{"product_id":"decisions-over-decimals-9781119898481","title":"Decisions Over Decimals","description":"\u003cb\u003eBook Synopsis\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003eBecome a confident leader and use data, experience, and intuition to drive your decisionsAgile decision making is imperative as you lead in a data-driven world. Amid streams of data and countless meetings, we make hasty decisions, slow decisions, and often no decisions. Uniquely bridging theory and practice, Decisions Over Decimals breaks this pattern by uniting data intelligence with human judgment to get to action  a sharp approach the authors refer to as Quantitative Intuition (QI). QI raises the power of thinking beyond big data without neglecting it and chasing the perfect decision while appreciating that such a thing can never really exist.   Successful decision-makers are fierce interrogators. They square critical thinking with open-mindedness by blending information, intuition, and experience. Balancing these elements is at the heart of Decisions Over Decimals.    This book is not only designed to be read - but frequently referenced - as you face innumerable decision moments. It is the hands-on manual for confident, accurate decision-making you've been looking for; the rare resource that provides a set of pragmatic leadership tools to accelerate: Effectively framing the problem for stakeholdersSynthesizing intelligence from incomplete informationDelivering decisions that stick Strike the right balance between information and intuition and lead the smarter way with the real-world guidance found in Decisions Over Decimals.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eTable of Contents\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003eForeword xi\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePreface xiii\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePrologue: The Certainty Myth xix\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eQuantitative Intuition (QI)™ xx\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhy Quantitative Intuition™ xxviii\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBiases from Working Intuitively xxxiii\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBiases from Working with Data xxxvi\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 1 Asking Powerful Questions 1\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRoad to Powerful Questioning 3\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePrecision Questioning 3\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Power of Precision Questions 5\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBuilding an Inquisitive Team 6\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Smartest Person in the Room 10\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 1 13\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 2 Framing the Problem 15\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIWIK™: A Tool for Reasoning 17\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe IWIK™ Process 18\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFraming the Decision 30\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 2 31\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 3 Working Backward to Move Forward 33\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDefining the Problem 35\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHarnessing Inside of-the-Box Thinking 42\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTaking the Road Less Traveled 45\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 3 48\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 4 Learning to Become a Fierce Data Interrogator 49\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAssessing the Data and Its Reliability 51\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePutting the Data in Context 64\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePressure Testing Your Analysis 66\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 4 71\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 5 Developing Intuition for Numbers 73\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Power of Approximations 74\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLearning to Approximate 76\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eApproximating in Practice 78\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhy Guesstimation Works 80\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGetting Comfortable with Approximations 82\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGuesstimation in the QI Framework 86\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 5 86\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 6 From Analysis to Synthesis 89\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Value of Synthesis 90\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMake Your Bottom Line Your Top Line 93\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Lack of Synthesis 95\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEncouraging Synthesis 97\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e“What?”, “So What?”, and “Now What?” 99\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 6 100\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 7 The Decision Moment 101\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDimensions of the Decision Moment 102\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe First Two Dimensions: Time and Risk 103\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Third Dimension: Trust 106\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMeasuring Time, Risk, and Trust 108\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDecision Reversibility 115\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNavigating Ambiguity 118\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFrom IWIKs™ to Decisions 121\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 7 123\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 8 Delivering the Decision 125\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Story Arc in Decision-Making 126\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTuning the Narrative 128\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eInform versus Compel 139\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 8 141\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 9 Chasing the Decision 143\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategy 1: Create the Case for the Decision 146\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategy 2: Frame the Outcome 150\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategy 3: Classify the Type of Decision 153\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategy 4: Reduce the Scope of the Decision 154\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategy 5: Right Size the Decision 156\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategy 6: Pressure Test the Decision—Go to the Extremes 159\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrategy 7: Seek Consent Not Consensus 163\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Perfect Decision Is an Illusion 164\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 9 165\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 10 Creating a Quantitative Intuition™ Culture 167\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRecruiting for the Quantitative Intuition™ Skill Set 169\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBuilding a Quantitative Intuition™ Team 175\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCultivating a Quantitative Intuition™ Organization 181\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKey Learnings - Chapter 10 183\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 11 The Future of Data-Driven Decision-Making 185\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAutomation and Human Judgement 186\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePredictions and the Digital Twin 190\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProbabilistic versus Deterministic Thinking 193\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFound Time for More Decisions 196\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEpilogue 199\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAcknowledgments 203\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex 207\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"John Wiley \u0026 Sons Inc","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":49407186108759,"sku":"9781119898481","price":22.94,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0817\/1739\/5799\/files\/9781119898481.jpg?v=1730498476","url":"https:\/\/bookcurl.com\/products\/decisions-over-decimals-9781119898481","provider":"Book Curl","version":"1.0","type":"link"}