{"product_id":"painful-changes-a-theory-of-foreign-policy-change-9780691165943","title":"Painful Changes  A Theory of Foreign Policy","description":"\u003cb\u003eBook Synopsis\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eUnder what conditions should we expect states to do things radically differently all of a sudden? In this book, David Welch seeks to answer this question, constructing a theory of foreign policy change inspired by organization theory, cognitive and motivational psychology, and prospect theory. He then \"test drives\" the theory in a series of compara\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTrade Review\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eWinner of the 2008 Best Book Award, International Security Studies Section of the International Studies Association \"David Welch is to be commended for developing an ambitious theory that recognizes that humans, not factors, make decisions, and that they are affected by history and psychology.\"--Max Paul Friedman, Political Science Quarterly \"Welch's theory is original and merits further testing against other cases of foreign policy change. Political scientists and foreign policy practitioners alike would benefit from reading this lucidly written book.\"--Guy Ziv, International Relations and Political Economy \"Well written and accessible to non-specialists... Welch's skillful use of historical materials should please historians in particular... Welch has made a substantial contribution to international relations theory with this book.\"--Barbara Farnham, International History Review\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTable of Contents\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eList of Figures and Tables ix  Acknowledgments xi  Introduction 1  CHAPTER 1: Surprise, Anticipation, and Theory 10  The Case for a Decision-Based Theory of Behavior 18  The Case for a Theory of Foreign Policy Change 23  CHAPTER 2: A Theory of Foreign Policy Change 30  Building Blocks 31  A Loss-Aversion Theory of Foreign Policy Change 45  Devils in the Details 51  CHAPTER 3: Useless Islands Disputes 72  Las Islas Malvinas 73  The Northern Territories 95  Crucial Differences 113  CHAPTER 4: American Boys in an Asian War 117  Background 118  Turning Points 129  The Johnson Escalation 134  Nixinger and the Endgame 147  How Do the Hypotheses Fare? 160  CHAPTER 5: Free Trade with the United States: Two Funerals and a Wedding 168  Overview and Background 169  Laurier and the Reciprocity Agreement of 1911 177  King and the Reciprocity Nonagreement of 1948 185  Mulroney and the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement, 1988 193  Analysis 206  CHAPTER 6: Conclusion 216  Works Cited 233  Index 265","brand":"Princeton University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":49403815985495,"sku":"9780691165943","price":25.2,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0817\/1739\/5799\/files\/9780691165943.jpg?v=1730484628","url":"https:\/\/bookcurl.com\/products\/painful-changes-a-theory-of-foreign-policy-change-9780691165943","provider":"Book Curl","version":"1.0","type":"link"}