.3 TOWARDS A DIFFERENT APPROACH TO FORECASTING METHODS
3.4 FORECASTING FLOODS
3.5 FORECASTING LANDSLIDES
4. THE UNCERTAINTY OF FORECASTING AND ASSESSMENT METHODS
4.1 THE UNCERTAINTY OF FORECASTING METHODS
4.2 THE CASE OF THE SCRIVIA RIVER ON SEPTEMBER 15-16, 2004
4.3 THE DEBRIS FLOW OF THE RIO FREJUS (BARDONECCHIA) - AUGUST 6, 2004
5 GENERAL CONCLUSIONS
