{"product_id":"knowing-the-adversary-9780691159164","title":"Knowing the Adversary","description":"\u003cb\u003eBook Synopsis\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eStates are more likely to engage in risky and destabilizing actions such as military buildups and preemptive strikes if they believe their adversaries pose a tangible threat. This book draws on a wealth of historical archival evidence to shed new light on how world leaders and intelligence organizations actually make these assessments.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTrade Review\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eCo-Winner of the 2016 DPLST Book Prize, Diplomatic Studies Section of the International Studies Association Winner, 2014 Edgar S. Furniss Book Award, Mershon Center for International Security Studies \"[Knowing the Adversary] enriches the debate over the best way for policymakers and analysts to filter the vast pools of information they gather about rivals.\"--Foreign Affairs \"[A] solid scholarly book...The major contribution of the book is the systematic focus on a notoriously amorphous subject--how world leaders and intelligence organizations draw inferences about their adversaries' long-term intentions.\"--Choice \"Knowing the Adversary is a great success: it is thoroughly researched, well written, convincing in its conclusions, and rich in policy implications of the highest security importance.\"--Mark L. Haas, Political Science Quarterly\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTable of Contents\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eAcknowledgments ix  Introduction 1  Chapter 1 Theories of Intentions and the Problem of Attention 14  Chapter 2 I ndicators of Nazi Germany's Intentions and the Coming of World War II, 1934-39 44  Chapter 3 British Decision Makers' Perceptions of Nazi Germany's Intentions 58  Chapter 4 The British Intelligence Community's Assessments of Nazi Germany's Intentions 102  Chapter 5 The Carter Era and the Collapse of Detente, 1977-80 114  Chapter 6 US Decision Makers' Perceptions of Soviet Intentions: The Collapse of Detente 126  Chapter 7 The US Intelligence Community's Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The Collapse of Detente 158  Chapter 8 I ndicators of Soviet Intentions and the End of the Cold War, 1985-88 178  Chapter 9 US Decision Makers' Perceptions of Soviet Intentions: The End of the Cold War 192  Chapter 10 The US Intelligence Community's Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The End of the Cold War 224  Chapter 11 S ummary and Implications 241  Appendix: Summary of Hypotheses 255  Notes 259  Index 345","brand":"Princeton University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":49403800617303,"sku":"9780691159164","price":28.8,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0817\/1739\/5799\/files\/9780691159164.jpg?v=1730484583","url":"https:\/\/bookcurl.com\/products\/knowing-the-adversary-9780691159164","provider":"Book Curl","version":"1.0","type":"link"}