{"product_id":"probabilities-9780470624456","title":"Probabilities","description":"\u003cb\u003eBook Synopsis\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e\u003ci\u003eWhat are the chances?\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eFind out in this entertaining exploration ofprobabilities in our everyday lives\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIf there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.\u003cbr\u003e  \u003cb\u003eKeith Devlin\u003c\/b\u003e, Stanford University, National Public Radio's Math Guy and author of The Math Gene and The Math Instinct\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA delightful guide to the sometimes counterintuitive discipline of probability. Olofsson points out major ideas here, explains classic puzzles there, and everywhere makes free use of witty vignettes to instruct and amuse.\u003cbr\u003e  \u003cb\u003eJohn Allen Paulos\u003c\/b\u003e, Temple University, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBeautifully written, with fascinating examples and tidbits of information. Olofsson gently and persuasively shows us how to think clearly ab\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTable of Contents\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003ePreface v\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e1 Computing Probabilities: Right Ways and Wrong Ways 1\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Probabilist 1\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Probabilist's Toys and Language 4\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Probabilist's Rule Book 9\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndependence, Airplanes, and Russian Peasants 14\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConditional Probability, Swedish TV, and British Courts 20\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLiar, Liar 24\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTotal Probability, Used Cars, and Tennis Matches 28\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCombinatorics, Pastrami, and Poetry 33\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe von Trapps and the Binomial Distribution 37\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 43\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e2 Surprising Probabilities: When Intuition Struggles 45\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBoys, Girls, Aces, and Colored Cards 45\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGoats and Gloats 50\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHappy Birthday 52\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTypical Atypicalities 57\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategies, Shopping, and Spaghetti Westerns 61\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe British Snob and I 65\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 70\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e3 Tiny Probabilities: Why Are They So Hard to Escape? 71\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProbable Improbabilities 71\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSaddam and I 75\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTaking Tiny Risks 80\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA Million-to-One Shot, Doc, Million to One! 82\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMonsieur Poisson and the Mysterious Number 37 84\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eClumps in Space 89\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 91\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e4 Backward Probabilities: The Reverend Bayes to Our Rescue 93\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDriving Miss Daisy 93\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBayes, Balls, and Boys (and Girls) 96\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBayes and My Green Card 98\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eObjection Your Honor 103\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 112\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e5 Beyond Probabilities: What to Expect 115\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGreat Expectations 115\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGood Things Come to Those Who Wait 123\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExpect the Unexpected 129\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSize Matters (and Length, and Age) 132\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDeviant Behavior 138\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 143\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e6 Inevitable Probabilities: Two Fascinating Mathematical Results 145\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAlea Iacta Est, Over and Over 145\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEven-Steven? The Law Misunderstood 149\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCoin Tosses and Freeway Congestion 155\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLet's Get Serious 162\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBells and Bread 166\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow a Toronto Quincunx Changed My Life 171\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 173\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e7 Gambling Probabilities: Why Donald Trump Is Richer than You 175\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFrench Letters 175\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRoulette: A Classy Way to Waste Your Money 179\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCraps: Not so Dicey After All 184\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBlackjack: Money for Mnemonics 187\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMath for Losers 193\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWin Money and Lose Friends 200\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 210\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e8 Guessing Probabilities: Enter the Statisticians 211\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLies, Damned Lies, and Beautiful Lies? 211\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4 out of 10 Like the President 19 Times out of 20 215\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePolls Gone Wild 220\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Lawsuit and the Lurker 225\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFootball Players and Geyser Eruptions 230\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSnooping in the Abbot’s Garden 237\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 242\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e9 Faking Probabilities: Computer Simulation 245\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMahogany Dice and Modular Arithmetic 245\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRandom and Not-So-Random Digits 252\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNumber One Is Number One 253\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIs Random Really Random? 256\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinal Word 261\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex 263\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"John Wiley \u0026 Sons Inc","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":49402380517719,"sku":"9780470624456","price":35.06,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0817\/1739\/5799\/files\/9780470624456.jpg?v=1730480219","url":"https:\/\/bookcurl.com\/products\/probabilities-9780470624456","provider":"Book Curl","version":"1.0","type":"link"}