{"product_id":"taking-chances-9780521038980","title":"Taking Chances","description":"\u003cb\u003eBook Synopsis\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eIn this volume of essays Sobel explores the Bayesian idea that rational actions maximize expected values, where an action's expected value is a weighted average of its agent's values for its possible total outcomes.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTrade Review\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\"...there is a profound unity throughout the volume and the analysis is always first-rate....I sincerely hope that this book will be widely read...\"   Maurice Salles, Mathematical Reviews\u003cbr\u003e\"Spotting a rational choice is sometimes mercifully easy.  Read this book.  I guarantee a hefty payoff. Taking a chance on Taking Chances is taking no chance at all.\"   Mark Vorobej, Canadian Philosophical Review\u003cbr\u003e\"Sobel is one of philosophy's leading experts on decision theory.  How nice to have a collection of his contributions!  These essays, mostly written during the last ten years, provide an excellent survey of current research in the field....Sobel's book is a cornucopia of insights about rational choice.\"   Ethics\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTable of Contents\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003ePreface; Part I. World Bayesianism: 1. Utility and the Bayesian paradigm; Part II. Problems for Evidential Decision Theory: 2. Newcomblike problems; 3. Not every prisoners' dilemma is a Newcomb problem; 4. Some versions of Newcomb's problem are prisoners' dilemmas; 5. Infallible predictors; 6. Kent Bach on good arguments; 7. Maximising and prospering; Part III. Causal Decision Theory: 8. Notes on decision theory: old wine in new bottles; 9. Partition theorems for causal decision theories; 10. Expected utilities and rational actions and choices; 11. Maximisation, stability of decision and actions in accordance with reason; 12. Useful intentions; Part IV. Interacting Causal Maximisers: 13. The need for coercion; 14. Hyperrational games; 15. Utility maximizers in iterated prisoners' dilemmas; 16. Backward induction arguments: a paradox regained; References; Index of names.","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":51767577870679,"sku":"9780521038980","price":46.54,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0817\/1739\/5799\/files\/9780521038980.jpg?v=1758713855","url":"https:\/\/bookcurl.com\/products\/taking-chances-9780521038980","provider":"Book Curl","version":"1.0","type":"link"}