{"product_id":"the-signal-and-the-noise-9780141975658","title":"The Signal and the Noise","description":"\u003cb\u003eBook Synopsis\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe International Bestseller by ''The Galileo of number crunchers'' (\u003ci\u003eIndependent\u003c\/i\u003e)\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eEvery time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second  date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction  about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters,  we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great  cost to society. The rise of ''big data'' has the potential to help us  predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or  distracting.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eIn \u003ci\u003eThe Signal and the Noise\u003c\/i\u003e, the \u003ci\u003eNew York Times\u003c\/i\u003e  political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results  of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop  better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the  poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an  enthralling insider''s tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting,  showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of  data.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e ''Remarkable and rewarding'' Matthew D''Ancona, \u003ci\u003eSunday Telegraph\u003c\/i\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e''A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically'' \u003ci\u003eGuardian\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTrade Review\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eOutstanding... I was hooked -- Tim Harford * Financial Times *\u003cbr\u003eOne of the more momentous books of the decade * The New York Times Book Review *\u003cbr\u003eA lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically * Guardian *\u003cbr\u003eThe inhabitants of Westminster are speed-reading \u003ci\u003eThe Signal and the Noise... \u003c\/i\u003eThey will find the book remarkable and rewarding * Sunday Telegraph *\u003cbr\u003eIs there anything now that Nate Silver could tell us that we wouldn't believe? * Jonathan Freedland *\u003cbr\u003eFascinating... our age's Brunel -- Bryan Appleyard * Sunday Times *\u003cbr\u003eA surprisingly accessible peek into the world of mathematical probability -- Daily Telegraph\u003cbr\u003eThe Galileo of number crunchers * Independent *\u003cbr\u003eA 34-year old Delphic Oracle * Daily Beast *","brand":"Penguin Books Ltd","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":48732496953687,"sku":"9780141975658","price":12.34,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0817\/1739\/5799\/files\/9780141975658.jpg?v=1719997142","url":"https:\/\/bookcurl.com\/products\/the-signal-and-the-noise-9780141975658","provider":"Book Curl","version":"1.0","type":"link"}