{"product_id":"facing-china-the-prospect-for-war-and-peace-9781538169889","title":"Facing China: The Prospect for War and Peace","description":"\u003cb\u003eBook Synopsis\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003eJean-Pierre Cabestan, a China specialist based in Hong Kong, provides an overview of “Thucydides’ Trap,” as coined by political scientist Graham Allison to describe the inescapable conflict between Beijing and Washington. Is China’s growing power a threat to the United States? Could it lead to war between the two nations? \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eEconomically and militarily stronger, and more nationalist than ever, the People’s Republic of China is increasingly tempted to use force to assert its power, especially in its immediate region. First, the author considers the factors around the threat of war, specifically on the Chinese side, then presents the three most likely armed conflict scenarios: around Taiwan; in the South China Sea; or in the Senkaku Islands under Japanese control. Cabestan also analyses the tensions between China and India along their common borders, which were revived in 2020.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eBut the most likely scenario, according to Cabestan, would be a rapid, piecemeal attack, aimed at tearing borders apart or defending vested interests – not to mention increased cyber warfare. It could also manifest itself as the emergence of a new type of cold war, punctuated by crises bordering on either a nuclear strike or the use of new weapons. U.S.-Chinese tensions and the many potential fronts on which they could elevate are a conflict-in-waiting which will weigh on the 21st century and dominate international life as China seeks to become entrenched as a dominant world power.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTable of Contents\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003eIntroduction: The Thucydides Trap Revisited\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e1 An Accumulation of Passions and Ammunition\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eChina\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eThe United States\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eChina’s Main Neighbors: Japan, India, Australia\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e2 War Risks Debate in China\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eChina’s Official Position: Xi Intends Avoiding War\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eDebates Among Chinese Experts\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e3 Is a Sino-US War over Taiwan Likely?\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eEvolution in Chinese Reunification Strategy and US Engagements\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eThe PLA’s Specific Preparations for War against Taiwan\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eEvolution of Debates in China over an Anti-Taiwan War\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eEvolution of US Debates over an Anti-Taiwan War\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eEvolution of Debates and Defense Policy in Taiwan\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eGray Zones: Non-Military Ways of Subjugating Taiwan\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion: The Impact of the Ukraine War and Its Limits\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e4 War Risks in the South China Sea\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eVarious Parties’ Claims and Controls\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eProliferating Sino-US Conflicts\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e5 War Risks over the Senkaku (Diaoyu) Islands\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eChinese and Japanese Stands on the Dispute\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eChinese Actions Aimed at Undermining Japanese Sovereignty over the Senkaku\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eHardening of Japanese and US Stands and the 2014 Agreement\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eCrisis Management Mechanisms and Their Limitations\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eEnhanced Senkaku Militarization\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eClarifications and Incertitudes\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e6 Border Tensions and Risks of a China-India War\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eRecent Rise in Border Tensions\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eRisks of Sino-Indian War\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e7 Which Armed Conflicts Might China Engage In?\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eWarning Signs\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eStrengthening PLA Projection Capabilities and Future MOA Scenarios\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eConclusion: War or Peace Tomorrow?\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eWar Will Likely Not Erupt Tomorrow\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eRisks or Armed Incidents and Military Crises\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eSino-US Struggle for World Leadership: How Will It End?\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eTowards a New Kind of Cold War and Its Consequences for the Western Pacific\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eThe Role of the US and Its Allies\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eAbout the Author\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Rowman \u0026 Littlefield","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":51041234714967,"sku":"9781538169889","price":68.4,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":false}],"url":"https:\/\/bookcurl.com\/products\/facing-china-the-prospect-for-war-and-peace-9781538169889","provider":"Book Curl","version":"1.0","type":"link"}